Matheus Camilo defeats Nazim Sadykhov by KO/TKO
Sadykhov vs Camilo — Lightweight · UFC Baku
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Camilo found his opening early, before Sadykhov could establish a rhythm.
He dropped Sadykhov in the first round.
Camilo finished with punches at 1:31 of the opening frame.
- Official UFC main-card resultsUFC · UFC Baku main-card results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA missed; DFS By The Numbers missed; MMA JOEY missed.
Only 0 of 3 called the upset.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
Bedtime MMA Analyst called 67 of 99 Bedtime MMA: predicted Sadykhov · Decision. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger.
Track record: winner called in 67 of 99 resolved picks, 28 a perfect call.
DFS By The Numbers Betting deskAnalyst called 60 of 88 DFS By The Numbers: predicted Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl.
Track record: winner called in 60 of 88 resolved picks, 23 a perfect call.
MMA JOEY Analyst called 18 of 27 MMA JOEY: predicted Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2. Actual Camilo · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles.
Track record: winner called in 18 of 27 resolved picks, 3 a perfect call.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 11-3-1
- Record
- 10-3-0
- 2-2-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 4-1 last 5
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- 72%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 08:41
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:25
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Sadykhov
Sadykhov is the heavy local favourite (-205) fighting on home soil with an 11-3-1 record built across structured competition. Despite his Azerbaijani roots he developed in an American MMA environment and carries the experience and physical advantages of a fighter who should control most dimensions against an unranked Brazilian opponent.
Case for Camilo
Camilo the 'Jaguar' is the live +170 underdog with a finish-or-nothing style that has caught bigger names off guard. His 10-3 record includes multiple first-round finishes, and against a Sadykhov expected to showboat for the home crowd, Camilo's aggression and explosive finishing instinct represent a real shock threat.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Sadykhov uses his wrestling or stays on the feet — Camilo's grappling defence is entirely untested at this level.
- Camilo's first-round aggression — his upset window is highest early, before Sadykhov's experience and crowd energy can compound.
- The home-crowd pressure on Sadykhov — performing for a partisan crowd can make fighters cautious or reckless; which version shows up?
- Camilo's chin — if Sadykhov settles into his striking rhythm, does the Brazilian's aggression leave him exposed?
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