UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Matheus Camilo defeats Nazim Sadykhov by KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:31
Sadykhov vs Camilo — Lightweight · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Camilo found his opening early, before Sadykhov could establish a rhythm.
He dropped Sadykhov in the first round.
Camilo finished with punches at 1:31 of the opening frame.
- Official UFC main-card resultsUFC · UFC Baku main-card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Sadykhov
Sadykhov is the heavy local favourite (-205) fighting on home soil with an 11-3-1 record built across structured competition. Despite his Azerbaijani roots he developed in an American MMA environment and carries the experience and physical advantages of a fighter who should control most dimensions against an unranked Brazilian opponent.
Case for Camilo
Camilo the 'Jaguar' is the live +170 underdog with a finish-or-nothing style that has caught bigger names off guard. His 10-3 record includes multiple first-round finishes, and against a Sadykhov expected to showboat for the home crowd, Camilo's aggression and explosive finishing instinct represent a real shock threat.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Sadykhov uses his wrestling or stays on the feet — Camilo's grappling defence is entirely untested at this level.
- Camilo's first-round aggression — his upset window is highest early, before Sadykhov's experience and crowd energy can compound.
- The home-crowd pressure on Sadykhov — performing for a partisan crowd can make fighters cautious or reckless; which version shows up?
- Camilo's chin — if Sadykhov settles into his striking rhythm, does the Brazilian's aggression leave him exposed?
Records & career stats
- 11-2-1
- Record
- 10-3-0
- 2-2-1 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- Not published
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 32
- Age
- 25
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 91%
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- Source pending
- 8
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- —
- 08:41
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 08:25
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · Dec
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger.
“I'm going to go with Sadikov by decision”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles.
“I'm going to go in this in Sadykhov second round KO.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 66.4% 71 36
- Method Accuracy 46.2% 24 28
- Round Accuracy 24.1% 7 22
- Underdog Accuracy 38.9% 7 11
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction.
“I'm going to go with Sadikov in this one. I think he can get it done and get the win.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.6% 42 22
- Method Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 3
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
Lucrative James picks Nazim Sadykhov by third-round knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl.
“So, give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO
Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO
MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Nazim Sadykhov by knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; MMA JOEY Miss; KennyOkoyeMMA Miss; James Blissett Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov · Dec Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger. “I'm going to go with Sadikov by decision” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · Dec | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Bedtime takes Sadykhov by decision, trusting his doggedness, boxing and cardio to outlast Camilo after any early danger. “I'm going to go with Sadikov by decision” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MMA JOEY
MMA JOEY
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles. “I'm going to go in this in Sadykhov second round KO.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2 | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Joey takes Sadykhov by second-round TKO, expecting his confidence, pace and boxing to overwhelm Camilo as the fight settles. “I'm going to go in this in Sadykhov second round KO.” Track record: winner called in 71 of 107 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KennyOkoyeMMA
KennyOkoyeMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction. “I'm going to go with Sadikov in this one. I think he can get it done and get the win.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · to win | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Transcript-verified winner pick from KennyOkoyeMMA UFC Baku full-card prediction. “I'm going to go with Sadikov in this one. I think he can get it done and get the win.” Track record: winner called in 42 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 3 Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO Lucrative James picks Nazim Sadykhov by third-round knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R3 | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Lucrative James picks Nazim Sadykhov by third-round knockout. Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl. “So, give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · KO/TKO · R2 | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| DFS expects Sadykhov to push Camilo until the gas tank breaks, then knock him out in the second round in a fight-of-the-night style brawl. “So, give me Nazim Satakov to put up a fight of the night type performance and knock out Camello in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Nazim Sadykhov · KO/TKO Fight result: Matheus Camilo · KO/TKO MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Nazim Sadykhov by knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Sadykhov · KO/TKO | Camilo · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Baku X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Nazim Sadykhov by knockout. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Only 0 of 6 called the upset.
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