UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov  25 Jul 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Abdul Hussein defeats Cody Gibson by Submission

Loss Cody Gibson 21-13-0
Win Abdul Hussein 16-2-0
Submission · arm-triangle choke

Round 3 · 3:07

Gibson vs Hussein — Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Gibson threatened with a series of chokes in the opening round.

Hussein hurt Gibson early in round two and controlled the remainder of it on the canvas.

Hussein stung Gibson by the fence in round three, took him down, and found the arm-triangle finish.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Gibson

Gibson is the 38-year-old UFC veteran opening the Abu Dhabi card. The UFC preview describes him as 2-3 in the five fights since his Fight of the Night TUF finale loss to Brad Katona, making this another chance to turn experience into a steadier run.

Case for Hussein

Hussein makes his UFC debut at 15-2 on an eight-fight winning streak. His latest recorded win was a Boxing Day stoppage of Tyson Nam, so he arrives with recent finishing momentum but faces the first UFC test of his career.

What We Were Watching For

  • Gibson's veteran experience against Hussein's first UFC appearance.
  • Whether Hussein's eight-fight winning streak carries into the new promotion.
  • The early pace after Hussein's recent Tyson Nam stoppage.
  • How Gibson responds if the newcomer forces a fast, physical opening.
Records & career stats
Gibson vs Hussein
21-12-0
Record
15-2-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
United States
Nationality
Finland
38
Age
28
1.78 m
Height — Gibson leads
1.65 m
180 cm
Reach
Not published
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
57%
Finish rateFinish % — Hussein leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
93%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Gibson leads
5
5
Wins by submissionSub wins — Hussein leads
10
Source pending
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.96
Source pending
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.35
Source pending
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
46%
Source pending
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
67%
Source pending
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:07
The Pit
Team
Espoon kehähait

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 0:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“Abdul Hussein making his UFC debut. And I'm going to go with Hussein to win this”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 0:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Favors Hussein's speed, power and grappling over a 38-year-old Gibson, while acknowledging Gibson could make the opening round difficult.

“I'm going Abdul Hussein.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 1:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Hussein as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

“right, guys. Let's start with our curtain jerker. I'm taking Abdul Hussein”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 8:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“knows what they're doing with the matchmaking here. Give me Abdul Hussein”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 3:43

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Backs Hussein's power, wrestling and grappling against a 38-year-old Gibson he sees as hittable, slowing down and prone to ground mistakes.

“make mistakes on the ground. So, I like Abdul Hussein to win this fight. I'm”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 7:02

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“Abdul wins. He's going to win by finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 1:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“I'm going to go with Abdul Hussein to knock out Cody Gibson in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 0:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“Abdul Hussein making his UFC debut. And I'm going to go with Hussein to win this”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 0:44

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Favors Hussein's speed, power and grappling over a 38-year-old Gibson, while acknowledging Gibson could make the opening round difficult.

“I'm going Abdul Hussein.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 1:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Hussein as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

“right, guys. Let's start with our curtain jerker. I'm taking Abdul Hussein”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 8:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“knows what they're doing with the matchmaking here. Give me Abdul Hussein”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 3:43

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein · Sub · Round 2

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Backs Hussein's power, wrestling and grappling against a 38-year-old Gibson he sees as hittable, slowing down and prone to ground mistakes.

“make mistakes on the ground. So, I like Abdul Hussein to win this fight. I'm”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · Sub · R2Hussein · Sub R3HitHitMiss
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 7:02

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“Abdul wins. He's going to win by finish.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 1:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Abdul Hussein

Fight result: Abdul Hussein · Submission

Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview.

“I'm going to go with Abdul Hussein to knock out Cody Gibson in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to winHussein · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called

7 of 7 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.