UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2  11 Jul 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Brandon Royval defeats Lone’er Kavanagh by Submission

Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 3 · 3:40

Royval vs Kavanagh — Flyweight · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Royval controlled the opening round.

Kavanagh dropped and hurt Royval in round two to swing the fight.

Royval hurt Kavanagh in the third, took the back and locked up a rear-naked choke at 3:40.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Royval

Royval is the most chaotic action fighter at 125 and a two-time title-adjacent name — high volume, relentless scrambles and finish-heavy grappling (nine submissions). He has shared the cage with Pantoja, Moreno and Taira; the experience gap is large. If he turns this into a frantic, high-pace scramble, few can match him.

Case for Kavanagh

Kavanagh is the surging technician — crisp boxing, elite takedown defence (94%) and a star-making win over Brandon Moreno that vaulted him up the rankings. He is younger, sharper defensively and trending up, where Royval enters on a two-fight skid that includes a first-round knockout. Discipline against chaos is the matchup.

What We Were Watching For

  • Royval's all-action chaos against Kavanagh's disciplined, technical boxing.
  • Royval's leaky defence (43% striking, 45% takedown) is the opening — can Kavanagh exploit it cleanly?
  • Kavanagh's per-minute numbers rest on a small UFC sample — how does he handle Royval's pace over 15 minutes?
  • Royval has been finished recently (Kape KO); does Kavanagh have the power to test that chin, or must he out-point him?
Records & career stats
17-9-0
Record
10-1-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
United States
Nationality
England
33
Age
27
1.75 m
Height — Royval leads
1.68 m
173 cm
Reach — Royval leads
170 cm
Southpaw
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
50%
4
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
4
—
Wins by submissionSub wins
1
5.60
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Royval leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.13
4.24
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Kavanagh leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.94
43%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Kavanagh leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
45%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Kavanagh leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
83%
11:42
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:27
Mile High Militia
Team
Great Britain Top Team · London

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brandon Royval · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Brandon Royval by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Thinks Kavanagh's kickboxing and chin are genuine problems for a Royval who's coming off back-to-back losses. Believes Kavanagh can keep it standing, weather Royval's chaos, and grind out a decision — though acknowledges Royval's submission game makes it competitive.

“I'm probably going to go with Kavanagh by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Rates Kavanagh as a future champion-level talent and thinks his speed, kicks and punching entries will make Royval miss too often. He expects Kavanagh to pick Royval apart and eventually knock him out in the third round.

“I think Kavanagh is going to knock Royval out in the third round. Too many one-twos connecting throughout this fight for Kavanagh not to knock him out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Trusts Kavanagh's boxing and power against Royval's hittable style. He thinks Royval's chin will be there to touch repeatedly, giving Kavanagh enough opportunities to land the finishing shot.

“I'm going Lonnie Kavanagh to win. I'm going to take Lonnie Kavanagh to win this fight by second round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

They pick Lone'er Kavanagh for his speed, clean technical striking and cardio, while noting Brandon Royval's experience and chaos make it dangerous. The argument is that Kavanagh can keep the pace and avoid being dragged into Royval's weird submission-heavy fight.

“Looney Kavanaaugh is a very fast, clean striker. And Looney Kavanaaugh is very technical, so he should win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“So I'm going to take Kavanaaugh here, but I don't feel good about it.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Sides with Lone'er Kavanagh's speed, kicking game and technical striking in a striker-friendly matchup. He respects Brandon Royval's elite experience and volume, but thinks Kavanagh is the smoother fighter over three rounds.

“I'm going to go with Lonnie Kavanaaugh to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
BetSam

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Give me Loneer Kavanagh to go out here and knock out Brandon Royval.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Andrew Richardson picking Lone'er Kavanagh by decision over Brandon Royval.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Picks Lone’er Kavanagh by KO; the source gives round two or three, so the round is left unset.

“I'm gonna say Loner Kavanaaugh TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Kavanagh to win by a very clear and comfortable 3027 decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Backs Kavanagh's speed, hand speed and kick entries as special enough to beat an experienced contender. He respects Royval's toughness and warns Kavanagh must keep his hands up, but still sees the promoted prospect winning on points.

“Lone'er Kavanagh gets the job done via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Trusts Kavanagh's cardio, energy management and cleaner striking after the Moreno fight. He thinks Royval is durable enough to avoid the finish, but not sharp enough to win the minutes.

“Nah, bro. Nah, I got Kavanaaugh decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Demetrious Johnson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Picks Kavanagh after weighing Royval's pressure and scramble chaos. He has trained with Kavanagh, likes the striking movement he saw in the gym, and thinks the young flyweight's rebound from the Charles Johnson loss points toward another step forward.

“I'm going to go with Lone Kavanagh.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Jesse Holland picking Lone'er Kavanagh by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Miss; TheWeasle Miss; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Miss; 138 MMA Miss; HopperMMA Miss; BetSam Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Pure Picks Miss; Aniki MMA Miss; Michael Bisping Miss; Mike Finch Miss; Demetrious Johnson Miss; Chris Schweppe Hit; Jesse Holland Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Thinks Kavanagh's kickboxing and chin are genuine problems for a Royval who's coming off back-to-back losses. Believes Kavanagh can keep it standing, weather Royval's chaos, and grind out a decision — though acknowledges Royval's submission game makes it competitive.

“I'm probably going to go with Kavanagh by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
TheWeasle163 resolved calls
TheWeasle

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Rates Kavanagh as a future champion-level talent and thinks his speed, kicks and punching entries will make Royval miss too often. He expects Kavanagh to pick Royval apart and eventually knock him out in the third round.

“I think Kavanagh is going to knock Royval out in the third round. Too many one-twos connecting throughout this fight for Kavanagh not to knock him out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.6% 115 48
  • Method Accuracy 61.8% 47 29
  • Round Accuracy 36.5% 19 33
  • Underdog Accuracy 52.9% 9 8
View full track record (163 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · KO/TKO · R3Royval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Trusts Kavanagh's boxing and power against Royval's hittable style. He thinks Royval's chin will be there to touch repeatedly, giving Kavanagh enough opportunities to land the finishing shot.

“I'm going Lonnie Kavanagh to win. I'm going to take Lonnie Kavanagh to win this fight by second round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · KO/TKO · R2Royval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

They pick Lone'er Kavanagh for his speed, clean technical striking and cardio, while noting Brandon Royval's experience and chaos make it dangerous. The argument is that Kavanagh can keep the pace and avoid being dragged into Royval's weird submission-heavy fight.

“Looney Kavanaaugh is a very fast, clean striker. And Looney Kavanaaugh is very technical, so he should win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from 138 MMA UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“So I'm going to take Kavanaaugh here, but I don't feel good about it.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Sides with Lone'er Kavanagh's speed, kicking game and technical striking in a striker-friendly matchup. He respects Brandon Royval's elite experience and volume, but thinks Kavanagh is the smoother fighter over three rounds.

“I'm going to go with Lonnie Kavanaaugh to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
BetSam26 resolved calls
BetSam

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Transcript-verified winner pick from BetSam UFC 329 full-card prediction.

“Give me Loneer Kavanagh to go out here and knock out Brandon Royval.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.5% 16 10
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (26 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Andrew Richardson picking Lone'er Kavanagh by decision over Brandon Royval.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Pure Picks29 resolved calls
Pure Picks

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · KO/TKO

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Picks Lone’er Kavanagh by KO; the source gives round two or three, so the round is left unset.

“I'm gonna say Loner Kavanaaugh TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 17 12
  • Method Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
View full track record (29 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · KO/TKORoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Aniki MMA19 resolved calls
Aniki MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Aniki MMA picks the stated winner.

“Kavanagh to win by a very clear and comfortable 3027 decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 11 8
  • Method Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
  • Round Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
View full track record (19 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Bisping33 resolved calls
Michael Bisping

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Backs Kavanagh's speed, hand speed and kick entries as special enough to beat an experienced contender. He respects Royval's toughness and warns Kavanagh must keep his hands up, but still sees the promoted prospect winning on points.

“Lone'er Kavanagh gets the job done via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Trusts Kavanagh's cardio, energy management and cleaner striking after the Moreno fight. He thinks Royval is durable enough to avoid the finish, but not sharp enough to win the minutes.

“Nah, bro. Nah, I got Kavanaaugh decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Demetrious Johnson11 resolved calls
Demetrious Johnson

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Picks Kavanagh after weighing Royval's pressure and scramble chaos. He has trained with Kavanagh, likes the striking movement he saw in the gym, and thinks the young flyweight's rebound from the Charles Johnson loss points toward another step forward.

“I'm going to go with Lone Kavanagh.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (11 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to winRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Brandon Royval · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

Chris Schweppe's MMA Fight Picks UFC 329 preview picks Brandon Royval by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 31.5%. Royval · DecRoyval · Sub R3HitMissNot called
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Lone’er Kavanagh · Dec

Fight result: Brandon Royval · Submission

MMA Mania's UFC 329 preview has Jesse Holland picking Lone'er Kavanagh by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · DecRoyval · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 1 of 15 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.