Ailin Perez now has the second longest win streak in UFC bantamweight history 😤 Her #UFCVegas121 win makes it seventh consecutive wins for @AiluPerezUFC ! (Nunes, 9)
View photo on X ↗Ailin Perez defeats Norma Dumont by unanimous decision
Dumont vs Perez — Women's Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(5) 21%
79% (19)
AI Prediction
45%
55%
Market OddsSportsbooks, 6 books · final line 26 Sep 21:29 UTC
40%
60%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Perez used early takedowns and control to establish her strongest rounds of the fight.
Dumont recovered with her own striking and wrestling sequences as the bout moved into the later rounds.
Perez's early control was enough for the official unanimous decision after three rounds.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos main card results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Dumont
Dumont enters with a measured, technical approach. Her route is to manage range, punish entries and force Perez to work for every exchange.
Case for Perez
Perez brings a pressure-oriented game and a strong athletic profile from Goat Shed Academy. Her route is to close distance, make the fight physical and keep Dumont from dictating a long-range rhythm.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Dumont can keep the fight at her preferred distance.
- How Perez's pressure changes the pace.
- Which fighter wins the clinch and first takedown exchanges.
Records & career stats
- 3.85 2.88
- 64% 57%
- 2.33 1.58
- 72% 73%
- 15% 43%
- 13-3-0
- Record
- 13-2-0
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Brazil
- Nationality
- Argentina
- 35
- Age
- 31
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- 14:53
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:41
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
After the fight
Before the fight (2)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
(5) 21%
LDumont
79% (19)
PerezW
We Want Picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Norma Dumont
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Angelo picks canonical Norma Dumont after the adjacent Perez breakdown; Deont/Dumont are preserved as caption variants.
“Norman Dumont's going to be the pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Norma Dumont
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Norma Dumont
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidence
Picked: Norma Dumont
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Josh Schonwald picks Norma Dumont.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Norma Dumont
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
Show Me The Money
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez.
“lean Eileen Perez here”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Drake Burden picks Ailin Perez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Perez has momentum, superior wrestling and grappling will control Dumont on the ground and win on control time.
“I'm going to go Eileen Perez here I think she's got the momentum on her side and I also like the grappling that she brings to the table.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez by decision.
“I'm picking Perez in this one. I'll say she wins it by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez by decision.
“I am going to go Eileen Perez to win this fight and win this fight by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
KingofCrackdown5095 picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont.
“In this one I have Eileen Perez via decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
Michael Iannone
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Michael Iannone in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 61.9% 13 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont.
“Perez is going to win by decision over Norma Deont in this fight.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Jon Litterine picks Ailin Perez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Fight Productions picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont.
“So, Eileen Perez, uh, by decision is going to be my pick.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Cole Shelton picks Ailin Perez.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez.
“Let's just pick Perez. She's going to get her takedowns on Dumont.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Chris Schweppe.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez · Dec
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Greedo Plays MMA picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont.
“Give me Ailin Perez by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez.
“I'm going to pick Eileen Perez here.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
From final parlay combination.
“Next parlay, last but not least is Yasmin money line, Een Perez money line, and Rena all money line at a plus 130.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Rparqs
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ailin Perez
Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision
Picks Ailin Perez.
“Give me Eileen Perez. She's more in her prime.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Analyst picks: Show Me The Money Hit; Drake Burden Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Miss; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Michael Iannone Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Adam Martin Miss; Jon Litterine Hit; Fight Productions Hit; MikesMMAPicks Miss; Cole Shelton Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Uselyis Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Ryan Wohl Hit; Rparqs Hit; Josh Schonwald Miss; Chris White Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me The Money
Show Me The Money
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez. “lean Eileen Perez here” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez. “lean Eileen Perez here” Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Drake Burden picks Ailin Perez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Drake Burden picks Ailin Perez. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Perez has momentum, superior wrestling and grappling will control Dumont on the ground and win on control time. “I'm going to go Eileen Perez here I think she's got the momentum on her side and I also like the grappling that she brings to the table.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Perez has momentum, superior wrestling and grappling will control Dumont on the ground and win on control time. “I'm going to go Eileen Perez here I think she's got the momentum on her side and I also like the grappling that she brings to the table.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez by decision. “I'm picking Perez in this one. I'll say she wins it by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez by decision. “I'm picking Perez in this one. I'll say she wins it by decision.” Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez by decision. “I am going to go Eileen Perez to win this fight and win this fight by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez by decision. “I am going to go Eileen Perez to win this fight and win this fight by decision.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Norma Dumont Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Angelo picks canonical Norma Dumont after the adjacent Perez breakdown; Deont/Dumont are preserved as caption variants. “Norman Dumont's going to be the pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Angelo picks canonical Norma Dumont after the adjacent Perez breakdown; Deont/Dumont are preserved as caption variants. “Norman Dumont's going to be the pick.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
KingofCrackdown5095
KingofCrackdown5095
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision KingofCrackdown5095 picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “In this one I have Eileen Perez via decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| KingofCrackdown5095 picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “In this one I have Eileen Perez via decision.” Track record: winner called in 25 of 39 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Michael Iannone
Michael Iannone
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Michael Iannone in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Written pick by Michael Iannone in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 13 of 21 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “Perez is going to win by decision over Norma Deont in this fight.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “Perez is going to win by decision over Norma Deont in this fight.” Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam Martin
Current pick evidencePicked: Norma Dumont Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Jon Litterine picks Ailin Perez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Jon Litterine picks Ailin Perez. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Fight Productions picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “So, Eileen Perez, uh, by decision is going to be my pick.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Fight Productions picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “So, Eileen Perez, uh, by decision is going to be my pick.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MikesMMAPicks
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidencePicked: Norma Dumont Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Cole Shelton picks Ailin Perez. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Cole Shelton picks Ailin Perez. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TonyHasDiedMMA
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez. “Let's just pick Perez. She's going to get her takedowns on Dumont.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez. “Let's just pick Perez. She's going to get her takedowns on Dumont.” Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Chris Schweppe. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Written pick by Chris Schweppe. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez · Dec Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Greedo Plays MMA picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “Give me Ailin Perez by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · Dec | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Greedo Plays MMA picks Ailin Perez by decision over Norma Dumont. “Give me Ailin Perez by decision.” Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez. “I'm going to pick Eileen Perez here.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez. “I'm going to pick Eileen Perez here.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision From final parlay combination. “Next parlay, last but not least is Yasmin money line, Een Perez money line, and Rena all money line at a plus 130.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| From final parlay combination. “Next parlay, last but not least is Yasmin money line, Een Perez money line, and Rena all money line at a plus 130.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Kalikas
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ryan Wohl
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Rparqs
Rparqs
Current pick evidencePicked: Ailin Perez Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Picks Ailin Perez. “Give me Eileen Perez. She's more in her prime.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Ailin Perez. “Give me Eileen Perez. She's more in her prime.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Josh Schonwald
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidencePicked: Norma Dumont Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Josh Schonwald picks Norma Dumont. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Josh Schonwald picks Norma Dumont. Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris White
Chris White
Current pick evidencePicked: Norma Dumont Fight result: Ailin Perez · Decision Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
19 of 24 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Perez · Decision · R3
Closest probability Gemini put 60% on Perez.
53%
Dumont
47%
Perez
PickDumont · DecisionActualPerez · Decision · R3
WinnerMissMethodNot applicable — the winner call missedRoundNot applicable — the winner call missedSportsbook underdogMissSportsbook underdog: UnderdogThe selected fighter had a lower market-implied chance of winning. This underdog call was a miss.Sportsbook underdog: underdog call, miss
43%
Dumont
57%
Perez
PickPerez · DecisionActualPerez · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite call
40%
Dumont
60%
Perez
PickPerez · DecisionActualPerez · Decision · R3
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundNot applicable — decisions have no finishing roundSportsbook favouriteSportsbook favourite: FavouriteThe selected fighter had the higher market-implied chance of winning.Sportsbook favourite: favourite callAI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 26 Sep
2 of 3 models pick Perez
ChatGPT picks Dumont; Claude and Gemini pick Perez.
Method mix differs most for Decision: 68% (Claude) to 86% (ChatGPT), a 18-point range.
-
ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Dumont by decision
Win probability: Dumont 53%, Perez 47%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Perez by decision
Win probability: Dumont 43%, Perez 57%.
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Perez by decision
Win probability: Dumont 40%, Perez 60%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail3 areas differ
The models differ on winner, confidence, probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
ChatGPT
Pick
Dumont by decision
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Dumont 53%, Perez 47%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 8% overall: Dumont 5%, Perez 3%
Submission, 6% overall: Dumont 2%, Perez 4%
Decision, 86% overall: Dumont 46%, Perez 40%
gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Perez by decision
Low confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Dumont 43%, Perez 57%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 20% overall: Dumont 8%, Perez 12%
Submission, 12% overall: Dumont 5%, Perez 7%
Decision, 68% overall: Dumont 30%, Perez 38%
claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Perez by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Dumont 40%, Perez 60%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 7% overall: Dumont 4%, Perez 3%
Submission, 10% overall: Dumont 2%, Perez 8%
Decision, 83% overall: Dumont 34%, Perez 49%
Version not reported · 26 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
Odds
How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.
Market read · 6 sportsbooks
40%
Norma Dumont
60%
Ailin Perez
Favoured: Perez (60%) Called it
Perez defeats Dumont · Dec
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