UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse  5 Sep 2026 · Accor Arena, Paris, France, FR

Mario Pinto defeats Ryan Spann by KO/TKO

Win Mario Pinto 13-0-0
Loss Ryan Spann 24-12-0
KO/TKO · punches

Round 2 · 0:55

Pinto vs Spann · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Spann dropped Pinto with an uppercut early in round one and briefly threatened a guillotine as he stood.

Pinto answered with a right hook that checked Spann, then a takedown and repeated ground-and-pound with Spann carrying his weight — Spann was visibly gassed between rounds.

A right hand, left hook and knee into the clinch, a trip takedown, and punches on a kneeling Spann until the referee stopped it.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Pinto

Pinto is 12-0 with eight of those twelve wins inside the distance — seven by knockout, one by submission. He lands 2.85 significant strikes a minute at 70% accuracy, the highest striking accuracy on this card, absorbs 1.93, and has not been taken down: 100% takedown defence across a 07:53 average.

Case for Spann

Spann has fourteen submission wins and a 1.66 submission average per 15 minutes, against a man who has never faced a professional loss. His 05:31 average fight time is the shorter of the two, and his 1.06 knockdown average is the higher.

What We Were Watching For

  • Pinto has never lost. Spann has 24 wins and 11 losses, and 21 of his 24 wins are finishes.
  • Striking accuracy 70% for Pinto against 40% for Spann, on 90 of 129 landed versus 309 of 779.
  • Spann absorbs 3.92 significant strikes a minute behind 43% defence; Pinto absorbs 1.93 behind 58%.
  • Average fight time: 05:31 for Spann, 07:53 for Pinto. Neither man is used to the third round.
Records & career stats
Pinto vs Spann
12-0-0
Record
24-11-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Portugal
Nationality
United States
28
Age
35
1.96 m
Height
1.96 m
201 cm
Reach
201 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
88%
—
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
7
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Spann leads
14
3.68
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Pinto leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.06
1.98
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Pinto leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.16
59%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Pinto leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
42%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Pinto leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
51%
07:29
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
05:33
Fightzone London
Team
Fortis MMA

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (2)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 10:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

High on Pinto's activity and finishing instinct, expecting a finish either on the mat or on the feet.

“Batman, don't matter. Pinto in two.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 19:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Expects Pinto's technical kickboxing to tire Spann and land the finish late.

“So Mario Pinto to get the job done to get the knockout in the later stage of the fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 20:47

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Backs Pinto's fight IQ and ground game to weather Spann's power and get a late stoppage.

“So, but give me Mario Pinto.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 12:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Picks Mario Pinto by knockout.

“Give me Mario Pinto. I knock out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 8:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · Dec

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Sees Pinto as younger, faster and the better striker against a defensively loose Spann.

“I'll go Mario Pinto to win this fight and win it by decision here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 67:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Rates Pinto nearly as big and dangerous as Spann with three full rounds of cardio behind him.

“I'm going to pick Mario Pinto here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 9:12

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · Dec

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Trusts Pinto's rounded skill set over Spann's one-dimensional power despite a dull last outing.

“I'm going to go Mario Pinto by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Mike Finch
Hear it — 81:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Expects Pinto's speed, boxing and cardio to wear down a Spann who fades after round one.

“With that being said, Mario Pinto, third round TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; Mike Finch Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 10:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

High on Pinto's activity and finishing instinct, expecting a finish either on the mat or on the feet.

“Batman, don't matter. Pinto in two.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKO · R2Pinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitHit
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 19:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Expects Pinto's technical kickboxing to tire Spann and land the finish late.

“So Mario Pinto to get the job done to get the knockout in the later stage of the fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKOPinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 20:47

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Backs Pinto's fight IQ and ground game to weather Spann's power and get a late stoppage.

“So, but give me Mario Pinto.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKOPinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 12:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Picks Mario Pinto by knockout.

“Give me Mario Pinto. I knock out.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKOPinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 8:58

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · Dec

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Sees Pinto as younger, faster and the better striker against a defensively loose Spann.

“I'll go Mario Pinto to win this fight and win it by decision here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · DecPinto · KO/TKO R2HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 67:28

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Rates Pinto nearly as big and dangerous as Spann with three full rounds of cardio behind him.

“I'm going to pick Mario Pinto here.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · to winPinto · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 9:12

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · Dec

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Trusts Pinto's rounded skill set over Spann's one-dimensional power despite a dull last outing.

“I'm going to go Mario Pinto by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · DecPinto · KO/TKO R2HitMissNot called
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch
Hear it — 81:18

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Mario Pinto · KO/TKO

Expects Pinto's speed, boxing and cardio to wear down a Spann who fades after round one.

“With that being said, Mario Pinto, third round TKO.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKO · R3Pinto · KO/TKO R2HitHitMiss

8 of 8 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

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