UFC Fight Night  26 Sep 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Yazmin Jauregui defeats Vanessa Demopoulos by KO/TKO

Loss Vanessa Demopoulos 11-9-0
Win Yazmin Jauregui 12-2-0
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · strikes

Round 1 · 1:02

Demopoulos vs Jauregui — Women's Strawweight · UFC Fight Night

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Demopoulos opened with forward pressure and looked to turn the first exchange into a grappling sequence.

Jauregui answered with a flurry along the fence and kept working when Demopoulos tried to scramble into an armbar.

Jauregui finished with hammerfists at 1:02 of round one for the official knockout win.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Demopoulos

Demopoulos brings an experienced grappling route into the strawweight matchup. Her task is to close distance, create control and turn scrambles into repeatable advantages.

Case for Jauregui

Jauregui's route is to keep the exchanges clean and fast, using distance and volume to prevent Demopoulos from settling into prolonged control positions.

What We Were Watching For

  • Whether Demopoulos can force grappling exchanges.
  • How Jauregui manages distance under pressure.
  • Which fighter controls the key scrambles.
Records & career stats
Demopoulos vs Jauregui
Demopoulos Jauregui
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.37 6.64
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 41% 55%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 5.39 5.25
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 26% 100%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 45% 67%
11-8-0
Record
11-2-0
1-4 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-2 last 5
United States
Nationality
Mexico
37
Age
25
1.57 m
Height — Jauregui leads
1.60 m
151 cm
Reach — Jauregui leads
163 cm
Not published
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
45%
Finish rateFinish % — Jauregui leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
67%
1
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Jauregui leads
8
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Demopoulos leads
0
3.37
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Jauregui leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
6.64
5.39
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.25
41%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Jauregui leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
55%
26%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Jauregui leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
100%
12:48
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:30
UFC Performance Institute
Team
Entram Gym

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight
Fighter interview▶ Yazmin Jauregui Octagon Interview | UFC Vegas 121

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Drake Burden picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 5:10

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Yazmin has striking advantage and can control the grappling exchange to secure a decision win.

“I will side with Yasmin. I think that she's better on the feet and can stop some takedowns.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett
Hear it — 61:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.

“Yasmin decision for me.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 2:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.

“I'll go Herggi by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 21:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Angelo picks canonical Yazmin Jauregui; the transcript's Yasmin Yarui/Yin forms are caption variants.

“So Yasmin has to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 3:37

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“In this one I got Yair Aguiar via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Artem MMA
Hear it — 3:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by knockout.

“I think Yasmin is going to win this fight and win this fight by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Guy Bruhn picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Adam Martin
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Jon Litterine picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 3:50

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Fight Productions picks Yazmin Jauregui by third-round knockout over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“I'll go round three knockout win for Yazmin Jauregui.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Cole Shelton in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 3:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“She should get this one done pretty easily in my opinion. Uh 3027 is my prediction by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Chris Schweppe.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 4:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“Yasmin Jauregui is going to beat her ass and Jauregui is going to win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Kyle Marley
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Sub

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

SportsLine reports Kyle Marley picks Yazmin Jauregui by submission over Vanessa Demopoulos.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (4 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 7:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“I'm picking J Yasmin. Picking Yasmin to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Uselyis
Hear it — 7:52

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

From parlay combination; decision-method prediction.

“Yasmin decision, Castanada decision, and Montel decision plus 685”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Rparqs
Hear it — 2:24

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“Give me Yasmin Jaguar to win this fight. I think by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (24 calls)
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)

Analyst picks: Drake Burden Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; KingofCrackdown5095 Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Guy Bruhn Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Fight Productions Hit; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Chris Schweppe Hit; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; Kyle Marley Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Uselyis Hit; Nick Kalikas Hit; Rparqs Hit; Chris White Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Drake Burden picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 5:10

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Yazmin has striking advantage and can control the grappling exchange to secure a decision win.

“I will side with Yasmin. I think that she's better on the feet and can stop some takedowns.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett
Hear it — 61:34

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.

“Yasmin decision for me.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 2:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision.

“I'll go Herggi by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 21:30

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Angelo picks canonical Yazmin Jauregui; the transcript's Yasmin Yarui/Yin forms are caption variants.

“So Yasmin has to be the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
KingofCrackdown509539 resolved calls
KingofCrackdown5095
Hear it — 3:37

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

KingofCrackdown5095 picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“In this one I got Yair Aguiar via decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 12 8
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 4 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
View full track record (39 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA
Hear it — 3:48

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui by knockout.

“I think Yasmin is going to win this fight and win this fight by knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Jauregui · KO/TKOJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called
Guy Bruhn12 resolved calls
Guy Bruhn
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Guy Bruhn picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Adam Martin40 resolved calls
Adam Martin
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
View full track record (40 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Jon Litterine picks Yazmin Jauregui.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions
Hear it — 3:50

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO · Round 3

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Fight Productions picks Yazmin Jauregui by third-round knockout over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“I'll go round three knockout win for Yazmin Jauregui.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Jauregui · KO/TKO · R3Jauregui · KO/TKO R1HitHitMiss
MikesMMAPicks35 resolved calls
MikesMMAPicks
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Cole Shelton in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA
Hear it — 3:14

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“She should get this one done pretty easily in my opinion. Uh 3027 is my prediction by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Chris Schweppe.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA
Hear it — 4:42

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Greedo Plays MMA picks Yazmin Jauregui by decision over Vanessa Demopoulos.

“Yasmin Jauregui is going to beat her ass and Jauregui is going to win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Kyle Marley4 resolved calls
Kyle Marley
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Sub

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

SportsLine reports Kyle Marley picks Yazmin Jauregui by submission over Vanessa Demopoulos.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (4 calls)
Jauregui · SubJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 7:09

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“I'm picking J Yasmin. Picking Yasmin to win this fight.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Uselyis41 resolved calls
Uselyis
Hear it — 7:52

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

From parlay combination; decision-method prediction.

“Yasmin decision, Castanada decision, and Montel decision plus 685”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
  • Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
View full track record (41 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Nick Kalikas35 resolved calls
Nick Kalikas
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (35 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Rparqs24 resolved calls
Rparqs
Hear it — 2:24

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui · Dec

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Picks Yazmin Jauregui.

“Give me Yasmin Jaguar to win this fight. I think by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
  • Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (24 calls)
Jauregui · DecJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
Chris White35 resolved calls
Chris White
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Yazmin Jauregui

Fight result: Yazmin Jauregui · KO/TKO

Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
View full track record (35 calls)
Jauregui · to winJauregui · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called

22 of 22 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

Results

Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.

Actual Jauregui · KO/TKO · R1

Closest probability Gemini put 84% on Jauregui.

ChatGPT47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
17% Demopoulos
83% Jauregui
PickJauregui · DecisionActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
Claude46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
22% Demopoulos
78% Jauregui
PickJauregui · KO/TKO · R2ActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodHitRoundMiss
Gemini50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
16% Demopoulos
84% Jauregui
PickJauregui · DecisionActualJauregui · KO/TKO · R1
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot

AI Predictions

Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 26 Sep

All 3 models pick Jauregui

They differ on how the fight ends, with win chances from 78% (Claude) to 84% (Gemini).

Method mix differs most for Decision: 42% (Claude) to 65% (ChatGPT), a 23-point range.

  • ChatGPT

    47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

    Pick Jauregui by decision

    Win probability: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%.

    gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep

    High confidence

  • Claude

    46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

    Pick Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 2

    Win probability: Demopoulos 22%, Jauregui 78%.

    claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep

    High confidence

  • Gemini

    50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

    Pick Jauregui by decision

    Win probability: Demopoulos 16%, Jauregui 84%.

    Version not reported · 26 Sep

    High confidence
More detail3 areas differ

The models differ on finish method, round timing, probability distribution.

Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round—Round 2—
Forecast comparison by model
DetailChatGPTClaudeGemini
How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack
Round—Round 2—

ChatGPT

Pick

Jauregui by decision

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Demopoulos 17%, Jauregui 83%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 26% overall: Demopoulos 2%, Jauregui 24%
Submission, 9% overall: Demopoulos 7%, Jauregui 2%
Decision, 65% overall: Demopoulos 8%, Jauregui 57%

gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate

Claude

Pick

Jauregui by KO/TKO in round 2

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Demopoulos 22%, Jauregui 78%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 41% overall: Demopoulos 3%, Jauregui 38%
Submission, 17% overall: Demopoulos 12%, Jauregui 5%
Decision, 42% overall: Demopoulos 7%, Jauregui 35%

claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate

Gemini

Pick

Jauregui by decision

High confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
Win probability: Demopoulos 16%, Jauregui 84%

Winner probability by method

KO/TKO, 30% overall: Demopoulos 2%, Jauregui 28%
Submission, 9% overall: Demopoulos 6%, Jauregui 3%
Decision, 61% overall: Demopoulos 8%, Jauregui 53%

Version not reported · 26 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate

AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.