UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse  5 Sep 2026 · Accor Arena, Paris, France, FR

Kurtis Campbell defeats Trevor Peek by Submission

Win Kurtis Campbell 9-1-0
Loss Trevor Peek 9-4-0
Submission · rear-naked choke

Round 3 · 3:07

Campbell vs Peek · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Campbell opened with front kicks to the body and a head kick that cut Peek near the right eye, then took him down repeatedly and passed to mount for elbow-heavy ground-and-pound.

Rounds two and three repeated it: takedown, back control, body triangle, punches and elbows. Peek could stand up but never break away.

With the body triangle set, Campbell worked his arm under the chin and finished it.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Campbell

Campbell is 8-1 and 24 years old, giving up seven years to Peek. His UFC sample is one short fight — a 03:26 average — but inside it he attempted ten takedowns, which reads as an 8.76 takedown average per 15 minutes against a man whose takedown defence is 53%.

Case for Peek

Peek lands 4.39 significant strikes a minute at 54% accuracy to Campbell’s 3.50 at 48%, and carries a 0.41 knockdown average to Campbell’s 0.00. His 12:06 average fight time against Campbell’s 03:26 is the deep-water advantage.

What We Were Watching For

  • Campbell’s 8.76 takedown average comes from a 03:26 sample of ten attempts; treat it as intent, not an established rate.
  • Peek has 319 significant strikes landed in the UFC to Campbell’s 24.
  • Peek absorbs 3.88 a minute behind 44% defence — the softer target of the two.
  • Seven-year age gap: Campbell 24, Peek 31. Identical 1.75 m height, Campbell 5 cm longer in reach.
Records & career stats
Campbell vs Peek
Campbell Peek
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 3.41 3.86
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 58% 42%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 1.5 3.8
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 50% 51%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 78% 89%
8-1-0
Record
9-3-0
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
England
Nationality
United States
24
Age
31
1.75 m
Height
1.75 m
183 cm
Reach — Campbell leads
178 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
78%
Finish rateFinish % — Peek leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
89%
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Peek leads
8
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Campbell leads
0
3.41
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Peek leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.86
1.5
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Campbell leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.8
58%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Campbell leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
42%
50%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
51%
06:39
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
12:15
KC Fight Base, Liverpool Combat Academy, The MMA Academy
Team
Powell’s Martial Arts Concepts, Academy of Athletics

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 14:27

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's kicking and takedown game to break down a Peek returning from injury, ending in a choke.

“I think Pink Panther just takes him down, gets on his back, eventually locks up a rear naked choke. We're going with Pink Panther to win this one. So, we're going to go with Curtis Campbell.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
AJ Devito
Hear it — 31:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Calls it a low-confidence pick leaning on Campbell's jiu-jitsu, while flagging concern about his chin.

“I am going to predict Curtis Campbell,”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 34:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's grappling edge to control Peek and win the scorecards.

“So I'll say Campbell does enough with the grappling, lands some decent shots on the feet by just being a little bit sharper.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 18:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Picks Kurtis Campbell by decision.

“Give me Curtis Campbell by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 17:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's wrestling and ground-and-pound to control Peek, whose takedown defence he calls a major hole.

“give me Kurtis Campbell to win. Kurtis Campbell to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 6:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Rates Campbell the far more skilled grappler despite an ugly last performance.

“So, I'm just going to go with the better actual fight the person who has the better skills at the sport that they will compete be competing in. So, Curtis Campbell.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 14:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's grappling to overwhelm a rusty, defensively loose Peek early.

“I'm going to go with Curtis Campbell by submission in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 12:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Calls Campbell the safe side on current momentum, keeping a Peek knockout only as a separate value aside.

“I think you go Campbell decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Mike Finch
Hear it — 74:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Trusts Campbell's jiu-jitsu and live submission threat against an inactive, weight-dropping Peek.

“I'm going Pink Panther. Pink Panther.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Hit; Mike Finch Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 14:27

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's kicking and takedown game to break down a Peek returning from injury, ending in a choke.

“I think Pink Panther just takes him down, gets on his back, eventually locks up a rear naked choke. We're going with Pink Panther to win this one. So, we're going to go with Curtis Campbell.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · SubCampbell · Sub R3HitHitNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 31:32

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Calls it a low-confidence pick leaning on Campbell's jiu-jitsu, while flagging concern about his chin.

“I am going to predict Curtis Campbell,”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to winCampbell · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 34:26

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's grappling edge to control Peek and win the scorecards.

“So I'll say Campbell does enough with the grappling, lands some decent shots on the feet by just being a little bit sharper.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · DecCampbell · Sub R3HitMissNot called
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 18:39

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Picks Kurtis Campbell by decision.

“Give me Curtis Campbell by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · DecCampbell · Sub R3HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 17:40

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's wrestling and ground-and-pound to control Peek, whose takedown defence he calls a major hole.

“give me Kurtis Campbell to win. Kurtis Campbell to win this fight by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · DecCampbell · Sub R3HitMissNot called
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 6:36

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Rates Campbell the far more skilled grappler despite an ugly last performance.

“So, I'm just going to go with the better actual fight the person who has the better skills at the sport that they will compete be competing in. So, Curtis Campbell.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to winCampbell · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 14:22

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub · Round 1

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Expects Campbell's grappling to overwhelm a rusty, defensively loose Peek early.

“I'm going to go with Curtis Campbell by submission in the first round.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Sub · R1Campbell · Sub R3HitHitMiss
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 12:25

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Dec

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Calls Campbell the safe side on current momentum, keeping a Peek knockout only as a separate value aside.

“I think you go Campbell decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · DecCampbell · Sub R3HitMissNot called
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch
Hear it — 74:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Kurtis Campbell · Sub

Fight result: Kurtis Campbell · Submission

Trusts Campbell's jiu-jitsu and live submission threat against an inactive, weight-dropping Peek.

“I'm going Pink Panther. Pink Panther.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · SubCampbell · Sub R3HitHitNot called

9 of 9 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 7 sportsbooks

77% Kurtis Campbell
23% Trevor Peek

Favoured: Campbell (77%) Called it

Campbell defeats Peek · Sub R3

Final pre-fight line · as of 5 Sep 17:29 UTC · 7 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.