Boser vs Diniz — Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

Scheduled · 17 Oct 2026 UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Buckley vs. Malott · Heavyweight · Preliminary Card · 3 rounds · Edmonton, Alberta
Tanner
Boser
Record Record: 22-11-1
Wins
22
Losses
11
Draws
1
12KO/TKO
2Sub
8Dec

Red corner

22-11-1
Record
9-2-0
Source pending
Nationality
Brazil
35
Age
35
74 in
Height — Diniz leads
1.93 m
75.5 in
Reach — Diniz leads
202 cm
4.82
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Boser leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.89
64%
Finish rateFinish % — Diniz leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
78%
Jhonata
Diniz
Record Record: 9-2-0
Wins
9
Losses
2
Draws
0
7KO/TKO
0Sub
2Dec

Blue corner

View full tale of the tape & radar (+9)
22-11-1
Record
9-2-0
Source pending
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
—
Source pending
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
12
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Boser leads
7
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Boser leads
0
3
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Boser leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.62
58%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
57%
70%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
70%
10:52
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
09:56

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect the fighter data snapshot used for this page. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Predictions summary

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Analysts

Independent analyst picks — analysts, fighters and betting desks — on this fight: who they pick, how, and the exact moment they say it. Tap any clip to hear it.

Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Andy Lang names Tanner Boser at +200 as the pick; no method or round is stated. Andy Lang adds that he would not bet this fight with his own money; retained as his stated winner opinion, not a wager recommendation.

“Boser at +200 is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Guy Bruhn

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Tanner Boser.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tanner Boser (+205)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Litterine explicitly lists Tanner Boser as his pick, while framing it as a tentative underdog/value play that may lose.

“It feels gross, but I'll roll the dice on Boser in hopes his durability isn't totally shot. If it isn't, I think he's competitive and worthy of the 'dog shot, even if he comes up short. UFC EDMONTON PICK: Boser”

* Tentative underdog/value selection; the author says Boser may still come up short.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Bookie Beatdown names Tanner Boser in the closing recap of its picks; the captions use a phonetic spelling.

“Tanner Bozer”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO · Round 2

Chris Schweppe picks Tanner Boser by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Hear it — 65:24 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“i'm gonna take the coward's way out i'll pick Jonathan Denise uh but my heart will be firmly in the corner of Tanner Bozer”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 36:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

“So unfortunately Canada will have to take a loss here as I go Janata Dinez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 14:12 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Jhonata Diniz by knockout, estimating the finish in round two or three.

“I'll go Denise by KO I think Bozer is at that level of being washed where Denise can probably finish him I'll say second or third round though”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

AJ prefers Diniz's kickboxing and power over Boser's brawling style, while leaving the exact method uncertain.

“So, the pick is going to be Johannes to do more over 15 minutes and potentially stop Boer with a counter shot.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 27:46 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“janata Denise is the pick it's hard to be that confident in a guy who gets finished if you just look at him on the ground but I think he's going to end up with a finish here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

JakeGerberMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by second-round knockout.

“I think Janata Denise goes out here and ends up finding a knockout in the second round.”

* Auto-captions render Diniz’s name phonetically as “Janata Denise”; the official bout roster identifies Jhonata Diniz.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

James favors Diniz’s striking and durability and predicts a knockout. Auto-captions misrender Diniz’s name, but the segment is the Boser–Diniz chapter and the surrounding analysis identifies both fighters.

“wins this fight via knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

He expects Jhonata Diniz to exploit Tanner Boser’s tendency to rely on his chin and predicts a second-round knockout.

“Denise is probably going to knock him out eventually here. We'll say second round knockout for Janata Denise.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

138 MMA takes Jhonata Diniz, reasoning that Boser is likely to trade rather than follow a grappling-heavy plan; the auto-captions render Diniz as Denise.

“that's why I'm taking Denise”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

He expects Diniz to tag Boser over three rounds; Boser may have moments, but Kunath does not expect sustained success and says Diniz has a good chin.

“So, give me Jonata Diniz at the chance of winning by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 12:52 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

“So yeah I'm going to go with Janata Denise to win this one by decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 0:52 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

MMA Mathletes selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser; the spoken name is garbled in the transcript, so the exact quote is retained and no phonetic spelling is inferred.

“I do have Yonada Denise to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

Artem thinks Boser has lost the durability, striking defense and offense that once made him a gritty opponent. He is frustrated by Diniz’s low output and failure to deliver recent knockouts, but believes his kickboxing talent can produce a first-round knockout here.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Edwards lists Jhonata Diniz as his moneyline best bet, expecting Boser to struggle with Diniz’s striking.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 105:55 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Picks Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser.

“and I am going to go Denise in this one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Bert MMA sees Jhonata Diniz as the bigger, harder-hitting striker and doubts Tanner Boser has the wrestling to keep him down. He grants Boser a speed advantage and a possible takedown, but expects Diniz to get up and dominate the striking before a TKO in round one or two.

  • He names round one or round two rather than selecting a single finish round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Daniel Vreeland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Daniel Vreeland expects Jhonata Diniz to outstrike Tanner Boser and selects Diniz on the moneyline.

“UFC Edmonton Prelim Pick: Jhonata Diniz ML (-230).”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Fight Productions
Hear it — 21:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

“I do think Denise is gonna find the knockout here i'm gonna take him to win this one by round one KO i feel like you know it's more likely than not he gets it done early so round one knockout will be the pick”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Teller expects Diniz's stronger striking and power to hurt Boser and make him hesitant to pursue takedowns. He distrusts Boser's ability to exploit Diniz's grappling weakness, although he acknowledges that weakness creates a real path for Boser. He calls a Diniz knockout in the first or second round.

* Diniz's takedown defense remains a concern; Teller gives a first-or-second-round range rather than one selected round and sees the money-line value on Boser.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by first-round knockout.

“I think Denise will piece him up on the feet ... probably knock out Tanner Boser in round one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

Greedo selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by first-round knockout; the captioned winner name is too garbled to preserve as a reliable spoken form.

“I'm gonna go Janette Janette Denise first round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 24:15 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“I'm picking Jan Denise to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

MMA JAWN favors Diniz’s reach, technical kickboxing and power, and predicts a knockout.

“Jonathan Denise is going to be the pick and I think he gets it done via knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Steve Garcia
Hear it — 20:14 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“I think my pick's going to be Denise here”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

Brandon K selects Jhonata Diniz by Decision.

““I’m going to take Denise by decision here.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

They expect Jhonata Diniz’s kickboxing and striking to prevail if Boser chooses to trade.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

BennyPMMA selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to go with Jun DZ via KO.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
Maiden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Maiden selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO; no round is stated.

“Maiden picks Jhonata Diniz (54%) by KO/TKO over Tanner Boser.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

MMA.SOCIAL selects Jhonata Diniz by decision; no round is stated.

“Diniz by decision.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Jhonata Diniz; no round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

FightIQ predicts Jhonata Diniz at 76% confidence.

“We predict Jhonata Diniz — 76% confident”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
The Lab Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

The Lab Analytics selects Jhonata Diniz at 70.7% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

Fight Genie Claude selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by decision. Diniz’s reach and more measured striking favor him, while Boser’s stronger career differential and both fighters’ recent stoppages add risk. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie GPT selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by ko/tko in round 2. Diniz’s reach and accuracy, combined with both fighters’ recent stoppage vulnerability, support the second-round finish pick. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Combat Edge Model selects Jhonata Diniz as its model lean (58%) against Tanner Boser. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record

Analyst picks: The Die Hard MMA Podcast picks Diniz; MMA Lock of the Night picks Diniz; Jimbo Ortega MMA picks Diniz; Andy Lang picks Boser; AJ Devito picks Diniz; Angelo Bodetti picks Diniz; JakeGerberMMA picks Diniz; James Blissett picks Diniz; DFS By The Numbers picks Diniz; 138 MMA picks Diniz; Kunath picks Diniz; HopperMMA picks Diniz; MMA Mathletes picks Diniz; Artem MMA picks Diniz; Tim Edwards picks Diniz; Guy Bruhn picks Boser; Jacob Lines picks Diniz; Bert MMA picks Diniz; Jon Litterine picks Boser; Daniel Vreeland picks Diniz; Fight Productions picks Diniz; Walk The Line MMA picks Diniz; Bookie Beatdown picks Boser; TonyHasDiedMMA picks Diniz; Chris Schweppe picks Boser; Greedo Plays MMA picks Diniz; The MMA Yuda picks Diniz; MMA JAWN picks Diniz; Steve Garcia picks Diniz; Brandon K picks Diniz; Locked Door MMA picks Diniz; BennyPMMA picks Diniz; Maiden picks Diniz; MMA.SOCIAL picks Diniz; The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) picks Diniz; FightIQ picks Diniz; The Lab Analytics picks Diniz; Fight Genie (Claude) picks Diniz; Fight Genie (GPT) picks Diniz; AI Sports Metrics picks Diniz; FIGHT//AI picks Diniz; Combat Edge Model picks Diniz.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
The Die Hard MMA Podcast4 resolved calls
The Die Hard MMA Podcast
Hear it — 65:24 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“i'm gonna take the coward's way out i'll pick Jonathan Denise uh but my heart will be firmly in the corner of Tanner Bozer”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
View full track record (4 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
MMA Lock of the Night99 resolved calls
MMA Lock of the Night
Hear it — 36:45 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

“So unfortunately Canada will have to take a loss here as I go Janata Dinez by knockout”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 73.7% 73 26
  • Method Accuracy 54.8% 17 14
  • Round Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (99 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Jimbo Ortega MMA29 resolved calls
Jimbo Ortega MMA
Hear it — 14:12 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Jimbo Ortega MMA selects Jhonata Diniz by knockout, estimating the finish in round two or three.

“I'll go Denise by KO I think Bozer is at that level of being washed where Denise can probably finish him I'll say second or third round though”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 72.4% 21 8
  • Method Accuracy 73.3% 11 4
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (29 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Andy Lang10 resolved calls
Andy Lang

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Andy Lang names Tanner Boser at +200 as the pick; no method or round is stated. Andy Lang adds that he would not bet this fight with his own money; retained as his stated winner opinion, not a wager recommendation.

“Boser at +200 is the pick.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Boser · to winUpcomingBoserNot calledNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

AJ prefers Diniz's kickboxing and power over Boser's brawling style, while leaving the exact method uncertain.

“So, the pick is going to be Johannes to do more over 15 minutes and potentially stop Boer with a counter shot.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Angelo Bodetti36 resolved calls
Angelo Bodetti
Hear it — 27:46 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“janata Denise is the pick it's hard to be that confident in a guy who gets finished if you just look at him on the ground but I think he's going to end up with a finish here”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 66.7% 24 12
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 2
View full track record (36 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

JakeGerberMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by second-round knockout.

“I think Janata Denise goes out here and ends up finding a knockout in the second round.”

* Auto-captions render Diniz’s name phonetically as “Janata Denise”; the official bout roster identifies Jhonata Diniz.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR2
James Blissett54 resolved calls
James Blissett

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

James favors Diniz’s striking and durability and predicts a knockout. Auto-captions misrender Diniz’s name, but the segment is the Boser–Diniz chapter and the surrounding analysis identifies both fighters.

“wins this fight via knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
  • Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
View full track record (54 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

He expects Jhonata Diniz to exploit Tanner Boser’s tendency to rely on his chin and predicts a second-round knockout.

“Denise is probably going to knock him out eventually here. We'll say second round knockout for Janata Denise.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR2
138 MMA39 resolved calls
138 MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

138 MMA takes Jhonata Diniz, reasoning that Boser is likely to trade rather than follow a grappling-heavy plan; the auto-captions render Diniz as Denise.

“that's why I'm taking Denise”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
View full track record (39 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Kunath39 resolved calls
Kunath

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

He expects Diniz to tag Boser over three rounds; Boser may have moments, but Kunath does not expect sustained success and says Diniz has a good chin.

“So, give me Jonata Diniz at the chance of winning by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 25 14
  • Method Accuracy 52.6% 10 9
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (39 calls)
Diniz · DecUpcomingDinizDecNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 12:52 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

“So yeah I'm going to go with Janata Denise to win this one by decision”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Diniz · DecUpcomingDinizDecNot called
MMA Mathletes33 resolved calls
MMA Mathletes
Hear it — 0:52 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

MMA Mathletes selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser; the spoken name is garbled in the transcript, so the exact quote is retained and no phonetic spelling is inferred.

“I do have Yonada Denise to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
View full track record (33 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Artem MMA71 resolved calls
Artem MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

Artem thinks Boser has lost the durability, striking defense and offense that once made him a gritty opponent. He is frustrated by Diniz’s low output and failure to deliver recent knockouts, but believes his kickboxing talent can produce a first-round knockout here.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
  • Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
  • Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (71 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR1
Tim Edwards10 resolved calls
Tim Edwards

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Edwards lists Jhonata Diniz as his moneyline best bet, expecting Boser to struggle with Diniz’s striking.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (10 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Guy Bruhn12 resolved calls
Guy Bruhn

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

DocSports author Guy Bruhn explicitly selects Tanner Boser.

“Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tanner Boser (+205)”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (12 calls)
Boser · to winUpcomingBoserNot calledNot called
Jacob Lines7 resolved calls
Jacob Lines
Hear it — 105:55 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Picks Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser.

“and I am going to go Denise in this one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Bert MMA23 resolved calls
Bert MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Bert MMA sees Jhonata Diniz as the bigger, harder-hitting striker and doubts Tanner Boser has the wrestling to keep him down. He grants Boser a speed advantage and a possible takedown, but expects Diniz to get up and dominate the striking before a TKO in round one or two.

  • He names round one or round two rather than selecting a single finish round.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 56.5% 13 10
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
View full track record (23 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Litterine explicitly lists Tanner Boser as his pick, while framing it as a tentative underdog/value play that may lose.

“It feels gross, but I'll roll the dice on Boser in hopes his durability isn't totally shot. If it isn't, I think he's competitive and worthy of the 'dog shot, even if he comes up short. UFC EDMONTON PICK: Boser”

* Tentative underdog/value selection; the author says Boser may still come up short.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Boser · to winUpcomingBoserNot calledNot called
Daniel Vreeland29 resolved calls
Daniel Vreeland

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Daniel Vreeland expects Jhonata Diniz to outstrike Tanner Boser and selects Diniz on the moneyline.

“UFC Edmonton Prelim Pick: Jhonata Diniz ML (-230).”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.2% 16 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Fight Productions42 resolved calls
Fight Productions
Hear it — 21:04 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

“I do think Denise is gonna find the knockout here i'm gonna take him to win this one by round one KO i feel like you know it's more likely than not he gets it done early so round one knockout will be the pick”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
  • Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
  • Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
View full track record (42 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR1
Walk The Line MMA33 resolved calls
Walk The Line MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Teller expects Diniz's stronger striking and power to hurt Boser and make him hesitant to pursue takedowns. He distrusts Boser's ability to exploit Diniz's grappling weakness, although he acknowledges that weakness creates a real path for Boser. He calls a Diniz knockout in the first or second round.

* Diniz's takedown defense remains a concern; Teller gives a first-or-second-round range rather than one selected round and sees the money-line value on Boser.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 54.5% 18 15
  • Method Accuracy 57.1% 8 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
View full track record (33 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Bookie Beatdown36 resolved calls
Bookie Beatdown

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser

Bookie Beatdown names Tanner Boser in the closing recap of its picks; the captions use a phonetic spelling.

“Tanner Bozer”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 3 6
View full track record (36 calls)
Boser · to winUpcomingBoserNot calledNot called
TonyHasDiedMMA29 resolved calls
TonyHasDiedMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

TonyHasDiedMMA picks Jhonata Diniz by first-round knockout.

“I think Denise will piece him up on the feet ... probably knock out Tanner Boser in round one.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
  • Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
  • Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
View full track record (29 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR1
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Tanner Boser · KO/TKO · Round 2

Chris Schweppe picks Tanner Boser by second-round knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Boser · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingBoserKO/TKOR2
Greedo Plays MMA48 resolved calls
Greedo Plays MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 1

Greedo selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by first-round knockout; the captioned winner name is too garbled to preserve as a reliable spoken form.

“I'm gonna go Janette Janette Denise first round knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (48 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKO · R1UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR1
The MMA Yuda45 resolved calls
The MMA Yuda
Hear it — 24:15 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“I'm picking Jan Denise to win this fight”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
  • Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (45 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
MMA JAWN21 resolved calls
MMA JAWN

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

MMA JAWN favors Diniz’s reach, technical kickboxing and power, and predicts a knockout.

“Jonathan Denise is going to be the pick and I think he gets it done via knockout.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (21 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Steve Garcia9 resolved calls
Steve Garcia
Hear it — 20:14 Gemini YouTube analysis

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

“I think my pick's going to be Denise here”

* Analyst stated a lean

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (9 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Brandon K23 resolved calls
Brandon K

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

Brandon K selects Jhonata Diniz by Decision.

““I’m going to take Denise by decision here.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Diniz · DecUpcomingDinizDecNot called
Locked Door MMA7 resolved calls
Locked Door MMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

They expect Jhonata Diniz’s kickboxing and striking to prevail if Boser chooses to trade.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (7 calls)
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
BennyPMMA8 resolved calls
BennyPMMA

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

BennyPMMA selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO.

““I’m going to go with Jun DZ via KO.””

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
View full track record (8 calls)
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
Maiden
Maiden

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO

Maiden selects Jhonata Diniz by KO/TKO; no round is stated.

“Maiden picks Jhonata Diniz (54%) by KO/TKO over Tanner Boser.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · KO/TKOUpcomingDinizKO/TKONot called
MMA.SOCIAL
MMA.SOCIAL

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

MMA.SOCIAL selects Jhonata Diniz by decision; no round is stated.

“Diniz by decision.”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · DecUpcomingDinizDecNot called
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)
The Oracle (Blueprint MMA)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

The Oracle (Blueprint MMA) selects Jhonata Diniz; no round is stated.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
FightIQ
FightIQ

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

FightIQ predicts Jhonata Diniz at 76% confidence.

“We predict Jhonata Diniz — 76% confident”

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
The Lab Analytics
The Lab Analytics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

The Lab Analytics selects Jhonata Diniz at 70.7% and labels the pick Lean (informational — do not bet). The source describes Lean picks as informational and says not to bet; this records the model's selected winner without presenting it as betting advice. The method estimates are explicitly indicative, so method and round are omitted.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Fight Genie (Claude)
Fight Genie (Claude)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · Dec

Fight Genie Claude selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by decision. Diniz’s reach and more measured striking favor him, while Boser’s stronger career differential and both fighters’ recent stoppages add risk. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · DecUpcomingDinizDecNot called
Fight Genie (GPT)
Fight Genie (GPT)

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz · KO/TKO · Round 2

Fight Genie GPT selects Jhonata Diniz over Tanner Boser by ko/tko in round 2. Diniz’s reach and accuracy, combined with both fighters’ recent stoppage vulnerability, support the second-round finish pick. Fight Genie states that its displayed probabilities blend model and market inputs; its method page says the pick itself is independent.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · KO/TKO · R2UpcomingDinizKO/TKOR2
AI Sports Metrics
AI Sports Metrics

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

AI Sports Metrics explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. AI Sports Metrics identifies its UFC model as a fight-level probability beside the devigged market and warns the current MMA winner model has not beaten closing market.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
FIGHT//AI
FIGHT//AI

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

FIGHT//AI explicitly labels Jhonata Diniz as its AI/model pick against Tanner Boser. The page provides separate outcome probabilities but no explicit winner-specific method or round prediction, so those fields are omitted. FIGHT//AI says its displayed probability blends model, market, and fan-sentiment inputs.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called
Combat Edge Model
Combat Edge Model

Current pick evidence

Picked: Jhonata Diniz

Combat Edge Model selects Jhonata Diniz as its model lean (58%) against Tanner Boser. The event card describes a point-in-time model using Elo, records, and matchup data and says forecasts freeze before fight night. It provides win probabilities, not a selected method or round.

Analyst track record

No qualifying picks

View full track record
Diniz · to winUpcomingDinizNot calledNot called

16 of 42 see a finish — 16 by KO/TKO, 5 by decision.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

AI Predictions

Latest eligible AI predictions load when this page is online.

Odds

No current consensus line is saved on this page.

Best available price

Tanner Boser
+205 at DraftKings
Jhonata Diniz
-250 at BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings

Highest American-odds quote among 4 US-licensed sportsbooks, oldest quote Oct 14, 23:22 UTC. Lines move; confirm with the sportsbook. Not betting advice.

Offshore sportsbooks (not licensed in US states)
Tanner Boser
+208 at BetOnline.ag
Jhonata Diniz
-245 at Bovada

Best price among 3 offshore sportsbooks that quote this fight. Offshore books are not licensed by any US state regulator.

Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET