UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse  5 Sep 2026 · Accor Arena, Paris, France, FR

Axel Sola defeats Farès Ziam by KO/TKO

Loss Farès Ziam 18-6-0
Win Axel Sola 13-1-1
Watch the fight
KO/TKO · punch

Round 1 · 1:40

Ziam vs Sola · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Ziam led with inside leg kicks and a body kick; Sola answered with a right hook and countered a body kick with a clubbing right.

An overhand left landed flush and froze Ziam, who fell unconscious and took a further punch or two on the floor before the referee arrived.

Ziam was unconscious as he fell and took a further punch or two on the floor before the stoppage.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Ziam

Ziam is the hardest man on this card to hit cleanly after Michael Page: 1.58 significant strikes absorbed a minute behind a 64% defence, across a 13:12 average. He has 389 significant strikes landed in the UFC to Sola’s 143, a 191 cm reach, and 42 takedown attempts on record.

Case for Sola

Sola is 12-1-1 and lands 4.50 significant strikes a minute to Ziam’s 2.68 — roughly two-thirds more volume — with 0.94 knockdowns per 15 minutes against Ziam’s 0.21. One professional loss in fourteen fights, and the heavier hands in an all-French fight in Paris.

What We Were Watching For

  • Sola lands 4.50 significant strikes a minute but gives up 4.53. Ziam gives up 1.58.
  • Knockdown average: 0.94 for Sola, 0.21 for Ziam — the clearest route to a finish in either direction.
  • Ziam arrives on his first loss in five, a unanimous decision to Tom Nolan in June 2026, after wins over Puelles, Frevola, Davis and Sadykhov.
  • The last time Ziam fought in Paris he knocked Matt Frevola out with a knee in the third and took Performance of the Night.
Records & career stats
Ziam vs Sola
Ziam Sola
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.70 4.55
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 63% 61%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 1.63 4.52
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 71% 67%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 61% 64%
18-5-0
Record
12-1-1
—
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3-1-1 last 5
France
Nationality
France
29
Age
28
1.85 m
Height — Ziam leads
1.80 m
191 cm
Reach — Ziam leads
188 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
—
61%
Finish rateFinish % — Sola leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
64%
7
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
7
4
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ziam leads
2
2.70
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Sola leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.55
1.63
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Ziam leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.52
63%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
61%
71%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Ziam leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
67%
12:14
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
08:22
Dominance MMA, Onx Labs
Team
Boxing Squad

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

AJ Devito
Hear it — 67:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Credits Ziam's technical striking, clinch work and experience over a more hittable, less tested Sola.

“So, we're going FZam to beat Axel Sola in the co-main event.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 58:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Backs Ziam's technical edge over a dangerous but late-fading Sola.

“Give me ZM to get this one done by a competitive decision just a little bit sharper.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 30:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Expects Sola's cardio to fade after the first round while Ziam's cleaner defence and grappling take over.

“decision. So, give me Far as I'm to win and win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 20:19

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Reads it as a close, high-action fight but gives Ziam's size and power the edge on the cards.

“Close fight. I give ZM the edge.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Fares Ziam by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 31:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Backs Sola to out-work Ziam in the clinch and cage exchanges he considers Ziam's weakest area.

“I'm going to go with Axel Sala to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 28:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Picks Farès Ziam by decision.

“Give me fast Zim by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
We Want Picks
Hear it — 7:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Reads the striking as even and gives Sola the edge on his added wrestling and grit.

“Axel Sala is just as technical of a striker and a good wrestler and much more of a dog. So, I think Axel gets it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
HopperMMA
Hear it — 25:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Leans to Sola after Ziam's poor showing against Tom Nolan, while calling the fight very close.

“I'm going to go Axel Solar to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Mike Finch
Hear it — 105:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Points to Sola's post-Mason Jones improvement, reach and finishing intent as reasons to back the live underdog.

“I'M GOING AXEL SOLA. I'M KIND OF ON the Axel Sola train, bro.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Paris preview has Jesse Holland picking Axel Sola by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; AJ Devito Miss; JakeGerberMMA Miss; MMA Husky Hustler Hit; DFS By The Numbers Miss; We Want Picks Hit; HopperMMA Hit; James Lynch Miss; Andrew Richardson Miss; Mike Finch Hit; Jesse Holland Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 31:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Backs Sola to out-work Ziam in the clinch and cage exchanges he considers Ziam's weakest area.

“I'm going to go with Axel Sala to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · DecSola · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
AJ Devito237 resolved calls
AJ Devito
Hear it — 67:05

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Credits Ziam's technical striking, clinch work and experience over a more hittable, less tested Sola.

“So, we're going FZam to beat Axel Sola in the co-main event.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
  • Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
  • Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
View full track record (237 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · DecSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 58:57

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Backs Ziam's technical edge over a dangerous but late-fading Sola.

“Give me ZM to get this one done by a competitive decision just a little bit sharper.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · DecSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
MMA Husky Hustler31 resolved calls
MMA Husky Hustler
Hear it — 28:55

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Picks Farès Ziam by decision.

“Give me fast Zim by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.5% 20 11
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
View full track record (31 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · DecSola · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
DFS By The Numbers146 resolved calls
DFS By The Numbers
Hear it — 30:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Expects Sola's cardio to fade after the first round while Ziam's cleaner defence and grappling take over.

“decision. So, give me Far as I'm to win and win by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
  • Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
  • Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
  • Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
View full track record (146 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · DecSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
We Want Picks145 resolved calls
We Want Picks
Hear it — 7:46

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Reads the striking as even and gives Sola the edge on his added wrestling and grit.

“Axel Sala is just as technical of a striker and a good wrestler and much more of a dog. So, I think Axel gets it done.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
  • Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
View full track record (145 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · to winSola · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
HopperMMA121 resolved calls
HopperMMA
Hear it — 25:08

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Leans to Sola after Ziam's poor showing against Tom Nolan, while calling the fight very close.

“I'm going to go Axel Solar to win this one by decision.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
  • Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
  • Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
  • Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
View full track record (121 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · DecSola · KO/TKO R1HitMissNot called
James Lynch44 resolved calls
James Lynch
Source unavailable — 20:19

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Reads it as a close, high-action fight but gives Ziam's size and power the edge on the cards.

“Close fight. I give ZM the edge.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 61.4% 27 17
  • Method Accuracy 44.4% 8 10
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
View full track record (44 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · to winSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Andrew Richardson58 resolved calls
Andrew Richardson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Farès Ziam · Dec

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Paris X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Fares Ziam by decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
  • Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (58 calls)
Sportsbook Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · DecSola · KO/TKO R1MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Mike Finch40 resolved calls
Mike Finch
Hear it — 105:13

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Points to Sola's post-Mason Jones improvement, reach and finishing intent as reasons to back the live underdog.

“I'M GOING AXEL SOLA. I'M KIND OF ON the Axel Sola train, bro.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
  • Method Accuracy 62.5% 10 6
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
  • Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
View full track record (40 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · to winSola · KO/TKO R1HitNot calledNot called
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

Fight result: Axel Sola · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC Paris preview has Jesse Holland picking Axel Sola by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Sportsbook Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · KO/TKOSola · KO/TKO R1HitHitNot called

6 of 11 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

Odds

How the market called it — the final pre-fight line against the result, not betting advice.

Market read · 6 sportsbooks

58% Farès Ziam
42% Axel Sola

Favoured: Ziam (58%) Upset

Sola defeats Ziam · KO/TKO R1

Final pre-fight line · as of 5 Sep 17:29 UTC · 6 sportsbooks · Not betting advice · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET

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