“After I hit him a couple times, he started looking away from the shots.” Montel Jackson (@Montello135) made quick work of his Saturday en route to a first-round victory at #UFCVegas121 Prelim Results ➡️ https://t.co/PrGJB0jNWF Scorecards ➡️ https://t.co/5t667X4q4Q
View video on X ↗Montel Jackson defeats Ricky Simon by KO/TKO
KO/TKO · strikes
Round 2 · 2:39
Jackson vs Simon — Bantamweight · UFC Fight Night
Predictions summary
Analyst Picks
(17) 81%
19% (4)
AI Prediction
64%
36%
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Simon used his wrestling to put Jackson on the mat and build early control.
Jackson found space for his left hand, dropped Simon and began to reverse the fight's balance.
Jackson's second-round combination forced the referee to stop the fight at 2:39.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos prelim results
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Jackson
Jackson brings a long, athletic bantamweight frame and a clear distance-management route. His task is to keep Simon from turning the bout into a prolonged wrestling match.
Case for Simon
Simon is at his best when pressure and wrestling create repeated decisions for an opponent. His route is to close distance, chain attempts and make Jackson work from uncomfortable positions.
What We Were Watching For
- Whether Jackson can keep the fight at range.
- How Simon's wrestling pressure affects the pace.
- Which fighter wins the first extended scramble.
Records & career stats
- 15-4-0
- Record
- 22-7-1
- 3-2 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2-2-1 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- United States
- 34
- Age
- 33
- Not published
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 50%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 7
- 11:04
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 12:49
- Pura Vida BJJ & MMA
- Team
- Syndicate MMA
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
(17) 81%
WJackson
19% (4)
SimonL
Show Me The Money
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson.
“my favorite bet is going to be Montel Jackson money line”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog AccuracyNo qualifying picks
Drake Burden
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Drake Burden picks Montel Jackson.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · Dec
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Jackson improved takedown defense and can win rematch by boxing more aggressively and controlling distance.
“So, I'm going to go Montel Jackson. I think he's able to get this one done by a decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
James Blissett
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson by knockout.
“Montel Jackson via KO is my official prediction.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.8% 35 19
- Method Accuracy 48.6% 17 18
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO · Round 2
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson by second-round knockout.
“I'm going Montel Jackson by knockout here in the second round.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.4% 94 52
- Method Accuracy 58.5% 48 34
- Round Accuracy 35.9% 14 25
- Underdog Accuracy 35.0% 7 13
We Want Picks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Angelo picks Montel Jackson after breaking down the rematch with Ricky Simon.
“Montel's going to be the pick, but I'm not going to do anything with that information.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Artem MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson by knockout.
“I've got Montel Jackson by KO in this matchup.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 43 28
- Method Accuracy 63.9% 23 13
- Round Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
Adam Martin
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 57.5% 23 17
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.3% 19 16
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Cole Shelton picks Montel Jackson.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson.
“Montel Jackson will get a quick knockout here over Ricky Simone.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 51.7% 15 14
- Method Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 4
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · Dec
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Greedo Plays MMA picks Montel Jackson by decision over Ricky Simon.
“I'm going to go with Montel Jackson to win this fight by unanimous decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 24 24
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson.
“I'm picking Montel Jackson.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.9% 22 23
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Uselyis
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Strong takedown defense; winnable matchup against Ricky Simone.
“Our second most confident pick of the week is going to be Montto Jackson at a minus 210 versus Ricky Simone plus 162.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 48.8% 20 21
- Method Accuracy 41.7% 5 7
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 5
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · Dec
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Rparqs
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Picks Montel Jackson.
“I'm going to take Ricky Simo, I'm sorry, Montel Jackson by knockout.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 9 15
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
Chris White
Current pick evidence
Picked: Montel Jackson
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.1% 13 22
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 11.1% 1 8
Fight Productions
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ricky Simon · Dec
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Fight Productions picks Ricky Simon by decision over Montel Jackson.
“I'm gonna take Ricky Simon to win this one by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 54.8% 23 19
- Method Accuracy 73.9% 17 6
- Round Accuracy 46.7% 7 8
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ricky Simon · Dec
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by Chris Schweppe.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ricky Simon
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 45.7% 16 19
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidence
Picked: Ricky Simon
Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO
Josh Schonwald picks Ricky Simon.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Analyst picks: Show Me The Money Hit; Drake Burden Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit; James Blissett Hit; DFS By The Numbers Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Artem MMA Hit; Adam Martin Hit; Fight Productions Miss; MikesMMAPicks Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; TonyHasDiedMMA Hit; Chris Schweppe Miss; Greedo Plays MMA Hit; The MMA Yuda Hit; Uselyis Hit; Nick Kalikas Miss; Ryan Wohl Hit; Rparqs Hit; Josh Schonwald Miss; Chris White Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Show Me The Money
Show Me The Money
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson. “my favorite bet is going to be Montel Jackson money line” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson. “my favorite bet is going to be Montel Jackson money line” Track record builds as we verify their past calls. | ||||||
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Drake Burden picks Montel Jackson. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Drake Burden picks Montel Jackson. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
JakeGerberMMA
JakeGerberMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · Dec Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Jackson improved takedown defense and can win rematch by boxing more aggressively and controlling distance. “So, I'm going to go Montel Jackson. I think he's able to get this one done by a decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Jackson improved takedown defense and can win rematch by boxing more aggressively and controlling distance. “So, I'm going to go Montel Jackson. I think he's able to get this one done by a decision.” Track record: winner called in 83 of 127 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
James Blissett
James Blissett
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson by knockout. “Montel Jackson via KO is my official prediction.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson by knockout. “Montel Jackson via KO is my official prediction.” Track record: winner called in 35 of 54 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
DFS By The Numbers
DFS By The Numbers
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO · Round 2 Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson by second-round knockout. “I'm going Montel Jackson by knockout here in the second round.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · KO/TKO · R2 | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
| Picks Montel Jackson by second-round knockout. “I'm going Montel Jackson by knockout here in the second round.” Track record: winner called in 94 of 146 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Angelo picks Montel Jackson after breaking down the rematch with Ricky Simon. “Montel's going to be the pick, but I'm not going to do anything with that information.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Angelo picks Montel Jackson after breaking down the rematch with Ricky Simon. “Montel's going to be the pick, but I'm not going to do anything with that information.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Artem MMA
Artem MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson by knockout. “I've got Montel Jackson by KO in this matchup.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson by knockout. “I've got Montel Jackson by KO in this matchup.” Track record: winner called in 43 of 71 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Adam Martin
Adam Martin
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Written pick by Adam Martin in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 23 of 40 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Fight Productions
Fight Productions
Current pick evidencePicked: Ricky Simon · Dec Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Fight Productions picks Ricky Simon by decision over Montel Jackson. “I'm gonna take Ricky Simon to win this one by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Simon · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Fight Productions picks Ricky Simon by decision over Montel Jackson. “I'm gonna take Ricky Simon to win this one by decision.” Track record: winner called in 23 of 42 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
MikesMMAPicks
MikesMMAPicks
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Written pick by MikesMMAPicks in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 19 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Cole Shelton picks Montel Jackson. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Cole Shelton picks Montel Jackson. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
TonyHasDiedMMA
TonyHasDiedMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson. “Montel Jackson will get a quick knockout here over Ricky Simone.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson. “Montel Jackson will get a quick knockout here over Ricky Simone.” Track record: winner called in 15 of 29 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Ricky Simon · Dec Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by Chris Schweppe. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Simon · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Written pick by Chris Schweppe. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Greedo Plays MMA
Greedo Plays MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · Dec Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Greedo Plays MMA picks Montel Jackson by decision over Ricky Simon. “I'm going to go with Montel Jackson to win this fight by unanimous decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Greedo Plays MMA picks Montel Jackson by decision over Ricky Simon. “I'm going to go with Montel Jackson to win this fight by unanimous decision.” Track record: winner called in 24 of 48 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
The MMA Yuda
The MMA Yuda
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson. “I'm picking Montel Jackson.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson. “I'm picking Montel Jackson.” Track record: winner called in 22 of 45 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Uselyis
Uselyis
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Strong takedown defense; winnable matchup against Ricky Simone. “Our second most confident pick of the week is going to be Montto Jackson at a minus 210 versus Ricky Simone plus 162.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Strong takedown defense; winnable matchup against Ricky Simone. “Our second most confident pick of the week is going to be Montto Jackson at a minus 210 versus Ricky Simone plus 162.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 41 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Nick Kalikas
Nick Kalikas
Current pick evidencePicked: Ricky Simon Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Simon · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Written pick by Nick Kalikas in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 16 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Ryan Wohl
Ryan Wohl
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · Dec Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Written pick by Ryan Wohl in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 4 of 10 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Rparqs
Rparqs
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Picks Montel Jackson. “I'm going to take Ricky Simo, I'm sorry, Montel Jackson by knockout.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · KO/TKO | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| Picks Montel Jackson. “I'm going to take Ricky Simo, I'm sorry, Montel Jackson by knockout.” Track record: winner called in 9 of 24 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Josh Schonwald
Josh Schonwald
Current pick evidencePicked: Ricky Simon Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Josh Schonwald picks Ricky Simon. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Simon · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Josh Schonwald picks Ricky Simon. Track record: winner called in 3 of 8 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris White
Chris White
Current pick evidencePicked: Montel Jackson Fight result: Montel Jackson · KO/TKO Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Written pick by Chris White in the cited pre-event article. Track record: winner called in 13 of 35 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
17 of 21 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Results
Pre-fight calls vs result. Market: sportsbook snapshot or historic market reconstruction.
Actual Jackson · KO/TKO · R2
Closest probability ChatGPT put 65% on Jackson.
65%
Jackson
35%
Simon
PickJackson · DecisionActualJackson · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
63%
Jackson
37%
Simon
PickJackson · DecisionActualJackson · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot called
63%
Jackson
37%
Simon
PickJackson · DecisionActualJackson · KO/TKO · R2
WinnerHitMethodMissRoundNot calledAI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
Independent forecasts from ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini · latest 26 Sep
All 3 models pick Jackson
All three expect a win by decision, with win chances from 63% (Claude and Gemini) to 65% (ChatGPT).
Method mix differs most for Decision: 56% (Claude) to 66% (Gemini), a 10-point range.
-
ChatGPT
47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Pick Jackson by decision
Win probability: Jackson 65%, Simon 35%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Claude
46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Pick Jackson by decision
Win probability: Jackson 63%, Simon 37%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score. -
Gemini
50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
Pick Jackson by decision
Win probability: Jackson 63%, Simon 37%.
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.
More detail1 area differs
The models differ on probability distribution.
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
| Detail | ChatGPT | Claude | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| How it endsKO/TKOSubmissionDecisionTop to bottom in each stack | |||
| Round | — | — | — |
ChatGPT
Pick
Jackson by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Jackson 65%, Simon 35%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 30% overall: Jackson 25%, Simon 5%
Submission, 6% overall: Jackson 3%, Simon 3%
Decision, 64% overall: Jackson 37%, Simon 27%
gpt-6-astra · 25 Sep47 of 81 winner picks correct · 58% hit rate
Claude
Pick
Jackson by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Jackson 63%, Simon 37%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 36% overall: Jackson 28%, Simon 8%
Submission, 8% overall: Jackson 3%, Simon 5%
Decision, 56% overall: Jackson 32%, Simon 24%
claude-sonnet-5 · 25 Sep46 of 75 winner picks correct · 61% hit rate
Gemini
Pick
Jackson by decision
Medium confidenceConfidence labelBased on the higher win probability: Low below 58%, Medium 58–69%, High 70% or more. This is a coarse probability band, not a separate calibrated score.Win probability: Jackson 63%, Simon 37%
Winner probability by method
KO/TKO, 28% overall: Jackson 21%, Simon 7%
Submission, 6% overall: Jackson 2%, Simon 4%
Decision, 66% overall: Jackson 40%, Simon 26%
Version not reported · 26 Sep50 of 81 winner picks correct · 62% hit rate
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
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