JakeGerberMMA covers UFC and MMA, with occasional boxing coverage. His formats include fight breakdowns, predictions, news, livestreams and fight companions with play-by-play.
Scorecard
Called 83 of 127 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
- Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
- Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
83 of 127 — 65% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 2 points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
60% 29 of 48 correct winners that named a method
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Round
44% 4 of 9 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
30% 3 of 10 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 6 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 332 11 hit · 3 miss
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 5 hit · 4 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 4 hit · 5 miss
- Hooker vs. Parnasse 8 hit · 5 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 8 hit · 5 miss
- Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 8 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 330 6 hit · 5 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 2 hit · 2 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 6 hit · 2 miss
- Ankalaev vs. Guskov 9 hit · 1 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 8 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 333
Volkanovski vs. Evloev
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkanovski vs Evloev | Volkanovski · Dec | Upcoming | Volkanovski | Dec | Not called |
| Yan vs Dvalishvili | Yan · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Yan | KO/TKO | Not called |
Buckley vs. Malott
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley vs Malott | Malott · Dec | Upcoming | Malott | Dec | Not called |
| Anheliger vs Koslow | Koslow · Sub | Upcoming | Koslow | Sub | Not called |
| Barriault vs Daukaus * Auto-captions render Daukaus as “Dawkins”; “Dar Knight” and the official bout roster identify Kyle Daukaus. No round is specified. | Daukaus · Sub | Upcoming | Daukaus | Sub | Not called |
| Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius * The captions garble first names in the segment, but the named matchup and official bout roster identify Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius. | Blanchfield · Dec | Upcoming | Blanchfield | Dec | Not called |
| Boser vs Diniz * Auto-captions render Diniz’s name phonetically as “Janata Denise”; the official bout roster identifies Jhonata Diniz. | Diniz · KO/TKO · R2 | Upcoming | Diniz | KO/TKO | R2 |
| Cerminara vs Stiller * The captions garble Cerminara’s name in the surrounding segment; the named opponent and official bout roster identify the matchup. | Cerminara · Dec | Upcoming | Cerminara | Dec | Not called |
| Chovancek vs You * Auto-captions render Chovancek’s surname phonetically as “Chauvanchek”; the official bout roster identifies Cody Chovancek. | Chovancek · KO/TKO · R3 | Upcoming | Chovancek | KO/TKO | R3 |
| Croden vs Chandler * Auto-captions render Croden as “Cronin”; the official bout roster identifies Melissa Croden. The score is captioned as “2928.” | Croden · Dec | Upcoming | Croden | Dec | Not called |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba * Auto-captions render the names as “Jordan” and “Kawa”; the official bout roster identifies Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba. | Jourdain · Sub · R3 | Upcoming | Jourdain | Sub | R3 |
| Leblanc vs Galanti * Auto-captions render Galanti as “Galante”; the official bout roster identifies Nick Galanti. No round is specified. | Galanti · Sub | Upcoming | Galanti | Sub | Not called |
| Mahjoub vs Faglier * The analyst qualifies this as a lean pending weigh-ins and notes uncertainty; no method or round is specified. | Faglier · to win | Upcoming | Faglier | Not called | Not called |
| Nallo vs Landwehr * Auto-captions render Nallo as “Nalo.” The analyst discusses a Landwehr path but keeps Nallo as his pick. | Nallo · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Nallo | KO/TKO | R1 |
| Nelson vs Perez * The analyst and captions call him “Christian Perez”; the official bout roster uses the canonical name Cristian Perez Gonzalez. | Perez · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Perez | KO/TKO | R1 |
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
JakeGerberMMA leans Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his striking speed and athleticism and saying he could outpoint or knock out Allen. “I think Christian Leroy Duncan, where my head's at right now, I think he wins this fight.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“so for now I'm going to say Matteos Camo gets this one done man” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Tricky fight and coin flip; wouldn't be surprised if Herbert gets it done. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · to win | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“so I'm going to go 30 to 27 andre Phely” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“So I'm going to say Felipe Franco goes out here and ends up getting a round two ground and pound TKO” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · KO/TKO | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“yeah I'm picking RJ Harris to win this fight and he's going to win this fight probably by knockout” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · to win | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“So I'm going to ever so slightly lean in the direction of Lupy Godinez” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Back and forth coin flip fight, says he's sticking with Loopy for now. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto * States low confidence in either fighter. | Kareckaitė · Dec | Draw | Kareckaitė | Dec | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“so I'm going to say Alice Peda gets this one done in a competitive decision here” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Low confidence pick, sees competitive fight that could go either way. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to win | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“So I feel like by default I have to pick Francisco Praau” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Believes Bonfim is more skilled but folds under adversity. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Price · to win | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“i'm picking Nico Price to win this freaking fight man” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. * Wants to see weigh-ins, but picks Price over Shahbazyan. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I feel like I have to choose Julius Walker by default” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Considered GM3 and noted Gerald could pull off a submission. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I think he goes out here and ends up knocking out Otari Tanzalovi in probably the second round” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 78.6% 11 3
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · Dec | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Jake picks Alexander Hernandez by decision. “Hernandez by decision, and Walker by” | |||||
| Talbott · to win | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Jake favors Payton Talbott over Deiveson Figueiredo but leaves open a decision or a knockout. “Payton Talbott's going to beat the brakes off of Deiveson Figueiredo.” | |||||
| Green · Dec | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Jake picks King Green to outpoint Esteban Ribovics with his boxing and defense, while warning that Ribovics’s head kick could change the result. “Bobby King Green to get this one done over Ribovic.” | |||||
| Nolan · KO/TKO | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Jake picks Eric Nolan by knockout. “prelims, we're going Nolan by knockout,” | |||||
| Pinas · KO/TKO | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Jake picks Damian Pinas by knockout, expecting a straight-right counter as Andrey Pulyaev throws kicks. He acknowledges Pulyaev’s survival against powerful opponents but emphasizes Pinas’s accuracy and patience. “Damian Penasse by knockout over Andre Puliev.” | |||||
| Rodriguez · KO/TKO | Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
JakeGerberMMA favors Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria, pointing to his well-rounded skills, excellent boxing and explosive power against Coria’s methodical, tactical approach. “Emannuel Rodriguez by knockout over Alden Coria.” | |||||
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
JakeGerberMMA selects Natalia Silva by decision. | |||||
| Vettori · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Jake picks Marvin Vettori by decision. “Smith by knockout, Vettori by decision,” | |||||
| Walker · Dec | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Jake picks Johnny Walker by decision. “Hernandez by decision, and Walker by decision.” | |||||
| Soldić · KO/TKO | Soldić · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Jake picks Roberto Soldic by knockout, expecting him to time Khaos Williams’s looping punches with a straight left down the middle and finish early. No particular round is stated. “where I think Roberto's going to be able to time him with a good straight left hand down the middle and put him away early in this fight.” | |||||
| Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Jake expects Anthony Wint to finish Lucas Armand. He points to Wint’s explosive striking power and ground-and-pound, while leaving open a knockout or a takedown into a submission. “going Anthony Win by finish. Now, I feel” | |||||
| Smith · KO/TKO | Smith · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Jake picks Jacobe Smith by knockout. “Smith by knockout, Vettori by decision,” | |||||
| McGhee · KO/TKO | McGhee · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Jake picks Marcus McGhee by knockout against short-notice debutant Anthony Romero. He credits McGhee’s footwork, striking and takedown defense, expecting his movement and shot selection to create the finish. “finish. Then, we're taking Markus McGee to get the job done.” | |||||
| Gautier · Dec | Kopylov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Jake expects Ateba Gautier to out-damage Roman Kopylov and win a decision. He thinks Kopylov will hesitate against Gautier’s power, look for kicks and spend the fight moving on the back foot. “Atiba will keep him on the back foot running around and he will out-damage him and get it done on the cards.” | |||||
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 55.6% 5 4
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 56.7%. Rosas Jr. · to win | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Leans Raul Rosas Jr. because of his youth, athleticism, and speed, expecting striking to set up his grappling rather than a hard grappling pace from the start. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * This is explicitly described as an early lean; JakeGerberMMA says Barcelos could take over if Rosas slows down. | |||||
| Jauregui · Dec | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Yazmin has striking advantage and can control the grappling exchange to secure a decision win. “I will side with Yasmin. I think that she's better on the feet and can stop some takedowns.” | |||||
| Castaneda · to win | Alatengheili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Castaneda's superior footwork, leg kicks, and movement give him output advantage over Alateng Heili. “I'm going to go John Castanady here. I think he's going to be a little bit busier.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.7%. Perez · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Perez has momentum, superior wrestling and grappling will control Dumont on the ground and win on control time. “I'm going to go Eileen Perez here I think she's got the momentum on her side and I also like the grappling that she brings to the table.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Jackson · Dec | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Jackson improved takedown defense and can win rematch by boxing more aggressively and controlling distance. “So, I'm going to go Montel Jackson. I think he's able to get this one done by a decision.” | |||||
| Brener · Dec | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Brener's experience and output on the feet will take rounds two and three over Harrell despite his wrestling threat. “I'll go Elves Brener here by a decision. I just think he's going to be able to be a little bit busier as the fight plays out.” | |||||
| Bellato · to win | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bellato's durability and proven striking will outlast Edwards despite Edwards' sharpness on the feet. “So, I'm going to go Bolato here.” | |||||
| Nakamura · Dec | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Nakamura's wrestling controls the fight, stops Hiestand's takedowns, and edges the striking exchanges on distance. “I think Rena is more explosive. His striking is improving. I think he can go out here and and staying up He stand and get this one done uh on the cards by decision. Give me Renya Nakamura.” | |||||
| Bryczek · KO/TKO · R2 | Vieira · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bryczek survives Vieira's early grappling threat, escapes submissions, then outstrikes and finishes slowing Vieira. “Vieta will start to gas and then Brit can put him away. So, I'll say it happens in round two. Give me Robert here.” | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hooker vs. Parnasse
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.8%. Parnasse · KO/TKO | Parnasse · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Salahdine Parnasse's speed, straight left hand, and all-around game to stop Dan Hooker within the first three rounds. “I think Salahdine Parnasse is able to TKO Dan Hooker inside the first three rounds.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Aljarouj · to win | Sintes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favours Aljarouj's striking and sprawl over Sintes' looping, opening-prone offence, without calling a finish. “So, I'm going to go Michael.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Montenegro · Dec | Benouaich · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favours Montenegro's physicality and forward pressure over Benouaich's less proven ground game. “Give me Sophia Montenegro by a 2928 uh close decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · Dec | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Campbell's grappling edge to control Peek and win the scorecards. “So I'll say Campbell does enough with the grappling, lands some decent shots on the feet by just being a little bit sharper.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Gives Lima the rounded-approach edge in an expected close fight. “but I'm going to give the slight lean to Felipe Lima to get it done 29 to 28 here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Syguła · Dec | Cornolle · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Gives Syguła the jab and output edge in what he calls a coin-flip fight. “but I'm going to side with Claudia Sigula here actually.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Donchenko · to win | Donchenko · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rates Donchenko's striking a step ahead but stays open between a decision and a body-shot finish. “but Donenko striking I think is a step ahead and I think he gets this one done” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Duclos · to win | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Duclos' sharper technical striking to catch a slowing Dias, without settling on finish or decision. “in terms of a pick, I'll say Dlo gets it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.3%. Keita · KO/TKO · R2 | Keita · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Backs Keita's power to find the finish against a more technical but less dangerous Naimov. “Give me Lucen Kada by round two knockout here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.1%. Page · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says repeatedly he dislikes the pick, then leans Page on footwork and elusiveness despite Ruziboev's grappling. “So, for now, I'll say MVP.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKO | Pinto · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Pinto's fight IQ and ground game to weather Spann's power and get a late stoppage. “So, but give me Mario Pinto.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Sy · to win | Bukauskas · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls both fighters unreliable but gives Sy a slight edge on reach and grappling in an expected split. “But in terms of a pick, I'll pick Umarci.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · Dec | Sola · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Ziam's technical edge over a dangerous but late-fading Sola. “Give me ZM to get this one done by a competitive decision just a little bit sharper.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Asakura · KO/TKO | Asakura · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Kai Asakura to find the knockout in one of the opening two rounds against Aori Qileng. “Kaya Sakura is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Lima · Sub | Lima · Sub R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Andre Lima by submission, expecting his movement, leg kicks and durability to create a later grappling opening. “Andre Lima by submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Liu · KO/TKO | Liu · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Liu Ce to find the knockout through his power against Levi Rodrigues Jr. “I'm going to pick Lou here. I'm going to pick Lou.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Bilal Hasan without committing to the earlier knockout lean as a final method call. “So, Balo is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Jenkins · Dec | Woodson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Jack Jenkins by decision in a close matchup, citing his damaging leg kicks. “Jack Jenkins by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Polastri · Dec | Polastri · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Julia Polastri by decision for her technical striking edge. “Go with Julia Polastri. She's going to outpoint her and get it done on the cards.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Lui · Dec | Santiago · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Lawrence Lui by decision, citing his CKB experience, jab, leg kicks, and wrestling. “Give me Lawrence Lui by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Nelson · Dec | Nelson · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Cam Nelson by decision for his grappling control and ground-and-pound. “Cam Nelson gets it done 29 to 28 on the cards.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision for his striking, wrestling, movement, and conditioning. “49-46 or 50-45.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Sumudaerji · Dec | Sumudaerji · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Sumudaerji by decision for his speed, footwork, and scrambling against wrestling. “Sumudaerji by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tsuruya · Sub · R1 | Tsuruya · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Rei Tsuruya for a first-round submission through his grappling advantage. “First-round submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Xiao · Dec | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Xiao Long by decision, citing his pressure, power, and volume. “Xiao Long by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Yan · Dec | Gomes · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Yan Xiaonan by decision for her technical striking, footwork, jab, and grappling defence. “Yan Xiaonan by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Rodrigues · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Reads it as Rodrigues early or Hernandez late, and takes Rodrigues on the more patient approach: right hands and knees to the body until Hernandez slows and backs away, with Rodrigues' ground game good enough to stall the early takedowns. “But I'm going to give the edge to Robocop with his more patient approach.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. de Ridder · Sub | de Ridder · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Dolidze to struggle in the clinch, de Ridder to tap away with knees to the body and take him down, then slide into a dominant position as Dolidze slows later in the fight and finish with an arm triangle. “RDR gets him down and ends up finding a submission. I like RDR at 205 a lot.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Nzechukwu · Dec | Gaziev · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sees Gaziev's early power and clinch pressure as the main danger, but expects Nzechukwu's front kicks, reach and southpaw striking to drain Gaziev's gas tank. Gives Nzechukwu rounds two and three after Gaziev fades and takes the decision. “Give me Kennedy by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Spivac · to win | Petrino · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Spivac as the underdog, rating him a well-rounded heavyweight with sharp striking and calling the jab money against Delija. Expects him to outscore Petrino with the jab, right hand and leg kicks provided he avoids a big shot, and notes Petrino is very hittable. Adds that Spivac has the grappling fallback Petrino lacks if the striking goes badly. “Give me Sergey here.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Judice · KO/TKO · R2 | Judice · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Credits Judice's movement, ring craft and improved takedown defence, and judges Chaves's ground game not good enough to trouble her -- noting Juliana Miller is far better on the ground than Chaves and still could not exploit it. Expects kicks to the body or a set-up high kick to end it. “Give me Carly Judice by second round knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Dyer · KO/TKO · R2 | Dyer · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Sees Dyer walking Reed down, blasting leg kicks, attacking the body and bringing combinations around the guard until Reed melts along the fence and the referee steps in. Rates Reed as technical but not dangerous enough to trouble Dyer, and says Dyer's ground game concerns are overstated -- she could equally outstrike Reed comfortably over fifteen minutes. “Give me Chanel Dyer by round two knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. McVey · KO/TKO · R1 | McVey · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Frames it as either McVey by TKO or Schultz by submission, and leans McVey on improved takedown defence, his clinch game and his range striking. Expects body work to pay off against an opponent who has slowed in previous fights, then follow-up ground and pound. Openly conflicted -- says he could see it going either way and that the fight is stressing him out. “I'll give the slight lean to Jackson McVey by um by round one TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Jones · Dec | Mederos · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls it a good, competitive fight and rates Mederos durable, but gives Jones the edge as the better grappler with more power. Expects Jones to drain Mederos's gas tank, then open up on the feet -- walking him down and advancing forward in a way that scores well with the judges. Scores it 29-28. “It's going to be Mason Jones via a dog fight. I think he gets it done by a competitive decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Padilla · Dec | Padilla · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Reads it as competitive and credits Haqparast's movement and high guard, suggesting he would be wise to work the body. Leans Padilla on forward pressure, with elbows and knees the deciding weapons -- expecting accumulated damage to edge it on the cards. Notes he has repeatedly backed Padilla as an underdog. “So slight lean for me towards Taco Padilla.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Young · Dec | Dorsainvil · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls it competitive and explicitly warns not to count Dorsainvil out, rating him as genuinely good and deserving another opportunity even in defeat. Leans Young because Dorsainvil does not always use his reach well and crashes into the pocket, which should let Young land counter combinations and break him down as the fight goes. “I'm going to say 2928 split decision. Gage Young gets it done in a close one.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Douglas · KO/TKO · R1 | Emmers · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Concedes a route for Emmers -- movement, sticking and moving, catching Douglas coming in, mixing in takedowns to win minutes and drain him -- and says he likes Emmers and rates him game. Picks against him anyway on Douglas's power, citing what he did to Juicy J and to Camtigo on DWCS, and calls it simply a bad matchup. “So, I feel like he lands on Emmers and puts them out pretty bad in the very first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Barbosa · KO/TKO | Barbosa · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Allows Kuse could pull something off if he can eat the big shots moving forward, and grants him sneaky kicks and a decent ground game. Sides with Barbosa on power against solid opposition, expecting a big right hand to sneak around the guard at some point in the first or second round for yet another knockout. “but I got to go Barbosa, man. All it takes is one shot.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Wint · KO/TKO · R1 | Wint · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Hit | |
Rates Chatman's boxing as solid and actually decent, then calls it a bad matchup: beating Wint requires surviving early danger to drag the fight long. Leans on Wint's athletic advantage -- which he ranks above much of the heavyweight division -- plus one-shot power, a good ground game and the takedown defence shown against Matt Adams on the Contender Series. Discloses he is a fan from Wint's FAU football days and is rooting for him. “Round one, knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · Sub | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Expects Orolbai to hurt Wells, use takedowns and dominant position, then find a submission. “We're going Micktobeck, Orli. I think he destroys Jeremiah Wells.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Brahimaj · Sub · R2 | Magny · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the fight a coin flip but formally picks Brahimaj by second-round submission after the weigh-in caveat. “I'm going to say Ramesiz Brahimi by a second round submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · KO/TKO | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Favors Fernando's technical striking and body work, trusting his takedown defense for a later-stage knockout. “Give me Lucas Fernando here to get this one done by a later stage knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Luque · Sub · R2 | Gore · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Cautiously backs Luque to club and submit Gore in round two. “I feel like Tawn Gore man he's coming off of a fantastic performance.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · Dec | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Thinks Johnson's pressure will carry a decision despite McConico being the more technical fighter. “I'm thinking that Dante Johnson goes out here and gets this one done. I'm going to say by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Turner · KO/TKO | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Turner for an early knockout while acknowledging Fernandes's leg-kick route. “needed to mentally. I think he goes in here, plants a big shot on Fernandez uh here, plants a big shot on Fernandez uh and knocks him out early. But if he and knocks him out early. But if he doesn't and he lets Fernandez get going doesn't and he lets Fernandez get going with the kicking game, the kicks to the with the kicking game, the kicks to the body, high kicks, attacking, you know,” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · Sub | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Predicts Álvarez to club and submit Njokuani, without a single round call. “Joel Alvarez to get this one done by a submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · KO/TKO | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Favors Ribovics by knockout, with no single round specified. “I feel like Reebix should absolutely get a KO here and I think he does over Eden Barbos.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Abdul-Malik by TKO in either round one or two, so no single round is recorded. “clip Dustin and Dustin won't even know it hit him. Give me Mansor Abdul Malik by round one or round two TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · Sub | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Favors Dern's striking and jiu-jitsu edge and explicitly predicts a submission without a single round. “I got to go with Mackenzie Durn. I think she's going to find a submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Dec | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects Makhachev's wrestling and positional control to narrowly win a competitive decision. “But I got to go with Islam, man. And I think he's going to win this one by a decision, but I'm going to say that it's competitive. I'm going to say that it's going to be a three to2 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · Dec | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Leans to a 30-27 decision, describing a striking master class for Miller. “But I got to go Tai Miller. I think he uh I think he goes out there, puts on a clinic, busts up Billy Ray, maybe even gets a stoppage, but I'll lean towards decision here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Sutherland · Dec | Montanha · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Sutherland by a 30-27 scorecard. “I'm going to go with what I know a lot more about and that is Louis Sutherland's game. And I'm going to say he gets this one done by a greasy decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · Dec | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Miranda by decision. “Richie Miranda gets it done” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Miller · Sub | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Miller by submission, hedging the round. “I am going to side with Juliana Miller in this fight. And I honestly think she's going to submit Rava Olivera” | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO · R1 | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Sees a big speed and timing gap in Medic's favour, with Rodriguez at almost 40 charging in with his hands down, and expects Medic to slide out of range and land the left hand early. “Euros gets back up and then finds a shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it shot. I think it's gonna be fun while it last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a last. I'm siding with Euros Medic by a round one knockout. He's too fast, too round one knockout. He's too fast, too explosive right now. He's he's at he's explosive right now. He's he's at he's he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, he's at his best while D-Rod, you know, I feel like it'd be a fun story to see I feel like it'd be a fun sto” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
A self-described Blachowicz fan, he says Jan has slowed enough that Stirling catches him at the right time, staying a step ahead behind the jab and leg kicks. “slowed down enough for Navajo to just be a little bit ahead the entire fight. So a little bit ahead the entire fight. So I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling I'm going to favor Navajo Sterling 29-28. I think this is going to be 29-28. I think this is going to be another fight to where we're going, oh, another fight to where we're going, oh, maybe on one. maybe on one. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at, man. I feel like that's where we're at with I feel like ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · Dec | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Calls Tybura slow, sloppy and washed and says Rakic should be faster and sharper even in his heavyweight debut, settling on a wide, coasting decision. “isn't good. This is absolutely a fight that Rockic should win. He should win it that Rockic should win. He should win it all day long. Might even find a TKO, but all day long. Might even find a TKO, but I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting I'll side with a 30 to 27. Easy coasting decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh decision for Rockic. Uh just blasting uh kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe kicks to the legs, to the body, maybe even catches him with a head kick, even catches him with ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · Dec | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Rates Valentin the more durable and dangerous striker with jiu-jitsu good enough to neutralise Todorovic's wrestling, and questions Todorovic's chin. “Medina, man. Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't Yeah. I don't know. I I really don't know with this fight, but I am going to know with this fight, but I am going to side with Robert Valentine. I like him. side with Robert Valentine. I like him. I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as I like Robert Valentine. I like Dusco as well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you well, but I like Robert Valentine. I you know, he was emotional after this. You know, he was emotional after this. You know, I thi” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Openly says he is not sold on Cepo and thinks Urbina is technically the better fighter, but sides with Cepo's power and chaotic early aggression overwhelming him. “getting him out of there. So, I do think it's possible Erbena wins this fight. it's possible Erbena wins this fight. I'm not counting him out, but I'm going I'm not counting him out, but I'm going to lean with uh on the side of Lassto to lean with uh on the side of Lassto here. I I like I think he's a ton of here. I I like I think he's a ton of fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I fun, man. I think Arbena's solid, but I I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just I'm I'm not sold on Chepo. I'm just b” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO · R2 | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Thinks Elliott has been badly overrated and calls this a layup for Oliveira, who has a six-and-a-half-inch reach edge, real power and a solid gas tank. “like the UFC just tossing a layup here for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand for Michael Alivera to get the two-hand jam and put on some style points here. jam and put on some style points here. Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Michael Alivera is knocking out Oon Elliott. And I think it might take a Elliott. And I think it might take a little bit of time, but I'm going to say little bit of time, but I'm going to say first or second round knockout. I'll first or second round knockout. I'll l” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · Dec | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Klein faster, sharper and the more well-rounded striker with sneaky submission skills, and thinks Musayev's main path is a single big damaging shot. “even knock him out, right? I feel like if Messiah wins this fight, it's damage if Messiah wins this fight, it's damage base landing a big shot that potentially base landing a big shot that potentially KO Klein. I got to go Ludiv Klein here. KO Klein. I got to go Ludiv Klein here. I think he gets this one done 2928. I I think he gets this one done 2928. I feel like it's going to be close, man. feel like it's going to be close, man. As much as I feel like Tafi Messiah is As much as I feel like Taf” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · Dec | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls this a genuine coin flip and says Buzukja may be the sharper striker, but leans Grad because his forward pressure and activity should look better to the judges. “probably knocks out Dennis Bazookia in the first or second round as well. So, the first or second round as well. So, tough fight to call, but I'll lean tough fight to call, but I'll lean Bogdong Grod for now. I feel like he Bogdong Grod for now. I feel like he gets this one done. 2928 split decision gets this one done. 2928 split decision on the cards. on the cards. Next up, we got Mark Vagdin versus Next up, we got Mark Vagdin versus Borislav Nicolich. Borislav Nicolich. I always want to say Ni” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 90.0% 9 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · to win | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Magomed Ankalaev as the full-card pick in this preview. “Boom. Left hand down the pipe. Maybe even a head kick behind it. Puts Guskov” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Kuniev · to win | Kuniev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Rizvan Kuniev as the full-card pick in this preview. “Hopefully, I'm wrong, but I think it will be. And I'm going Kunv in a fight” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Sola · to win | Sola · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Axel Sola as the full-card pick in this preview. “Give me Axel Sola to go out here and melt Ishmael Bonfam in round. I'll say” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Valter Walker as the full-card pick in this preview. “he's been pulling off. I think he does it again and uh submits Tom Peterson uh” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tuchalov · to win | Tuchalov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview. “of Habaro early uh in round one. Give me Maggamemed Tuchalov by round one” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Zaynukov · to win | Zaynukov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview. “there rooting for the guy. So I am going to pick Hey brother this guy John Pork I” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Davis · to win | Aliev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Names Mike Davis as the full-card pick in this preview. “how I'm feeling later in the week. But, as of right now, I I'm picking Mike” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Patterson · to win | Patterson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Sam Patterson as the full-card pick in this preview. “But unfortunately, I like Ponzi, but I got to pick against him here against a” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.0%. Vagaev · to win | Vagaev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Abubakar Vagaev as the full-card pick in this preview. “more shots on the feet to edge out a close one. I'll go split decision 2928” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to win | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview. “knows what they're doing with the matchmaking here. Give me Abdul Hussein” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 80.0% 8 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Barbosa's UFC experience and grappling over the debuting Melisano. “So, I'm going to side with Barbosza by a decision, but I definitely see a world” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Delgado · to win | Delgado · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Delgado's striking and shot selection over Bashi's takedown-first route. “easy fight. Man, I'm going to side with Delgato in this fight. I'm going to side” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Duncan's speed, movement and improving game against an aging Cannonier. “just don't know that Jared is still that guy uh in this fight. If he was, I'd” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Coria's better boxing and body work to separate him from Nicoll. “two KO. If not, outscores him easily. 30-27 decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · to win | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Du Plessis in a competitive matchup, expecting the layoff to have addressed his defensive wrestling. “It's a great fight, but I got to side with DDP by a competitive decision here” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Hines' more complete game and pace, while acknowledging Harris' one-shot danger. “three. Give me Alvin Hines to get this one done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Gives Hooper another chance on the strength of his high-level jiu-jitsu edge over Ramirez. “Chase Hooper to get this one done by submission. I know Ramirez is good” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes McMillen to thrive in a chaotic, competitive matchup with Montes. “McMillan. He thrives and lives in the chaos. Give me Tommy gun here, man.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to win | Kline · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Kline's superior long-range striking and developing grappling over Ricci. “go Fatima Klein here. And I think she gets it done by a decision. I could I” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Rodrigues Jr. · to win | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Rodrigues' power and pressure over Franco's inconsistent, hesitant form. “Rodriguez by first round knockout. out. If he didn't get an early KO, I could” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO · R3 | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
JakeGerberMMA predicts McGregor will fade after an early start and Holloway will force a third-round stoppage. “Round one, McGregor. Round two will be close. ... And in round three ... the referee will have to step in and stop the fight. ... some sort of TKO stoppage.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
JakeGerberMMA picks Manel Kape; stoppage is mentioned only as a possible path, so method and round are not applicable. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
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