Anthony Wint defeats Terrance Chatman by Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Round 1 · 4:29
Chatman vs Wint · UFC Fight Night
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Chatman threatened a kimura early in the fight.
Wint escaped the submission attempt and worked to knee-on-belly.
In the final minute, Wint clamped onto an arm-triangle choke that ended the fight at 4:29 of round one.
- Official UFC resultsUFC Sacramento main card results
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Analyst picks: We Want Picks called it; JakeGerberMMA called it.
2 of 2 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
Full analyst picks ↓
We Want Picks Betting desk called 55 of 87 We Want Picks: predicted Wint · to win. Actual Wint · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Dismisses the short-turnaround worry -- Wint won on Tuesday's Contender Series in 34 seconds without absorbing a strike -- and takes the former NFL linebacker on power, speed and composure at heavyweight, with real takedowns behind it. Rates Chatman as a clean, well-trained technical striker with a UFC future, just not at heavyweight and not yet, because he is too hittable.
“This fight was clearly set up for Anthony Wint to get a big win, and Anthony Wint will get a big win.”
Track record: winner called in 55 of 87 resolved picks.
JakeGerberMMA Analyst called 44 of 62 JakeGerberMMA: predicted Wint · KO/TKO · R1. Actual Wint · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Rates Chatman's boxing as solid and actually decent, then calls it a bad matchup: beating Wint requires surviving early danger to drag the fight long. Leans on Wint's athletic advantage -- which he ranks above much of the heavyweight division -- plus one-shot power, a good ground game and the takedown defence shown against Matt Adams on the Contender Series. Discloses he is a fan from Wint's FAU football days and is rooting for him.
“Round one, knockout.”
Track record: winner called in 44 of 62 resolved picks, 10 a perfect call.
AI Predictions — Results
Pre-fight calls compared with the recorded result; draws and no contests are not scored.
Archive Pre-fight material — kept for transparency.
- 5-1-0
- Record
- 7-0-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Reach
- 198 cm
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Orthodox
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
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- Wins by KO/TKOKO/TKO wins
- 5
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- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 2
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- Sig. strikes landed / minStrikes / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbsorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
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- United States
- Nationality
- United States
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Numbers reflect records coming into fight night. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Chatman
Chatman is 5-1 with four knockouts and three first-round finishes, and at 1.88 m he is the taller man by eight centimetres. His route is to use that frame before Wint gets inside it.
Case for Wint
Wint is 7-0 with five knockouts, one submission and four first-round finishes, carrying a 198 cm reach. He earned the booking by stopping Matt Adams via strikes at 0:34 of the first round on Dana White's Contender Series, Season 10 Episode 1.
What We Were Watching For
- Both men are debuting, so there is no UFC tape on either — every figure here is regional or Contender Series.
- Nine knockouts and seven first-round finishes between them across twelve wins; neither has often needed the judges.
- Wint's 198 cm reach against Chatman's eight-centimetre height advantage (1.88 m to 1.80 m).
- Wint is unbeaten at 7-0, and Chatman's single defeat is the only loss in the fight.
AI Predictions — pre-fight snapshot
AI Predictions
2 frontier models, same brief, independently — and the brief contains no betting line.
The Read
Latest snapshot · extra
2 frontier models used the same brief independently. The brief contained no betting line.
2 of 2 models favour Wint. The combined forecast puts 73% on KO/TKO as the likeliest finish.
ChatGPT reads the fight as “Wint's unbeaten record and sequence of rapid first-round punch finishes suggest the sharper early finishing threat. Chatman's own knockout power and experience reaching later rounds keep the matchup competitive, but Wint is the more likely fighter to force an early exchange and capitalize.”
What to watch
- Wint has three consecutive first-round stoppages
- Chatman offers credible power and leg-kick offense
- The three-round format favors an aggressive early pace
Swing factor
Whether Chatman can disrupt Wint's opening surge and extend the fight beyond the first round.
Where the models differ
The models agree on the winner, finish method, round call, and confidence. The full model calls are below.
- ChatGPTWint · KO/TKO · Round 1 · medium confidence
- GeminiWint · KO/TKO · Round 1 · medium confidence
Agreement All 2 of 2 models pick Wint.
Method outlook KO/TKO 73% · Submission 6% · Decision 21%.
Model spread 38%–42% Chatman · 58%–62% Wint.
ChatGPT
GPT-5 · via Codex CLI · 2026-08-20
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Anthony Wint
How ChatGPT sees the fight
Wint's unbeaten record and sequence of rapid first-round punch finishes suggest the sharper early finishing threat. Chatman's own knockout power and experience reaching later rounds keep the matchup competitive, but Wint is the more likely fighter to force an early exchange and capitalize.
Keys to victory
- Wint has three consecutive first-round stoppages
- Chatman offers credible power and leg-kick offense
- The three-round format favors an aggressive early pace
X-factor
Whether Chatman can disrupt Wint's opening surge and extend the fight beyond the first round.
Gemini
Gemini · via AGY CLI · 2026-08-20
Overall win probability
Winner probability by method
Combined probability is shown in the rail centre; corner shares sit at the ends.
Pick
Anthony Wint
How Gemini sees the fight
Anthony Wint enters undefeated with notable early finishing power demonstrated across consecutive rapid first-round stoppage wins. Terrance Chatman brings valuable experience from extending into deeper rounds alongside diverse finishing tools, but Wint's immediate offensive pressure offers him a slight edge in an explosive heavyweight matchup likely decided in the opening exchanges.
Keys to victory
- Wint brings strong momentum with three consecutive first-round stoppage victories in under forty seconds.
- Chatman offers diverse finishing methods including punches and leg kicks, as well as past five-round experience.
- Heavyweight volatility and high early finishing tendencies suggest initial exchanges will carry significant weight.
X-factor
Whether Chatman can navigate Wint's initial first-minute flurry and extend the contest beyond the opening frame.
AI-generated · Not betting advice · 18+ (21+ where required) · Gambling help (opens in new tab) ↗
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