UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov  25 Jul 2026 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, AE

Magomed Tuchalov defeats Brendson Ribeiro by unanimous decision

Win Magomed Tuchalov 7-0-0
Loss Brendson Ribeiro 17-11-0
Unanimous decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Tuchalov vs Ribeiro — Light Heavyweight · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Ribeiro backed Tuchalov up and landed a late right hand in round one.

Tuchalov settled into the fight after the opening-round adversity.

Tuchalov earned the unanimous decision.

Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Tuchalov

Tuchalov is an unbeaten 26-year-old Russian fighting out of Dubai, with all six wins by stoppage and no fight reaching a third round, per the UFC preview. His March stoppage of UFC alum Caio Machado is the clearest recent marker of that fast-starting profile.

Case for Ribeiro

Ribeiro has already navigated the Contender Series and owns UFC wins over Caio Machado and Diyar Nurgozhay. The UFC preview also notes three straight first-round stoppage losses, so his case is about using that experience to survive the opening danger and turn the bout into a different kind of test.

What We Were Watching For

  • Tuchalov's first UFC round: does the all-stoppage pattern translate immediately?
  • Ribeiro's ability to get past the early exchanges after three first-round stoppage losses.
  • Whether Tuchalov can keep the fight standing long enough to build on the Caio Machado win.
  • The difference between Tuchalov's unbeaten newcomer status and Ribeiro's UFC experience.
Records & career stats
Tuchalov vs Ribeiro
Tuchalov Ribeiro
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 2.33 2.94
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 67% 54%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.6 3.56
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 100% 32%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 86% 94%
6-0-0
Record
17-10-0
5-0 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
1-4 last 5
Russia
Nationality
Brazil
26
Age
29
1.96 m
Height — Tuchalov leads
190.5 cm
Not published
Reach
205.74 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
86%
Finish rateFinish % — Ribeiro leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
94%
5
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Ribeiro leads
9
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Ribeiro leads
8
2.33
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Ribeiro leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
2.94
2.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Tuchalov leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.56
67%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Tuchalov leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
54%
100%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Tuchalov leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
32%
15:00
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:33
Timur Valiev Gym
Team
Brazilian TKO

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

Comments

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 5:24

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“lot of this. Um I'm going to go with Tushelov to win this one by KO in the”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 1:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Tuchalov as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

“very skilled fighter. Next up, Magamemed Tucav over Brennesen Hero. Taking Tucav.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 18:50

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“of Habaro early uh in round one. Give me Maggamemed Tuchalov by round one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)

Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; Michael Chiesa Hit; JakeGerberMMA Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Bedtime MMA171 resolved calls
Bedtime MMA
Hear it — 5:24

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“lot of this. Um I'm going to go with Tushelov to win this one by KO in the”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
  • Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
  • Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
View full track record (171 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tuchalov · to winTuchalov · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
Michael Chiesa62 resolved calls
Michael Chiesa
Hear it — 1:51

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Tuchalov as his preliminary-card pick without a method call.

“very skilled fighter. Next up, Magamemed Tucav over Brennesen Hero. Taking Tucav.”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 67.7% 42 20
  • Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
View full track record (62 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tuchalov · to winTuchalov · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called
JakeGerberMMA127 resolved calls
JakeGerberMMA
Hear it — 18:50

Current pick evidence

Picked: Magomed Tuchalov

Fight result: Magomed Tuchalov · Decision

Names Magomed Tuchalov as the full-card pick in this preview.

“of Habaro early uh in round one. Give me Maggamemed Tuchalov by round one”

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.4% 83 44
  • Method Accuracy 60.4% 29 19
  • Round Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (127 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tuchalov · to winTuchalov · Dec R3HitNot calledNot called

3 of 3 nailed it.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.