We Want Picks was founded by Angelo Bodetti as an MMA blog in 2016. Its podcast pairs Bodetti and Jacob Lines for UFC fight analysis, betting guides and daily fantasy coverage.
Scorecard
Called 93 of 145 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
93 of 145 — 64% now, from 33% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
40% 2 of 5 correct winners that named a method
-
Underdog
34% 10 of 29 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Round — No round calls scored yet
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 5 hit · 5 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 8 hit · 4 miss
- Silva vs. Delgado 5 hit · 1 miss
- Hooker vs. Parnasse 9 hit · 4 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 8 hit · 3 miss
- Hernandez vs. Rodrigues 6 hit · 7 miss
- UFC 330 4 hit · 3 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 6 hit · 3 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 6 hit · 2 miss
- Ankalaev vs. Guskov 8 hit · 2 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 1 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 329 7 hit · 2 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 7 hit · 3 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 6 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 328 4 hit · 6 miss
- UFC 327 2 hit · 3 miss
- UFC Seattle 1 hit · 2 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 63.7%. Machado · to win | Machado · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo picks canonical Valesca Machado; the transcript explicitly explains that Tina Black is Machado's nickname/name variant before selecting her. “I think Tina Black gets the win. I think it's that simple.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Edwards · Dec | Edwards · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Angelo picks Christian Edwards by decision; the adjacent six-foot-five Edwards breakdown identifies the transcript's bigger-dude selection despite Bellato name variants. “I expect this probably to go to a decision. Maybe that's the worst call in the world. I'll take the bigger dude who I haven't seen pretend to be hurt to get out of a fight. I'll take him. He'll be the pick here.” | |||||
| Castaneda · to win | Alatengheili · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo picks canonical John Castaneda; the transcript's Castanada/sexy Mexi caption variants are reconciled to the official card. “I love John Castanada as a fighter. I've picked him many times before and I'm going to pick him here.” | |||||
| Jauregui · to win | Jauregui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo picks canonical Yazmin Jauregui; the transcript's Yasmin Yarui/Yin forms are caption variants. “So Yasmin has to be the pick.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 40.3%. Dumont · to win | Perez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo picks canonical Norma Dumont after the adjacent Perez breakdown; Deont/Dumont are preserved as caption variants. “Norman Dumont's going to be the pick.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Brener · to win | Brener · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo picks Elves Brener in the adjacent Harrell breakdown; the transcript's Elvis/Ellis forms are caption variants. “But I am going to pick Elves Brener because I do think just the general dog in him.” | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Hiestand · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo picks Rinya Nakamura; the transcript's Rena/Ren caption forms are reconciled to the official card. “Rena's going to get his hand raised and he will win this fight.” | |||||
| Jackson · to win | Jackson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo picks Montel Jackson after breaking down the rematch with Ricky Simon. “Montel's going to be the pick, but I'm not going to do anything with that information.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.3%. Barcelos · to win | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo picks canonical Raoni Barcelos; Hani/Barcelos are the transcript's name rendering for the official main-event fighter. “Hani Barcelos is the pick, guys. That's the breakdown.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Bryczek · to win | Vieira · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo picks canonical Robert Bryczek; the adjacent Vieira breakdown renders Bryczek as Robert Burch/Burk in the captions. “I think Robert Burch wins this fight. And I'm honestly somewhat confident in that.” | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Joosang Yoo as the value side. “Juang Yu is gonna be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · KO/TKO | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Joanderson Brito to win, describing a pressure route to a finish. “I think he wins. I think he finds a finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Ryan Gandra to win by knockout. “I think Ryan Gond wins. I think he knocks out Azie Diaz.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Iwo Baraniewski over Alonzo Menifield. “I think EWO wins and I will have EO in my lineup.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rejects Eduarda Moura as the pick and says Casey O'Neill's footwork is the more likely winning side. “I'm not going to pick her. I think Casey O'Neal's footwork is probably too much.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · Dec | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Dooho Choi by decision. “I think Duho Troy probably wins a decision though.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Edmen Shahbazyan on durability, cardio, and footwork. “I am going to pick Edmund because I do think the just general durability, the cardio and the footwork might be the difference.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Gable Steveson, while expecting him to control the fight and likely finish. “Gable Stevenson's probably should be in your lineup.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Arman Tsarukyan in the five-round co-main event. “I am going to pick Armen.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Robelis Despaigne to win, expecting Tai Tuivasa to be stopped. “Roellis is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Joshua Van to win the rematch. “I think Joshua Van wins this fight. So, I'm picking him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.5%. Vera · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Marlon Vera despite the uncertainty around his reliability. “I am going to pick Cheeto.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
Silva vs. Delgado
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Tarin · to win | Tarin · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Regina Tarin to win. “I'm going to pick Regina here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Bahamondes · to win | Bahamondes · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win. “Ignacio Bahamondes is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Belgaroui · to win | Belgaroui · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Yousri Belgaroui to win. “Yousri Belgaroui is the very confident pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Cortes Acosta · to win | Blaydes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Waldo Cortes Acosta to win. “I'm going to Waldo Cortez Acosta.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Martinez · to win | Martinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks David Martinez to win. “I think David Martinez wins here. I think speed, youth, athleticism, all that is just very clearly on his side. So, David Martinez is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.0%. Silva · to win | Silva · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Jean Silva to win. “Jean Silva is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hooker vs. Parnasse
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 69.2% 9 4
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Aljarouj · to win | Sintes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sees no skill gap working against Aljarouj beyond his durability, and likes his speed and sprawl. “I'm going to pick Aljaru, but I do wish he didn't get knocked out as many times he did.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Montenegro · to win | Benouaich · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Montenegro's willingness to engage and land real offence above Benouaich's regional tape. “So, I do think Sophia wins this fight.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to win | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rates Campbell the far more skilled grappler despite an ugly last performance. “So, I'm just going to go with the better actual fight the person who has the better skills at the sport that they will compete be competing in. So, Curtis Campbell.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · to win | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thinks Lima staying fast, clean and busy stops Charriere ever finding a rhythm. “I feel like this is a Felipe win. So, I'm going to pick Felipe here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Cornolle · to win | Cornolle · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Argues Cornolle has fought and lost only to a far higher tier of opposition than Sygula has faced. “I do think Noora wins this. I think she's the better fighter.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Donchenko · to win | Donchenko · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Expects Donchenko to build an early striking lead that makes Soriano's late wrestling look desperate. “I am going to pick Denil Donchenko because I think the striking is that much better and I think he'll get ahead in the striking.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Duclos · to win | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Prefers Duclos' patient, accurate counter striking to Dias' less disciplined overhand-heavy pressure. “I don't hate the Tal Duclos. I never would have bet on him like this, but I do think he wins the fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.8%. Parnasse · to win | Parnasse · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Parnasse as the cleaner technical striker provided he manages the range rather than brawling. “Now, I am picking Saldeen Parnasse because I think he's just more technical, he's cleaner, and the French typically have no issue with slowing a fight down and touching at range.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.3%. Keita · to win | Keita · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Keita's speed and power against striking-defence flaws Naimov already showed. “So, Lazine Keat is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes the underdog on the bet that an ageing Page eventually slows enough for Ruziboev's size and pressure. “I'm picking Nerzleton here. 0% chance I bet on this because MVP is just so freaking good.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 34.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · to win | Pinto · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rates Pinto nearly as big and dangerous as Spann with three full rounds of cardio behind him. “I'm going to pick Mario Pinto here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Sy · to win | Bukauskas · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Sy the bigger, faster, more well-rounded athlete, while declining to back the decision prop. “I do think Umar Sal wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.9%. Sola · to win | Sola · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Reads the striking as even and gives Sola the edge on his added wrestling and grit. “Axel Sala is just as technical of a striker and a good wrestler and much more of a dog. So, I think Axel gets it done.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Lima · to win | Lima · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks includes Andre Lima in his parlay. “This is my parlay. It's Andre Lima and Liu Ce. I think he wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Lui · Dec | Santiago · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks picks Lawrence Lui by decision. “Lawrence Lui by decision. Lawrence Lui should win it.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision. “I think Umar gets it done and it's likely a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Sumudaerji · to win | Sumudaerji · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks includes Sumudaerji in his parlay. “I have that parlayed with Sumudaerji.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Gomes · to win | Gomes · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Angelo Bodetti of We Want Picks takes Denise Gomes as the underdog. “I think Denise Gomes wins as a dog.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Asakura · to win | Asakura · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Kai Asakura for the superior striking while flagging his takedown defense as Aori Qileng's route to an upset. “Kai is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Liu · to win | Liu · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Liu Ce for his striking and cage defense, expecting him to outbox and out-kickbox Levi Rodrigues Jr. “Liu is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · to win | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Bilal Hasan as the cleaner, faster fighter, while warning that his short turnaround, second cut and travel make the bet unattractive. “Bilal is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Jenkins · to win | Woodson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Jack Jenkins, pointing to Sean Woodson's vulnerable legs. “I'm picking Jack Jenkins.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Nelson · to win | Nelson · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Cam Nelson to counter Ding Meng's pressure with wrestling and control. “Takedown, and win this fight. So, Cam Nelson is the pick.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Francesco Nuzzi for his striking and cage-side takedown defence. “I'm still gonna pick Franchesco.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 46.2% 6 7
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Hernandez · to win | Rodrigues · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Hernandez's grappling volume (six takedowns per 15 minutes) and his ability to absorb head strikes decide it, so long as Rodrigues head-hunts for the knockout instead of attacking the body — the one route Angelo flags as Hernandez's weakness, citing how Kevin Holland and Sean Strickland both beat him. Notes he is surprised Hernandez is as short as -175 rather than -120, but takes him anyway and expects a nail-biter. “I am going to pick him. Anthony Fluffy Hernandez, it's going to be a nail-biter, guys.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. de Ridder · to win | de Ridder · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks against his own long-standing preference for Dolidze: the wins that made Dolidze's name are four years old, and de Ridder is the bigger man genuinely suited to 205. Expects de Ridder to manage range, land jumping knees, and for Dolidze to fold mentally as he has before. “So I absolutely love Reinier de Ridder in this spot.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Spivac · to win | Petrino · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Spivac as an underdog on grit and heavyweight experience: reads Petrino as an athlete who became a fighter rather than a fighter, and expects Spivac -- ten times the grappler of Petrino's last opponent -- to work in his own takedowns. Flags the one real concern that at heavyweight raw athleticism alone can still win a fight or two. “So, Sergey Spivak is going to be the pick.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Nzechukwu · to win | Gaziev · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Nzechukwu on power and rangy kicks against a Gaziev coming off back-to-back knockout losses, with the chin now the deciding weakness. Allows that Gaziev can strike and wrestle and could absolutely win, and expects a sloppy or outright boring heavyweight fight either way. “I'm actually going to pick Kennedy Nzechukwu here.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Judice · to win | Judice · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Reads it as mostly a striking match-up and takes Judice on that edge, while warning she creates her own danger: after having her back taken early in her last fight she chose to grapple in the third and was nearly submitted. If Chaves lands the same kind of well-timed takedowns she used last time out, it gets weird. Notes the odds are far too long to bet. “Carla is going to be the pick because she's the better striker.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Dyer · to win | Dyer · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls it a bad stylistic match-up for Reed rather than a knock on her: Dyer is bigger, more powerful, the better striker, and good enough defensively to stop Reed turning it into a wrestling match. Cannot find a route for Reed on the feet, into a clean takedown, or through the power. “So, I think Chanel Dyer wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Schultz · to win | McVey · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Grants McVey the size and the clearly better striking, then discounts it on takedown defence: if Schultz shows up as the All-American wrestler rather than pulling guard as he did against Penaaz, he can repeat the success Zac Reese had against McVey. Rates neither man highly and sides with whoever can control where the fight happens. “So, I'm going to side with the wrestler here. The striking doesn't matter if you can't keep the fight on the feet.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Jones · to win | Mederos · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Reads Mederos as almost too technical and too athletic for this match-up, and expects Jones's pressure and grit to deny him room to breathe -- Jones will keep walking forward even while eating two strikes to one. Mederos's only path is to stay clean, stay safe and out-athlete him. “So, I think Mason Jones wins this fight just by being violent and willing to take a beating.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Padilla · to win | Padilla · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Concedes Haqparast is the better and more technical striker with excellent takedown defence, then picks against him on durability and forward pressure, plus the risk he returns from a bad knockout loss hesitant to engage or on a strange game plan. Notes Haqparast has also underperformed against low-level opposition, and that the current odds are about where they should be. “So, Chris Padilla is going to be the pick.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Young · to win | Dorsainvil · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Expects Dorsainvil to test Young's chin early and to cut him -- predicting a bloody Young by the middle of the first -- but backs Young to work through it on toughness and the option of wrestling. Notes Young's one bad night on the feet came against teammate Evan Elder on short notice, whereas here he has a full camp and was preparing for an aggressive opponent. Explicitly declines to bet it because Young cuts too easily. “so I'll take Gage to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Douglas · to win | Emmers · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Douglas on trust in the matchmaking rather than on a proven record, and says so plainly: the odds are far too wide for a fighter who has not been tested and has no quality UFC win. Warns that Emmers is a proven entity whose recent turn to wrestling -- as against Haider Amil -- could put Douglas in a tough spot. “So I'm going to pick Laren Douglas here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Reads it as a mismatch off tape study: Kuse shows a lack of head movement and hesitancy, and relies on physicality rather than technique. Expects Barbosa's aggressive, intent-heavy striking -- coming off the knockout of Dennis Bazooka -- to run through a fighter he does not rate as UFC level. Notes odds had not been posted when he recorded. “I think he dominates this fight. I can't even see a world where Ryan wins.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Wint · to win | Wint · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Dismisses the short-turnaround worry -- Wint won on Tuesday's Contender Series in 34 seconds without absorbing a strike -- and takes the former NFL linebacker on power, speed and composure at heavyweight, with real takedowns behind it. Rates Chatman as a clean, well-trained technical striker with a UFC future, just not at heavyweight and not yet, because he is too hittable. “This fight was clearly set up for Anthony Wint to get a big win, and Anthony Wint will get a big win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts independently select Fernando in the dedicated matchup segment. “The pick here, I have to go with Lucas.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Luque · to win | Gore · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Both hosts align on Luque in the dedicated matchup segment. “I have to pick Vicente Luca here. He's better at everything.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Both hosts align on Fernandes; the video explicitly confirms they are on the same side. “like a chess match type of fight. I'm gonna go with Cowi because I just think he is kind of just I think he can keep that range better than people realize.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · to win | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts select Ribovics in the dedicated matchup segment. “that fight. I think he got robbed in that fight. So Eson's going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to win | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The hosts explicitly reconfirm that they both picked Abdul-Malik. “get better and go from there. Either way, Jake and I both picked Mansour here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts align on Dern in the dedicated matchup segment. “I'm on the Mackenzie Dur side. Jacob is too.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts align on Makhachev but do not share a single method call. “We've seen him, then Ian could have some random success. I'm going to pick Islam here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Gamrot · to win | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Angelo selects the wrestler at 17:09, and Jacob then also selects Gamrot at 17:57 while explicitly expressing lower confidence. “I'm going to my roots. I'm picking the wrestler. Jacob, what do you think? ... I also pick Gamerock. I'm far less confident than you are” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. del Valle · to win | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes del Valle on Elkins being too old and slow with a chin compromised by the Erosa loss, but commits to no method. “Yady is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Miller on how hard he hits and the size advantage, without committing to a method. “Ty Miller is going to be the pick though because of how hard he hits and how big he is.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · to win | Thainara · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Makes Thainara the pick as a modest favourite, with no method. “Alexa is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Johns · Dec | Johns · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Backs Johns on pure winner pick, expecting Vazquez to slow the pace and Johns to get the decision. “I'm going to pick Miles just off pure who I think wins this fight. ... I think this is a decision” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win | Montanha · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes the underdog, Montanha. “Jose's going to be the pick. I'm going to pick the dog here.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Nurgozhay · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Nurgozhay without a method. “So, DR's going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Miranda · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Miranda without a method. “But for now, I'm picky Richie Miranda.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Oliveira · to win | Miller · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Oliveira on the view that Miller is too far off the pace. “I got to pick Ravena Oliveira.” | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to win | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Rates Medic faster, more diverse and harder-hitting, and does not expect Rodriguez to land the takedowns that might change it. “Uros is faster, he's more diverse, he hits harder. This honestly might be a hits harder. This honestly might be a bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick bit of a showcase. I'm going to pick Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes Uros, but hopefully the crowd recognizes the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just the [ __ ] that Daniel Rodriguez just went through to get here, and they do went through to get here, and they do cheer for him winning or losing. Guys, cheer for him winni” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says he would rather fade Stirling, but takes him anyway on Blachowicz being 43 and coming off a fight he nearly lost in the second round. “us the matchup where it was very obvious to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. to fade him. He's a 43-year-old man. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. I'd love to fade Navaho. The guy's 43. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Unfortunately, Navaho's the pick. Then we have the main event of the Then we have the main event of the evening. We have Uros Medic, who this evening. We have Uros Medic, who this card was built around, taking on Daniel card was built around, taking on Daniel Rodriguez. No” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Rakic’s footwork, striking and takedown defence despite a suspect chin, while calling the price risky money on a fighter coming off four straight losses. “clearly, his last one. Seems like Seems like very risky money to make. very risky money to make. But Rakić is the pick. But Rakić is the pick. And then we have the co-main event of And then we have the co-main event of the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here the evening. Bit of a switcheroo here because Bogdan Guskov will move to because Bogdan Guskov will move to another card. Jan got moved around and another card. Jan got moved around and there was a lot of movement here, but we there was a lot ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Valentin the more durable man and expects his forward pressure, grinding and takedown mixing to get him on top — while saying he could not bet the fight either way. “Robert Valentine is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · to win | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Urbina well short of the level and expects Cepo to crowd him, hedging on whether it ends inside the distance. “by wins over bums. Luckily for everybody here, here, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Gilbert Urbina's basically a bum. So, Seppo should win and he probably wins by Seppo should win and he probably wins by finish. finish. Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on Then we have a Dusko Todorovic taking on a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, a Robert Valentine. Dusko Todorovic, technical striker, he's got good power. technical striker, he's got good power. He also has takedowns and offensive B” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Klein far the better striker with good takedown defence and believes Musayev can be rocked — conditional on Klein being fully recovered from a broken ankle. “Fortunately for Ludovit, that's not what happened. happened. Anyway, for this fight, I do think Anyway, for this fight, I do think Klein's going to win. I think he is 100 Klein's going to win. I think he is 100 times the striker in this match up. He's times the striker in this match up. He's got really good takedown defense got really good takedown defense and I know for a fact that Tofiq can be and I know for a fact that Tofiq can be rocked. He's not like this brick-headed rocked. He's not like” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Elliott’s losses come from being taken down and Oliveira does not wrestle, so he expects a striker-versus-striker fight that Oliveira’s volume and pressure win. “This is not as clear as people are going to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap to make it. Minus 400, you're just snap decision. I don't necessarily agree with decision. I don't necessarily agree with that. Michael is the pick. He should that. Michael is the pick. He should win. win. But odds matter. But odds matter. And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, And Oban, yes, he's on a recent skid, but that's because he was taken down. but that's because he was taken down. His losses are from people ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Grad on the striking edge, noting Buzukja is a credentialed wrestler who does not use his wrestling, while saying he would probably not bet it. “it. This is a tricky fight. I'm probably not This is a tricky fight. I'm probably not going to bet it here. Bogdan's going to going to bet it here. Bogdan's going to be the pick, but I promise you, Dennis be the pick, but I promise you, Dennis is not as bad as his record indicates. is not as bad as his record indicates. Those are just some tough matchups in Those are just some tough matchups in the mix. Then we have a Michael Oliveira the mix. Then we have a Michael Oliveira taking on Oban Ellio” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 80.0% 8 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · to win | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Magomed Ankalaev as the full-card pick in this preview. “So, Ankolive is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 23.5%. Fortune · to win | Kuniev · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Tyrell Fortune as the stronger striker with the wrestling to create his own entries. “especially in Abu Dhabi. But I'm going to go out on a limb. I'm going to pick” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 23.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Sola · to win | Sola · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Axel Sola as the full-card pick in this preview. “Bonfine can be dangerous. Sol's tough as hell. Axel Solah easy clean pick for me.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Valter Walker as the full-card pick in this preview. “manages to keep his feet attached to his body. I am going to pick Walter.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Zaynukov · to win | Zaynukov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Magomed Zaynukov as the full-card pick in this preview. “takedown after his head is snapped back a few times. John Pork's the pick here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Aliev · to win | Aliev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Nurullo Aliev for his controlling wrestling against Mike Davis. “about the wrestling? And I think I'm going to pick Aliv here for those” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Temirov · to win | Temirov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Ramazan Temirov as the full-card pick in this preview. “No, I'm kidding. I pick Raman. I bet on Ramazan.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.0%. Vagaev · to win | Vagaev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Abubakar Vagaev as the full-card pick in this preview. “wrestler and based off of tape alone, Abubakar is the pick. A very easy pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Jacoby · to win | Saidov · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Names Dustin Jacoby as the full-card pick in this preview. “the odds are two to one. So Dustin Jacobe is the pick. Then we have” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to win | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Names Abdul Hussein as the full-card pick in this preview. “Abdul wins. He's going to win by finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Hines · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Hines to survive Harris' wild punches, get the fight to the ground and take over with durability, cardio and wrestling. “cardio and he can wrestle. I'm expecting Alvin to move forward, not get knocked” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to win | Kline · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Kline the better striker, wrestler and grappler, and sees no route for the current version of Ricci to control her. “even if she did, she's not winning this fight. Fatima is the pick. I think she's” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 77.8% 7 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both hosts side with Ryan Gandra while acknowledging Reese can become live if he survives the opening minutes. They trust Gandra's pressure and right-hand power against Reese's tall, hittable defensive posture.
“Ryan Gond is going to be the pick” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Basharat · to win | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
They respect John Garza's clean boxing and short-notice danger, but see Basharat as the safer side because he is unlikely to trade recklessly in the pocket. The grappling and overall MMA layer are framed as too much too soon for Garza. “Fere's going to win this fight” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Almeida · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
They give Damian Pinas real first-round knockout value because of his pressure and power, but the shared pick is Cesar Almeida. The argument is that Almeida is the cleaner, more experienced striker if he survives the early heat and the fight extends.
“I'm actually gonna pick Caesar here” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · to win | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
They frame the fight as binary: either Cortez controls with wrestling or Wang wins the striking clearly. Both land on Wang because they trust her improving takedown defense and cleaner damage more than Cortez's control-heavy path. “I do think Kong Wang wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
They have concerns about Luke Riley if Kai Kamaka can force clinches and make rounds ugly, but both still pick Riley. The shared logic is that Riley is the cleaner and faster striker in what should mostly be a striking matchup. “Luke Riley is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Yanez · to win | Yanez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
They think Adrian Yanez is faster, cleaner and more technical, while Cody Garbrandt is too reliant on one big counter. The warning is for Yanez to stay patient rather than chase a knockout and create Cody's best counter window.
“Adrien's the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to win | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
They treat Steveson as the obvious side because of the wrestling base and physical tools, while rejecting the contrarian case against him as overthinking. Ellison is acknowledged as aggressive and hard-hitting, but not enough to offset Steveson's athletic and grappling advantages. “Gable is going to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Both pick Robert Whittaker despite some concern about the move to light heavyweight and Krylov's size. They still see Whittaker as the better fighter technically, faster and cleaner on the feet, with enough skill to manage the matchup. “Whitaker is the pick” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
They pick Lone'er Kavanagh for his speed, clean technical striking and cardio, while noting Brandon Royval's experience and chaos make it dangerous. The argument is that Kavanagh can keep the pace and avoid being dragged into Royval's weird submission-heavy fight. “Looney Kavanaaugh is a very fast, clean striker. And Looney Kavanaaugh is very technical, so he should win this fight” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 70.0% 7 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Collins · to win | Collins · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Shane Collins on forward pressure against a more technical but retreating Otari Tanzilovi. “So Shane is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Chokheli · to win | Chokheli · TKO (leg kick and punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Levan Chokheli for his forward pressure, power and wrestling against Leon Shahbazyan's defensive gaps. “I think Loana does win this fight. I think he does find a finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Santos · to win | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Luana Santos for her controlling grappling, while acknowledging Karol Rosa's volume and decision path. “I am going to pick Luana Santos here.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Aswell Jr. · to win | Bolanos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Michael Aswell over Gaston Bolanos, expecting a straightforward win without committing to a finish. “I do think Michael wins.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.0%. Raposo · to win | Raposo · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Mitch Raposo as an underdog if he keeps it standing and makes Allan Nascimento work in the striking exchanges. “I think Mitch can win this fight.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Lima · to win | Borjas · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Lima over Kevin Borjas, expecting Borjas's danger to fade as the fight goes on. “So, I think Andre Lima gets the win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Rodriguez · to win | Rodriguez · Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Christian Rodriguez for the superior striking and confidence that Hyder Amil's wrestling cannot control him. “So, I see C-Rod winning this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Oliveira · to win | Oliveira · TKO (punches/elbows) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Vinicius Oliveira on pressure, activity and a cleaner route than Andre Fili's volatile exchanges. “I do think Vinicius wins this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Navajo Stirling to keep the fight technical with footwork and long strikes against Ion Cutelaba. “I'm going to pick Navaha.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Horiguchi · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Kyoji Horiguchi for superior mobility, varied entries and the ability to manage the five-round fight against Manel Kape. “And I think he wins this fight.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 85.7% 6 1
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Topuria is too fast and hits too hard, and beats Gaethje almost anywhere; only a weather-the-storm grind gives Gaethje a chance. He expects a first-round KO. “Ilia Topuria probably does knock out Justin Gaethje.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · to win | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Despite being a vocal Pereira fan, he thinks Gane is too fast, too clean and too big for Pereira to walk down and knock out at heavyweight. “I'm about to pick Ciryl Gane.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · to win | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Sean is the far more accurate striker with more power and controls the range against a Zahabi who doesn't threaten takedowns or move forward. “Sean O'Malley is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Hokit has no quit and relentless forward pressure, while Lewis has shown he'll quit when a finish isn't coming; his most confident pick on the card. “Josh Hoquin's going to make Derrick Lewis quit.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · to win | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Chandler will fight to entertain rather than wrestle, and Ruffy's big finishing power will smack him; one of the more confident picks on the card. “Mauricio Ruffi's going to get the win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Nickal won't get submitted, should get the takedowns he wants, control where the fight goes and win almost everywhere. “Bo Nickal is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
A tiny lean for Diego: once you factor in his grappling and five-round title-fight experience he's the more dangerous overall. “I'm going to pick Diego because I think he's the more dangerous overall.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Chimaev's wrestling is just too dominant; sees Strickland losing on control time. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Van · to win | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Van keeps it on the feet and defends the takedowns — and to him that's all that matters. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Cortes Acosta · to win | Volkov · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Cortes-Acosta as the faster, more powerful, higher-motor athlete with a real puncher’s chance. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Buckley · to win | Brady · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Buckley is too dangerous on the feet and stuffs takedowns, like he did against Usman. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Green · to win | Green · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Green is the better striker in a mostly-striking matchup, and can wrestle if he needs to. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Carpenter · to win | Ochoa · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
We Want Picks backs Carpenter to grind his way to a win, arguing Ochoa will not be able to take him down and Carpenter has faced tougher opposition. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Sabatini · to win | Sabatini · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
We Want Picks makes Sabatini the pick because Gomis can be taken down and lacks the one-punch threat that usually punishes Sabatini. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Gordon · Dec | Miller · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
We Want Picks picks Gordon by decision, treating his hands and takedown defense as enough while refusing to lay a heavy price against Miller at home. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Rębecki · to win | Dawson · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
We Want Picks chooses Rebecki, framing the fight as Rebecki's violence versus Dawson's control and siding with the pressure fighter. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Amosov · to win | Amosov · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
We Want Picks makes Amosov the pick because his wrestling can put Alvarez on his back whenever he wants, neutralizing the cleaner striking. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 327
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Procházka · to win | Ulberg · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Acknowledges Ulberg is more technical but trusts Jiri's experience and elite finishing. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.0%. Murzakanov · to win | Costa · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Azamat's power and high-level wrestling; Costa is a question mark moving up to 205. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Blaydes · to win | Hokit · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
No frame of reference for Hokit's level of competition; Blaydes's experience takes over late. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Reyes · to win | Reyes · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Went against his instinct to take Walker — Reyes is simply the more technical of the two. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.0%. Swanson · to win | Swanson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Landwehr's chin has given out; Swanson is the better fighter in every aspect. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Seattle
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Adesanya · to win | Pyfer · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Old and chinny, but still the better, more technical fighter — picks Izzy to manage range. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Barber · to win | Grasso · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Barber's wrestling and confidence grind out a win — flagged as a low-confidence pick. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. McKinney · to win | McKinney · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
McKinney is the more skilled fighter across the board; a half-unit play. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
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