AJ Devito hosts MMA Experts, a channel covering UFC and MMA predictions and news. Its formats include livestreams and fight companions.
Scorecard
Called 165 of 237 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
165 of 237 — 70% now, from 85% at their first scored card.
-
Method
58% 59 of 101 correct winners that named a method
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Round
75% 6 of 8 correct winners that named a round
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Underdog
46% 12 of 26 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Crypto.com UFC 331 7 hit · 5 miss
- Hooker vs. Parnasse 8 hit · 5 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 8 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 330 4 hit · 6 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 4 hit · 0 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 6 hit · 2 miss
- Ankalaev vs. Guskov 8 hit · 2 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 9 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 329 4 hit · 0 miss
- Kape vs Horiguchi 8 hit · 3 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 4 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 325 4 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 323 8 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 322 8 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 321 5 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 320 4 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 319 2 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 317 5 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 316 7 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 315 5 hit · 2 miss
- Machado Garry vs Prates 13 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 314 2 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 313 2 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 312 8 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 311 5 hit · 6 miss
- Dern vs Ribas 2 6 hit · 8 miss
- UFC 308 11 hit · 2 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Buckley vs. Malott
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anheliger vs Koslow | Anheliger · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Anheliger | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Barriault vs Daukaus | Daukaus · to win | Upcoming | Daukaus | Not called | Not called |
| Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius | Blanchfield · to win | Upcoming | Blanchfield | Not called | Not called |
| Boser vs Diniz | Diniz · to win | Upcoming | Diniz | Not called | Not called |
| Buckley vs Malott | Buckley · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Buckley | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Cerminara vs Stiller | Cerminara · Dec | Upcoming | Cerminara | Dec | Not called |
| Chovancek vs You | Chovancek · to win | Upcoming | Chovancek | Not called | Not called |
| Croden vs Chandler | Croden · Dec | Upcoming | Croden | Dec | Not called |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba | Jourdain · to win | Upcoming | Jourdain | Not called | Not called |
| Leblanc vs Galanti | Galanti · to win | Upcoming | Galanti | Not called | Not called |
| Mahjoub vs Faglier | Faglier · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Faglier | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Nallo vs Landwehr | Landwehr · to win | Upcoming | Landwehr | Not called | Not called |
| Nelson vs Perez | Perez · to win | Upcoming | Perez | Not called | Not called |
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · KO/TKO | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Joshua Van, expecting the champion's speed and striking to produce the decisive exchanges. “So, a Van finish a Van KO my official pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 27.2%. Ruffy · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ takes Mauricio Ruffy, trusting his explosive striking and finishing threat to overcome Tsarukyan's wrestling pressure. “I'm going to go Rufi to put him away and shock everybody. So Mauricio Ruffy the pick in the co-main event. I'm calling him by knockout.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 27.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 30.1%. Pitbull · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Patricio Pitbull in a veteran-versus-veteran matchup, while leaving the method open because he discusses both a decision and a late finish. “So, I will pick Patricio Pitull as an underdog here.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 30.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Moicano vs Ortega | Moicano · Dec | Upcoming | Moicano | Dec | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO · R1 | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Iwo Baraniewski to win by first-round knockout, emphasizing the younger fighter's early power and speed. “So Io Baronki to get the KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Gable Steveson by first-round knockout, expecting the wrestling crossover and physicality to overwhelm Sharaf early. “Gable Stefson for the first round knockout finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.5%. Vera · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Marlon Vera in a competitive matchup and does not assign a method because the analysis does not settle on one. “I'm going to end up picking Marlon Vera in this spot.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · KO/TKO | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Robelis Despaigne by knockout, backing the Cuban heavyweight's reach and finishing danger. “I'm going Rebellis to Spain. I'm going knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Ferreira · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Brunno Ferreira and expects a finish, but leaves the method unset because the discussion includes both knockout and submission routes. “So, I'm going to say Bruno Ferrer gets the finish here. I think he beats Edmond Shabbazian.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · Sub | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Joanderson Brito, expecting pressure and a submission route to neutralize Chikadze's kicking range. “Breto by sub.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · Dec | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Casey O'Neill, leaning toward her pressure and grappling control to win a decision. “And I'm going to pick Casey O'Neal probably to win a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO · R1 | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
AJ picks Ryan Gandra by first-round knockout, making his early power the defining matchup edge. “So Gandra by KO the official pick here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks JooSang Yoo based on the more favorable overall matchup, without committing to a finishing method. “I'm going to pick Juan Yu. I think he's better than Michael Aswell.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Hooker vs. Parnasse
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Aljarouj · to win | Sintes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Trusts Aljarouj's power and wrestling to outdo Sintes' trickier but lower-level grappling and striking. “So, I'll go Michael Arajuj in a competitive fight to do some more damage.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Benouaich · Dec | Benouaich · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Rates Benouaich's technical game and defence above Montenegro's power-first, defence-light brawling. “I do feel like the French start off with the win. Deli's technical MMA game should be able to overcome a fun brawler in Sophia Montenegro.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.6%. Campbell · to win | Campbell · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls it a low-confidence pick leaning on Campbell's jiu-jitsu, while flagging concern about his chin. “I am going to predict Curtis Campbell,” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.0%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees Lima as more technical everywhere and expects him to out-work Charriere's wilder power style. “So I'm going to go with Felipe Lima to shut down Morgan Sharier to a unanimous decision win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Syguła · Dec | Cornolle · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favours Syguła's camp and recent improvement over a Cornolle he reads as slowing after injury. “So I will go Claudia Saigula to get it done against Norah Corno.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Donchenko · KO/TKO | Donchenko · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Rates Donchenko's varied striking as too dangerous for the more boxing-bound Soriano. “So, we'll believe in Donchenko to get the job done. And uh I do hope he shows us a bit of the patience, but he's live to knock Sorano out.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Duclos · KO/TKO | Duclos · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Points to Dias never checking kicks as the opening for Duclos' leg kicks and mobility. “I think that Ducllo is a tricky matchup for Luis Phipe Diaz. And I'm going to pick Ducllo here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.8%. Parnasse · KO/TKO | Parnasse · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Believes Parnasse's rounded striking and grappling exploit Hooker's declining defence. “So, we're going Parnas in the main event with just simply too many weapons, much athleticism, too much precision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.3%. Keita · KO/TKO | Keita · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Rates Keita's speed and layered striking well above what he calls a generalist in Naimov. “I'm going with Los Kea.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.3% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 34.9%. Ruziboev · to win | Page · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Nurullo Ruziboev after identifying the size, pressure, knockout power, and submission threat as problems for Michael Page; no method is stated in the pick cue. “I'm going to go with Nur Sultan Rizzy Boy.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 34.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Pinto · KO/TKO | Pinto · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects Pinto's technical kickboxing to tire Spann and land the finish late. “So Mario Pinto to get the job done to get the knockout in the later stage of the fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Sy · Dec | Bukauskas · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Thinks Sy's reach and wrestling let him out-work Bukauskas across fifteen minutes. “I'm going to go with Umarci on the judges scorecards to do a little more over the 15 minutes and take it on uh unanimous decision probably.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.1%. Ziam · Dec | Sola · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Credits Ziam's technical striking, clinch work and experience over a more hittable, less tested Sola. “So, we're going FZam to beat Axel Sola in the co-main event.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 61.5% 8 5
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ding · to win | Nelson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Ding Meng for the win; mentions knockout, but says decision is live. “Ding Meng for the win. We'll say knockout, but decision is live, too.” * Says a decision remains live. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Xiong · to win | Polastri · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Reverses his earlier lean after the weigh-ins and face-offs, citing Xiong Jingnan’s size, boxing and home-country setting. “I'm gonna pick flip, man. I think Xiong Jingnan should be able to win.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Lui · to win | Santiago · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Lawrence Lui to outwork Hector Santiago without committing to one finishing method. “I will predict that Lawrence Lui wins.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Woodson · to win | Woodson · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Sean Woodson on his substantial height and reach advantage, expecting him to control the striking from distance. “Shawn Woodson to go out and get it done. That is going to be my pick for this matchup.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Xiao · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Xiao Long on his experience at a higher level without settling on a result method. “I'm going to go Xiao Long.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Tsuruya · Sub | Tsuruya · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Rei Tsuruya by submission. “Rei Tsuruya sub is the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Andre Lima to outpoint Namsrai Batbayar for a decision win. “I'll predict him to win by a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Bilal Hasan by knockout rather than submission. “I'm not picking submission. I'm picking knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Liu · KO/TKO · R1 | Liu · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Picks Liu Ce, the kickboxer, to stop Levi Rodrigues Jr. by first-round knockout. “I'm going to say Liu Ce to win by first-round knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Sumudaerji · to win | Sumudaerji · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Sumudaerji but leaves the method open between a knockout and decision. “My prediction is Sumudaerji by knockout or decision. It's hard to say.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Asakura · KO/TKO · R1 | Asakura · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Picks Kai Asakura by first-round knockout. “I'm going Asakura KO. I'm thinking a first-round knockout for Kai Asakura.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Gomes · Dec | Gomes · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Denise Gomes by decision, expecting her pressure and body work to slow Yan Xiaonan in a competitive fight. “My official pick is Gomes by decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Umar Nurmagomedov by decision. “My official pick is Umar by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 4 6
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · to win | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Orolbai the definite pick for his wrestling, control and faster striking against Wells's grappling exposure. “Orai definitely the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 27.5%. Tobias · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Tobias's physical grappling and questions Fernando's ground game. “I'm gonna go towards Tobias to pull off the win.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 27.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Gore · to win | Gore · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Gore for his upside, momentum, power and athleticism. “I'm going to go towards Tan Gore.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Final call is Johnson by KO, after citing Johnson's youth and explosiveness. “Johnson KO the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · KO/TKO | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Makes Fernandes by knockout his official call, citing Turner's durability and mental-lapse concerns. “I'm going to go Kawei Fernandez. I'm going to pick him. And uh I think even a knockout as the official call because Jaylen Turner, the mental lapse worries me” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · to win | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Álvarez for his grappling and kickboxing edges without a final method call. “I'm going Alvarez.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · KO/TKO | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Independently calls Ribovics by KO, pointing to pressure, heavy hands and Barboza's age/range disadvantage. “at 40. So, I'm going to go with Estan Reeba with you, bro. And I'm going to think he stops him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Abdul-Malik by KO on the strength of his athleticism, wrestling and finishing profile. “Yeah, I like the KO. Plus 100 Malik by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 36.5%. Robertson · Dec | Dern · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Low-confidence Robertson decision pick based on cage pressure and top control. “I'll go Robertson on a weird decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · Sub | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Predicts Makhachev submits Garry through takedown setups and top pressure. “cinder block. That is Islam Makachev's top pressure. And I'm gonna predict Islam Makachev submits Ian Garry.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Salkilld · to win | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Salkilld; the transcript leaves the method ambiguous between a hard-fought decision and a possible finish, so no method is retained. “So, I'm going Quittin Saulkeld” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. del Valle · KO/TKO | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects a finish either from ground-and-pound or on the feet, and deliberately leaves the round open. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · KO/TKO | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Makes Miller by knockout the official pick and explicitly leaves the round open. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Sousa · to win | Sousa · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Resolves a close call toward Sousa. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · KO/TKO | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Rates Medic's speed, timing and kickboxing well above Rodriguez's boxing, and thinks D-Rod gets lit up on the feet in front of a home crowd despite his durability. “D-Rod, who's more than willing to oblige in a good back and forth war. And I in a good back and forth war. And I think he's going to pay for it. So, think he's going to pay for it. So, we're going Euros Medic in the main we're going Euros Medic in the main event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. event by knockout over Daniel Rodriguez. And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in And we got a sick UFC Bgrade card in main event. I think this card is eating main event. I think this card is eating some [&” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Błachowicz · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Agonised over picking against Stirling, one of his favourite prospects, but decided the short-notice step up is too much too soon and backed the former champion's veteran savvy as a big underdog. “Sterling. I'm excited to see what's up, man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to man. I think that Yamlhovich is going to get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich get this win. So, I'm picking Yamlhovich to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main to beat Navajo Sterling in the co-main event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm event. I'm going with the underdog. I'm going with the former champion. We're going with the former champion. We're going Yamlhovich for the W. going Yamlhovich for the W. Let's ” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thinks Rakic's speed, footwork and kicks at his new heavyweight build are far too much for a fading 40-year-old Tybura, who has no real power to threaten him. “decision. Both seem very likely for this matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a matchup. And I think Rockic takes home a pretty lopsided win against an aging pretty lopsided win against an aging Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me Martian Tyber. So, the prediction for me is going to be Alexander Rockic to get is going to be Alexander Rockic to get back on business. And I think he beats back on business. And I think he beats up Martian Tyber in the feature fight of up Martian Tyber in the ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Started leaning Todorovic then flipped live on air, citing Valentin's speed, kicks, elbows and jiu-jitsu edge and his low opinion of Todorovic. “going to chop that lead leg down. That's what I'm thinking. The Valentine low what I'm thinking. The Valentine low kicks are going to cause problems for kicks are going to cause problems for Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My Dooo. We're going Robert Valentine. My confidence as I talked about it with you confidence as I talked about it with you guys here is actually growing on guys here is actually growing on Valentine. The Zinc can told me my Valentine. The Zinc can told me my internal feel” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1 | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Cepo a relentless first-round finisher moving into a home-town showcase and thinks Urbina, moving up to 185 and easy to bait into a brawl, gets destroyed early. “heavy hands, reckless aggression, and an opponent that I think is ripe for the opponent that I think is ripe for the pickings here. So, we're going with pickings here. So, we're going with Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should Vlasto. Violet knockout. He should destroy Orbena in round one. And uh destroy Orbena in round one. And uh yeah, I think Erbena defensively a yeah, I think Erbena defensively a little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances little worrisome. Takes a lot of chances too. And he's tak” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees Oliveira as a freakishly powerful, technically patient striker with a large size and reach edge, and thinks a declining Elliott has been handed a nightmare matchup. “to me fading him against a terrifying Brazilian UFC debut. His game's Brazilian UFC debut. His game's ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael ruthless, man. And I'm going Michael Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're Alivera to knock Oban out. So, we're going with the Brazilian freak to pull going with the Brazilian freak to pull this one off. And I think he is getting this one off. And I think he is getting a KO. Next fight up the card featured a KO. Next fight up the card featured prelim of the ni” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 30.5%. Musayev · to win | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes the underdog, arguing Musayev's close-range pressure, takedowns and ground-and-pound can outdog Klein, who is coming back from a broken leg and a nine-month layoff. “see him go out and get chinned, but potentially Messiah doing some big potentially Messiah doing some big damage to Ludovic. Not going to blow me damage to Ludovic. Not going to blow me away if it happens. So, Tofi Musia to away if it happens. So, Tofi Musia to win against Ludovic Klein to close out win against Ludovic Klein to close out the prelims in a wild fight feels like the prelims in a wild fight feels like the right pick to me and I'm going for the right pick to me and I'm going for the ” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 30.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls it a close battle of two defensively leaky fighters but favours Grad's speed, explosiveness and wrestling, and is worried about Buzukja's chin after a brutal knockout loss. “maybe it's more grappling." And then in that case, I'd favor Grod's wrestling a that case, I'd favor Grod's wrestling a bit over Bazooka's jiu-jitsu. So close bit over Bazooka's jiu-jitsu. So close fight, but I'll lean towards Bogdon Grod fight, but I'll lean towards Bogdon Grod getting it over Dennis Bazooka. getting it over Dennis Bazooka. Let's keep running up. Next fight up the Let's keep running up. Next fight up the card, we have Mark Velagin versus card, we have Mark Velagin versus Borisl” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 80.0% 8 2
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Ankalaev · Dec | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Ankalaev's technical edge and five-round experience to manage Guskov's early danger and win a decision. “I'm going to go Ankalaev by a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Temirov · to win | Temirov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Temirov's explosive pressure, power and defensive wrestling over Erceg, while noting Erceg's toughness and grappling ability. “I'm going Ramazan Temirov.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Patterson · KO/TKO | Patterson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects Patterson's reach, straight shots and power to exploit the aging Ponzinibbio's forward pressure for a knockout. “Sam Patterson not only to win, but I'm going to pick him by knockout win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Kuniev · Dec | Kuniev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Kuniev's positional control and second- and third-round striking to overcome Fortune's early power and wrestling threat. “I think Rizvan Kuniev pulls out a win over Tyrell Fortune by a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Dulatov vs Turman | Dulatov · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | Dulatov | KO/TKO | R1 |
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Sola · KO/TKO | Sola · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Sola as the longer, quicker and more durable striker, expecting him to break Bonfim down and finish him with strikes. “I'm going Axel Solo KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Walker · Sub | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Keeps backing Walker's heel hook until it fails, seeing Petersen as a favorable matchup for another submission. “Volkan Oezdemir by submission is going to be the pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Aliev · to win | Aliev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Davis as the more complete and proven fighter, expecting his striking and grappling to test Aliev beyond the latter's previous opposition. “Mike Davis to beat Nurullo Aliev and give him his first pro loss here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.0%. Izagakhmaev · Dec | Vagaev · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Narrowly favors Izagakhmaev in a competitive fight, citing his craft and stronger back takes despite Vagaev's boxing combinations. “I'm going to say that Saigid Zamayev pulls off a hard-fought decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Jacoby · Dec | Saidov · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Leans on Jacoby's veteran kickboxing and experience to outbox Saidov over three rounds, though he considers the debutant live. “I'll go Dustin Jacoby by veteran savviness.” * Says the pick could flip after the weigh-ins and further study. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Hussein · to win | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Hussein's speed, power and grappling over a 38-year-old Gibson, while acknowledging Gibson could make the opening round difficult. “I'm going Abdul Hussein.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 90.0% 9 1
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · KO/TKO | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Du Plessis by knockout, believing he has enough left to handle Usman with power and pressure. “Kamar Usman in a big way. So we're going Drius Duplexie by knockout UFC Oklahoma” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Duncan by knockout, expecting his speed and elbows to create the explosive finish against Cannonier. “stopped. So, we'll go Leroy Duncan by knockout as the pick in the co-main” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Barbosa to outgrapple Melisano, citing the physical flyweight matchup and Barbosa's top-control advantage. “prediction on him most likely and I'll go Barbosa to outgrapple her. Let's keep” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Harris · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout. “uh should land something big and put Hines away. So, we'll go RJ Harris” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls Coria by knockout, expecting his straight shots to break through against Nicoll. “out yet. I will say all in Cora by KO is going to be like my official read” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Franco · to win | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes underdog Franco, favoring his grappling and the prospect of taking Rodrigues down and controlling the fight. “fight. So, Felipe Franco as an underdog is going to be my pick and I'm kind of” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Delgado · KO/TKO | Delgado · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Delgado by knockout, valuing his ever-present striking chance against the dangerous grappler. “here. And I believe he's going to end up getting the KO. So, Jose Delgado by” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · Dec | Kline · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Kline by unanimous decision, seeing her as the prospect with the tools to become a title contender. “least, potentially of a world champion. So, I'm going for Teima Klein. Unanimous” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs McMillen's pressure and toughness to pull out the win, while forecasting a stoppage without specifying its type. “That's going to be my pick here. I'm going McMillan stoppage. I think he can” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.8%. Ramirez · KO/TKO | Hooper · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style. “Ramirez to get the finish of Chase Hooper. So Mitch Ramirez by knockout” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Shares the Holloway stoppage read. He expects McGregor to fatigue and become uncomfortable as Holloway's combinations stack up, with Holloway avenging the first fight by knockout. “I think Max Holloway is going to avenge that loss by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Treats the fight as a Steveson showcase. He expects the Olympic wrestler to put Ellison on the mat quickly, lean on ground-and-pound, and finish in the first round. “Gable Stevenson should deliver a first round TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · KO/TKO | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Likes Whittaker's speed and cleaner striking at light heavyweight. He sees Krylov as hittable and vulnerable after recent knockout losses, giving Whittaker a statement finish opportunity. “I think Robert Whitaker is gonna end up knocking him out, too.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Basharat · Sub | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls the short-notice UFC debut a tall task for Garza. He likes Garza's pressure and right hand, but sees Basharat as the seasoned, well-rounded UFC fighter with enough grappling layers to take over and finish by submission. “I'll go Farid by submission finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Kape vs Horiguchi
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Collins · to win | Collins · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Shane Collins for the boxing edge over Otari Tanzilovi. “I'm going with Shane Collins.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Chokheli · to win | Chokheli · TKO (leg kick and punches) R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Levan Chokheli on dangerous boxing against Leon Shahbazyan. “Chokheli should knock him out.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Santos · to win | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Luana Santos against Karol Rosa on her grappling advantage. “We're riding with the side of Luana.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Aswell Jr. · KO/TKO | Bolanos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Michael Aswell to stop Gaston Bolanos, citing the finish as the most likely outcome. “Azwell handles business. So, we're going Azwell. I'm going to go knockout.” | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 42.0%. Raposo · Dec | Raposo · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Mitch Raposo for an underdog split decision, trusting his grit and boxing against Allan Nascimento. “I'm going Raposo. I think he's gritty.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 84.5%. Lima · to win | Borjas · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Lima to beat Kevin Borjas and expects an inside-the-distance finish without naming a canonical method. “I'm going to pick Lima. I'm going to say Lima finishes him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 84.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Rodriguez · Dec | Rodriguez · Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Christian Rodriguez to outwork Hyder Amil over a decision. “I am going Christian Rodriguez by decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Fili · Dec | Oliveira · TKO (punches/elbows) R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Andre Fili for a close decision as an underdog, trusting his range and counter-striking against Vinicius Oliveira. “I'm going to go Andre Fili by a close decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Navajo Stirling to technically outwork Ion Cutelaba. “The pick Sterling for the W in the co-main event.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Kape · to win | Kape · TKO (punches) R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Manel Kape on speed, boxing and power, reversing an earlier Horiguchi lean after the weigh-ins. “I'm going Manel Kape for the win to beat Kyoji Horiguchi.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.0%. Mesquita · Sub | Mesquita · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Bia Mesquita to submit Melissa Mullins, citing Mesquita's elite grappling advantage. “I think she wins by submission.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 4
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ expects Topuria's sharper close-range boxing, head movement and counters to make Gaethje look too hittable, ending in a violent knockout inside the first 10 minutes. “I think Taporia is gonna knock him out.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ backs Pereira's power and cage pressure to catch Gane after the early movement slows, calling for Pereira to trap him and win by knockout. “Alex Pereira. I'm going with Alex Pereira to beat Sirill Gan.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · KO/TKO | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ sees O'Malley as the faster, superior boxer against a 38-year-old Zahabi whose boxing style and limited grappling threat leave him open to a vintage knockout. “getting knocked out. I'm going Shawn Ali by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · KO/TKO · R2 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket. “Do. He's gonna chin Josh Hogit. But as the analyst, bro, I gotta pick Josh Hokit to win by second round TKO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ frames Ruffy as the obvious side: too precise, rangy and dangerous for a 40-year-old Chandler, who might clinch early but eventually gets destroyed on the feet. “gets up and just destroys him on the feet. Chandler's getting knocked out. We're going Mauricio Ruffy by KO.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 24.5%. Daukaus · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ does not trust Nickal after the de Ridder loss and thinks Daukaus is live enough with striking and MMA grappling resistance to turn the bout into a rough underdog upset. “don't trust Bo Nickel. I'm going to pick Kyle Dawkins.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 24.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ expects Lopes to survive Garcia's pressure behind the better chin, cleaner counters and grappling threat, then find a later-stage finish as Garcia walks into big shots. “So, Diego Lopez over Steve Garcia later stage finish is going to be my pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 325
Volkanovski vs Lopes 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rowston · Sub | Rowston · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ expects Cam Rowston to hurt Cody Brundage on the feet before finishing by submission. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Yizha · Dec | Ofli · Decision - Majority R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ’s official call is Yizha to win by decision, while noting a knockout is possible. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Sulangrangbo · KO/TKO | Lui · Decision - Split R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ expects Sulangrangbo’s precision and timing to find a knockout against Lawrence Lui. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Elekana · Sub | Elekana · Sub R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Billy Elekana’s grappling advantage to produce a submission over Junior Tafa. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Malkoun · to win | Malkoun · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Jacob Malkoun to beat Torrez Finney after comparing their wrestling and striking paths. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Elliott · to win | Micallef · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Oban Elliott as the cleaner, sharper underdog, while holding the method open between knockout and decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 45.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.0%. Fan · Dec | Fan · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Dom Mar Fan to win on the scorecards through superior grappling and positional control. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Szalay · Dec | Nakamura · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ favors Sebastian Szalay’s experience and close-range work to win a competitive decision over Keiichiro Nakamura. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 323
Dvalishvili vs Yan 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 88.9% 8 1
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Santos · to win | Santos · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Myron Santos, with decision as the first thought but a knockout also live. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO | Abdul-Malik · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Mansur Abdul Malik to win inside the distance, with knockout and ground-and-pound as the primary route. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Baraniewski · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ expects Iwo Baraniewski to win decisively and predicts a stoppage without fixing one method. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Turner · Dec | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Jaylen Turner, with a decision as the primary call and a finish still possible. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ferreira · to win | Ferreira · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Bruno Ferreira to beat Marvin Vettori, while keeping the exact finish or decision route open. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 46.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Ziam · to win | Ziam · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ ultimately picks Fares Ziam to win, while describing Nazim Sadykhov’s grappling as a live threat. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Silva · Dec | Barber · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Karine Silva to win the decision through higher output and late-round work. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 50.5%. Duncan · to win | Duncan · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Chris Duncan to survive the opening storm and stop Terrence McKinney in the second round, with submission a live route. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 50.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Torres · KO/TKO | Torres · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Manuel Torres by knockout in the featured prelim against Grant Dawson. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 29.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC 322
Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 8
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Daukaus · to win | Daukaus · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Kyle Daukaus over Gerald Meerschaert. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 52.5%. Sabatini · Dec | Sabatini · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Pat Sabatini to outgrapple Chepe Mariscal in a competitive decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 52.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Kline · to win | Kline · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Fatima Kline over Angela Hill, with the exact finish route held open. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Susurkaev · KO/TKO | Susurkaev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Baisangur Susurkaev to win by knockout against Eric McConico. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Camilo · Sub | Camilo · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Matheus Camilo and specifically favors his submission threat. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Nickal · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Bo Nickal over Adolfo Vieira after reviewing the grappling matchup. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.0%. Rodrigues · KO/TKO | Rodrigues · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Gregory Rodrigues to knock out Roman Kopylov. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Blanchfield · to win | Blanchfield · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Erin Blanchfield in the rematch with Tracy Cortez. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 321
Aspinall vs Gane
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salkilld · Dec | Salkilld · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Nasrat Haqparast to outstrike Quillan Salkilld over three rounds. | |||||
| Aliskerov · to win | Aliskerov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Ikram Aliskerov over Jun Yong Park after highlighting the wrestling path. | |||||
| Klein · to win | Klein · Decision - Majority R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Ludovit Klein over Mateusz Rebecki. | |||||
| Walker · to win | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Valter Walker over Louis Sutherland. | |||||
| Delgado · Dec | Wood · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Jose Delgado by decision over Nathaniel Wood. | |||||
| Abdelwahab · to win | Abdelwahab · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Hamdy Abdelwahab over Chris Barnett. | |||||
| Maksum · to win | Raposo · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Azat Maksum over Mitch Raposo. | |||||
| Amorim · to win | Mizuki · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Jacqueline Amorim over Mizuki Inoue. | |||||
UFC 320
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoo · Dec | Santos · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Juesung Yu by unanimous decision over Daniel Santos. | |||||
| Mix · Sub | Wiklacz · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Patchy Mix inside the distance, leaning to the submission route over Jakub Wiklacz. | |||||
| Shahbazyan · KO/TKO | Shahbazyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Edmen Shahbazyan to win by knockout over Andre Muniz. | |||||
| Soriano · to win | Soriano · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Punahele Soriano over Nikolay Veretennikov while leaving knockout and decision as live routes. | |||||
| Chiasson · to win | Santos · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Macy Chiasson over Yana Santos and expects her to win the size and clinch exchanges. | |||||
| Basharat · Dec | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Farid Basharat by unanimous decision over Chris Gutierrez. | |||||
| Vanderford · Dec | Brahimaj · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Austin Vanderford by unanimous decision over Ramiz Brahimaj. | |||||
| Hardy · Dec | Hardy · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Veronica Hardy by unanimous decision over Brogan Walker. | |||||
UFC 319
Du Plessis vs Chimaev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Karine Silva by unanimous decision over Dione Barbosa. | |||||
| Idiris · to win | Morales · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Alibi Idris over Joseph Morales based on the sharper striking and wrestling upside. | |||||
| Barboza · KO/TKO | Klose · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Edson Barboza to win by knockout over Drakkar Klose. | |||||
| Hooper · Sub | Hernandez · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission over Alexander Hernandez. | |||||
| Godinez · Dec | Godinez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Lupita Godinez by decision over Jessica Andrade. | |||||
| Meerschaert · Sub | Oleksiejczuk · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Gerald Meerschaert by submission over Michal Oleksiejczuk. | |||||
UFC 317
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigues · Dec | Rodrigues · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Gregory Rodrigues by decision over Jack Hermansson, expecting his pressure and heavier shots to win the three-round fight. | |||||
| Delgado · KO/TKO | Delgado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Jose Miguel Delgado to finish Hyder Amil, officially leaning knockout while also flagging Delgado's submission route. | |||||
| Araújo · Dec | Cortez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Viviane Araujo in the underdog decision over Tracy Cortez, calling the matchup close and competitive. | |||||
| McKinney · Sub · R1 | McKinney · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
AJ picks Terrance McKinney to submit Viacheslav Borshchev in the first round, favoring the wrestling and jiu-jitsu mismatch. | |||||
| Smith · KO/TKO | Smith · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Jacobe Smith to knock out Nico Price, pointing to Smith's athleticism, wrestling base and developing power. | |||||
| Diniz · KO/TKO · R1 | Diniz · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Miss | |
AJ picks Jonata Diniz by first-round knockout over Alvin Hines, expecting Diniz's precise striking to punish Hines's hittable pressure. | |||||
UFC 316
Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 87.5% 7 1
- Method Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustafsson · to win | Gustafsson · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Andreas Gustafsson to beat Khaos Williams through relentless pressure and dirty boxing. | |||||
| Wang · Dec | Wang · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Wang Cong to win a decision through cleaner, more technical kickboxing over Ariane da Silva. | |||||
| Salkilld · Dec | Salkilld · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Quillan Salkilld to win on the scorecards against Yanal Ashmouz. | |||||
| Van · Dec | Van · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Joshua Van to outbox Bruno Silva and win a decision. | |||||
| Murzakanov · KO/TKO · R1 | Murzakanov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
AJ picks Azamat Murzakanov to catch Brendson Ribeiro with a first-round knockout. | |||||
| Spivac · to win | Cortes Acosta · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Serghei Spivac to use takedowns and control against Waldo Cortes-Acosta. | |||||
| Yoo · KO/TKO | Yoo · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ officially picks JooSang Yoo by KO over Jeka Saragih, while noting a submission is also possible if Yoo grapples. | |||||
| Mederos · Dec | Mederos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ makes MarQuel Mederos the official pick and leans to a decision over Mark Choinski. | |||||
UFC 315
Muhammad vs Della Maddalena
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 5 2
- Method Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almakhan · Dec | Almakhan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Bekzat Almakhan to win a hard-fought decision over Brad Katona. | |||||
| Lee · Dec | Santos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks JeongYeong Lee over Daniel Santos and leans toward a decision while allowing that a finish is possible. | |||||
| Barriault · Dec | Barriault · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Marc-André Barriault to find a way to win a competitive decision over Bruno Silva. | |||||
| Stirling · Dec | Stirling · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Navajo Stirling to win a tactical decision over Ivan Erslan. | |||||
| Bukauskas · to win | Bukauskas · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Modestas Bukauskas and weighs a decision or knockout without committing to one method or round. | |||||
| Jasudavicius · Dec | Jasudavicius · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win a wrestling-pressure decision over Jessica Andrade. | |||||
| Radtke · to win | Malott · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Charles Radtke over Mike Malott but leaves the method open between a knockout and decision. | |||||
Machado Garry vs Prates
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 92.9% 13 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machado Garry · to win | Machado Garry · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Ian Machado Garry (winner only). | |||||
| Zhang · to win | Zhang · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Zhang Mingyang (winner only). | |||||
| Chikadze · to win | Onama · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ transcript pick: David Onama (winner only). | |||||
| Magomedov · to win | Magomedov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Abusupiyan Magomedov (winner only). | |||||
| Brown · to win | Brown · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Randy Brown (winner only). | |||||
| Aliskerov · to win | Aliskerov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Ikram Aliskerov (winner only). | |||||
| Schnell · to win | Schnell · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Matt Schnell (winner only). | |||||
| Elder · to win | Elder · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Evan Elder (winner only). | |||||
| Gutiérrez · to win | Gutiérrez · Decision - Split R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Chris Gutiérrez (winner only). | |||||
| Blackshear · to win | Blackshear · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Da'Mon Blackshear (winner only). | |||||
| Wellmaker · to win | Wellmaker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Malcolm Wellmaker (winner only). | |||||
| Amorim · to win | Amorim · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Jacqueline Amorim (winner only). | |||||
| Cuamba · to win | Cuamba · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Timothy Cuamba (winner only). | |||||
| Edwards · to win | Edwards · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ transcript pick: Joselyne Edwards (winner only). | |||||
UFC 314
Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lopes · KO/TKO | Volkanovski · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Diego Lopes to win the featherweight title, expecting his power to produce a knockout or ground-and-pound finish over Alexander Volkanovski. | |||||
| Silva · KO/TKO | Silva · Submission (ninja choke) R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Jean Silva to knock Bryce Mitchell unconscious, repeatedly calling for a Silva knockout. | |||||
| Pimblett · Sub | Pimblett · TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Paddy Pimblett and identifies a club-and-sub sequence, with Pimblett hurting Chandler before taking his back or locking a choke. | |||||
UFC 313
Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankalaev · KO/TKO | Ankalaev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Magomed Ankalaev to become champion, describing Ankalaev's counter striking and wrestling as a route to a later-stage TKO or finish over Alex Pereira. | |||||
| Gaethje · Dec | Gaethje · Decision (unanimous) R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Justin Gaethje in another competitive fight, explicitly calling for another decision win over Rafael Fiziev. | |||||
UFC 312
Du Plessis vs Strickland 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 80.0% 8 2
- Method Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Du Plessis · Dec | Du Plessis · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Dricus Du Plessis to beat Sean Strickland again, calling for a decision after a competitive fight. | |||||
| Suarez · Sub | Zhang · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Tatiana Suarez to win the title by submission, expecting her wrestling and grappling to overwhelm Zhang Weili. | |||||
| Tafa · KO/TKO | Teixeira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Justin Tafa to win by knockout, expecting his heavyweight power to beat Tallison Teixeira's regional experience. | |||||
| Crute vs Bellato | Bellato · KO/TKO | Decision - Majority | Bellato | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Matthews · to win | Matthews · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Jake Matthews to beat Francisco Prado without committing to a particular method. | |||||
| Santos · Dec | Santos · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Gabriel Santos to outpoint Jack Jenkins in a competitive fight, explicitly calling a decision win. | |||||
| Nolan · Dec | Nolan · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Tom Nolan in an upset, expecting his wrestling and range to produce a decision over Viacheslav Borshchev. | |||||
| Wang · Dec | Wang · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Wang Cong to beat Bruna Brasil by unanimous decision after three rounds. | |||||
| Topuria · KO/TKO | Topuria · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Alexandre Topuria to beat Colby Thicknesse and expects the debuting prospect to find a finish, without settling an exact round. | |||||
| Rongzhu · Dec | Rongzhu · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Rongzhu to upset Cody Steele by decision, expecting Rongzhu's experience and cleaner boxing to carry the later rounds. | |||||
| Salkilld · Sub | Salkilld · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Quillan Salkilld to finish Anshul Jubli by submission, describing a club-and-sub route. | |||||
UFC 311
Makhachev vs Moicano
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nurmagomedov · Dec | Dvalishvili · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Umar Nurmagomedov to win the title by unanimous decision, expecting him to counter Merab Dvalishvili's pressure. | |||||
| Procházka · KO/TKO | Procházka · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Jiri Prochazka to beat Jamahal Hill by a finish, expecting Prochazka's pressure and striking to produce a knockout. | |||||
| Almeida · Sub | Almeida · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Jailton Almeida to submit Sergei Spivac, expecting Almeida's grappling transitions to create a back-take and finish. | |||||
| Holland · KO/TKO | de Ridder · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Kevin Holland to knock out Reinier de Ridder, expecting Holland's striking to exploit the opponent's awkward entries. | |||||
| Talbott · KO/TKO | Barcelos · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Payton Talbott to win by KO/TKO over Raoni Barcelos, expecting the younger fighter to capitalize on Barcelos's declining chin. | |||||
| Guskov · KO/TKO | Guskov · Sub R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Bogdan Guskov by KO over Billy Elekana, expecting Guskov's combinations to overwhelm the short-notice debutant. | |||||
| Ferreira · to win | Dawson · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Carlos Diego Ferreira to upset Grant Dawson without settling a method. | |||||
| Rosa · to win | Perez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Karol Rosa to beat Ailin Perez, expecting Rosa's striking and takedown defense to hold up. | |||||
| Nakamura · to win | Gafurov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Rinya Nakamura to win, expecting his wrestling and athleticism to control Muin Gafurov. | |||||
| Sopaj · to win | Sopaj · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Bernardo Sopaj over Ricky Turcios, allowing for either a knockout or decision rather than forcing a method. | |||||
| Ulanbekov · Dec | Ulanbekov · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Tagir Ulanbekov by decision over Clayton Carpenter after a competitive grappling-heavy fight. | |||||
Dern vs Ribas 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 42.9% 6 8
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis · to win | Kopylov · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Chris Curtis (winner only). | |||||
| Medić · to win | Soriano · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Uroš Medić (winner only). | |||||
| Ogden · to win | Moisés · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Trey Ogden (winner only). | |||||
| Caliari · to win | Kareckaitė · Decision - Split R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Nicolle Caliari (winner only). | |||||
| Ribas · to win | Dern · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Amanda Ribas (winner only). | |||||
| Ponzinibbio · to win | Ponzinibbio · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Santiago Ponzinibbio (winner only). | |||||
| Almeida · to win | Almeida · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: César Almeida (winner only). | |||||
| Bashi · to win | Rodriguez · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Austin Bashi (winner only). | |||||
| Johnson · to win | Bunes · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Jose Johnson (winner only). | |||||
| Tulio · to win | Tulio · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Marco Tulio (winner only). | |||||
| Smith · to win | Smith · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Jacobe Smith (winner only). | |||||
| Gadzhiyasulov · to win | Lopes · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (winner only). | |||||
| Kline · to win | Kline · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Fatima Kline (winner only). | |||||
| Aliev · to win | Aliev · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA EXPERTS transcript pick: Nurullo Aliev (winner only). | |||||
UFC 308
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Method Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Topuria · to win | Topuria · KO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Ilia Topuria over Max Holloway, emphasizing Topuria's pressure, power and grappling threat. | |||||
| Magomedov · to win | Magomedov · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Shara Magomedov over Armen Petrosyan, expecting his speed and striking flow to win the matchup. | |||||
| Chimaev · KO/TKO | Chimaev · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Khamzat Chimaev by ground-and-pound TKO over Robert Whittaker, expecting dominant early control. | |||||
| Ankalaev · KO/TKO | Ankalaev · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO over Aleksandar Rakić, expecting a second- or third-round stoppage. | |||||
| Murphy · Dec | Murphy · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Lerone Murphy by unanimous decision over Dan Ige, citing Murphy's craft and control of the fight. | |||||
| Cerqueira · KO/TKO | Aslan · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Raffael Cerqueira by KO/TKO over Ibo Aslan, backing Cerqueira's speed and creative striking. | |||||
| Neal · KO/TKO | Neal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Geoff Neal by KO/TKO over Rafael Dos Anjos, allowing for a second- or third-round finish. | |||||
| Orolbai · Dec | Rębecki · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ picks Myktybek Orolbai by unanimous decision through pressure wrestling over Mateusz Rębecki. | |||||
| Magomedov · Dec | Magomedov · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
AJ picks Abusupiyan Magomedov by decision, expecting wrestling and cardio to wear down Brunno Ferreira. | |||||
| Nzechukwu · KO/TKO | Nzechukwu · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Kennedy Nzechukwu by ground-and-pound stoppage over Chris Barnett. | |||||
| Basharat · Dec | Basharat · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Farid Basharat by decision, projecting a 30-27 fight through clean striking and grappling. | |||||
| Naurdiev · to win | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
AJ picks Ismail Naurdiev over Bruno Silva, expecting cleaner work from the returning fighter. | |||||
| Fakhretdinov · Dec | Fakhretdinov · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ picks Rinat Fakhretdinov by decision over Carlos Leal after a hard-fought fight. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind AJ Devito's logged calls.



























