Co-host on MMA EXPERTS' The Moneyline, covering UFC full-card predictions and betting-facing breakdowns.
AJ on YouTube ↗Scorecard
Called 52 of 71 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner 52 19
-
Method
25 12 15 19
-
Round
2 50 19
of 68 picks with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss Never called Winner missed
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price.
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner 4 6
-
Method
2 1 1 6
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
of 10 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Orolbai · to win | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Orolbai the definite pick for his wrestling, control and faster striking against Wells's grappling exposure. | |||||
| DOG Tobias · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Tobias's physical grappling and questions Fernando's ground game. | |||||
| DOG Gore · to win | Gore · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Gore for his upside, momentum, power and athleticism. | |||||
| FAV Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Final call is Johnson by KO, after citing Johnson's youth and explosiveness. | |||||
| DOG Fernandes · KO/TKO | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Makes Fernandes by knockout his official call, citing Turner's durability and mental-lapse concerns. | |||||
| FAV Álvarez · to win | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Favors Álvarez for his grappling and kickboxing edges without a final method call. | |||||
| FAV Ribovics · KO/TKO | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Independently calls Ribovics by KO, pointing to pressure, heavy hands and Barboza's age/range disadvantage. | |||||
| FAV Abdul-Malik · KO/TKO | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Abdul-Malik by KO on the strength of his athleticism, wrestling and finishing profile. | |||||
| DOG Robertson · Dec | Dern · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Low-confidence Robertson decision pick based on cage pressure and top control. | |||||
| FAV Makhachev · Sub | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Predicts Makhachev submits Garry through takedown setups and top pressure. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner 8 2
-
Method
4 2 2 2
- Round rightNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
of 9 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Salkilld · to win | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Salkilld with no method given. | |||||
| DOG Quarantillo · KO/TKO | Ferreira · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Quarantillo to knock Ferreira out. | |||||
| FAV del Valle · KO/TKO | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects a finish either from ground-and-pound or on the feet, and deliberately leaves the round open. | |||||
| FAV Miller · KO/TKO | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Makes Miller by knockout the official pick and explicitly leaves the round open. | |||||
| FAV Thainara · Dec | Thainara · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Predicts Thainara on the scorecards in a grappling-heavy fight. | |||||
| Johns · Dec | Johns · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Rates Vazquez a tough customer but doesn't see Johns dropping a fourth straight. | |||||
| FAV Nurgozhay · KO/TKO | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Locks Nurgozhay for the finish. | |||||
| FAV Asplund · KO/TKO | Asplund · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Asplund by knockout. | |||||
| FAV Sousa · to win | Sousa · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Resolves a close call toward Sousa. | |||||
| DOG Canuto · Sub · R1 | Foro · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Canuto by first-round submission. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner 6 2
-
Method
2 4 2
- Round rightNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
of 8 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Medić · KO/TKO | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Rates Medic's speed, timing and kickboxing well above Rodriguez's boxing, and thinks D-Rod gets lit up on the feet in front of a home crowd despite his durability. | |||||
| DOG Błachowicz · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Agonised over picking against Stirling, one of his favourite prospects, but decided the short-notice step up is too much too soon and backed the former champion's veteran savvy as a big underdog. | |||||
| FAV Rakić · to win | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Thinks Rakic's speed, footwork and kicks at his new heavyweight build are far too much for a fading 40-year-old Tybura, who has no real power to threaten him. | |||||
| FAV Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Started leaning Todorovic then flipped live on air, citing Valentin's speed, kicks, elbows and jiu-jitsu edge and his low opinion of Todorovic. “We're going Robert Valentine. My confidence as I talked about it with you guys here is actually growing on Valentine.” | |||||
| FAV Cepo · KO/TKO · R1 | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Cepo a relentless first-round finisher moving into a home-town showcase and thinks Urbina, moving up to 185 and easy to bait into a brawl, gets destroyed early. | |||||
| FAV Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees Oliveira as a freakishly powerful, technically patient striker with a large size and reach edge, and thinks a declining Elliott has been handed a nightmare matchup. | |||||
| DOG Musayev · to win | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes the underdog, arguing Musayev's close-range pressure, takedowns and ground-and-pound can outdog Klein, who is coming back from a broken leg and a nine-month layoff. | |||||
| FAV Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls it a close battle of two defensively leaky fighters but favours Grad's speed, explosiveness and wrestling, and is worried about Buzukja's chin after a brutal knockout loss. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Event scorecard
- Winner 10 2
-
Method
2 3 5 2
- Round rightNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
of 10 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Ankalaev · Dec | Ankalaev · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Ankalaev's technical edge and five-round experience to manage Guskov's early danger and win a decision. | |||||
| Temirov · to win | Temirov · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Temirov's explosive pressure, power and defensive wrestling over Erceg, while noting Erceg's toughness and grappling ability. | |||||
| FAV Patterson · KO/TKO | Patterson · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Expects Patterson's reach, straight shots and power to exploit the aging Ponzinibbio's forward pressure for a knockout. | |||||
| FAV Kuniev · Dec | Kuniev · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Kuniev's positional control and second- and third-round striking to overcome Fortune's early power and wrestling threat. | |||||
| Dulatov vs Turman | Dulatov · KO/TKO · R1 | Upcoming | |||
| FAV Sola · KO/TKO | Sola · Sub R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Sola as the longer, quicker and more durable striker, expecting him to break Bonfim down and finish him with strikes. | |||||
| FAV Walker · Sub | Walker · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Keeps backing Walker's heel hook until it fails, seeing Petersen as a favorable matchup for another submission. | |||||
| FAV Tuchalov · to win | Tuchalov · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Tuchalov's wrestling and striking advantage, with a ground-and-pound finish one possible outcome. | |||||
| FAV Zaynukov · to win | Zaynukov · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Zaynukov's rhythm, body and leg work, and higher perceived level as he begins his UFC career against Rzepecki. | |||||
| FAV Aliev · to win | Aliev · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Davis as the more complete and proven fighter, expecting his striking and grappling to test Aliev beyond the latter's previous opposition. | |||||
| DOG Izagakhmaev · Dec | Vagaev · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Narrowly favors Izagakhmaev in a competitive fight, citing his craft and stronger back takes despite Vagaev's boxing combinations. | |||||
| Jacoby · Dec | Saidov · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Leans on Jacoby's veteran kickboxing and experience to outbox Saidov over three rounds, though he considers the debutant live. * Says the pick could flip after the weigh-ins and further study. | |||||
| FAV Hussein · to win | Hussein · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Favors Hussein's speed, power and grappling over a 38-year-old Gibson, while acknowledging Gibson could make the opening round difficult. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner 9 2
-
Method
2 4 3 2
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
of 11 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Du Plessis · KO/TKO | Du Plessis · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Du Plessis by knockout, believing he has enough left to handle Usman with power and pressure. | |||||
| FAV Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Duncan by knockout, expecting his speed and elbows to create the explosive finish against Cannonier. | |||||
| FAV Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Barbosa to outgrapple Melisano, citing the physical flyweight matchup and Barbosa's top-control advantage. | |||||
| DOG Harris · KO/TKO | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Harris' left hook and size to catch Hines and produce an underdog knockout. | |||||
| FAV Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls Coria by knockout, expecting his straight shots to break through against Nicoll. | |||||
| DOG Franco · to win | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes underdog Franco, favoring his grappling and the prospect of taking Rodrigues down and controlling the fight. | |||||
| DOG Delgado · KO/TKO | Delgado · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Delgado by knockout, valuing his ever-present striking chance against the dangerous grappler. | |||||
| FAV Kline · Dec | Kline · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Kline by unanimous decision, seeing her as the prospect with the tools to become a title contender. | |||||
| FAV McMillen · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs McMillen's pressure and toughness to pull out the win, while forecasting a stoppage without specifying its type. | |||||
| DOG Ramirez · KO/TKO | Hooper · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the upset for Ramirez by knockout, citing Hooper's recent stoppage losses and Ramirez's power-punching style. | |||||
| FAV Ko · Dec | Lebosnoyani · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Trusts Ko's versatility, patience and control-based grappling to win the judges' scorecards. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner 11 2
-
Method
9 2 2
-
Round
1 10 2
of 13 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Shares the Holloway stoppage read. He expects McGregor to fatigue and become uncomfortable as Holloway's combinations stack up, with Holloway avenging the first fight by knockout. “I think Max Holloway is going to avenge that loss by KO.” | |||||
| FAV Sandhagen · Dec | Bautista · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Sees Sandhagen as a little craftier, faster and more dynamic than Bautista. He respects Bautista's volume and cardio, but thinks Sandhagen's range tools and grappling answers edge the rematch. | |||||
| FAV Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Kavanagh because of the cleaner, faster and more technical kickboxing. He gives Royval chaos and grappling danger, but expects Kavanagh to stay a step ahead. | |||||
| FAV Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Treats the fight as a Steveson showcase. He expects the Olympic wrestler to put Ellison on the mat quickly, lean on ground-and-pound, and finish in the first round. “Gable Stevenson should deliver a first round TKO.” | |||||
| FAV Whittaker · KO/TKO | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Likes Whittaker's speed and cleaner striking at light heavyweight. He sees Krylov as hittable and vulnerable after recent knockout losses, giving Whittaker a statement finish opportunity. “I think Robert Whitaker is gonna end up knocking him out, too.” | |||||
| FAV Wang · Dec | Wang · Dec | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Splits from Finch and takes Wang Cong on the striking edge. He thinks Wang is faster, can win the exchanges, and can do just enough with get-ups to edge a close scorecard. | |||||
| FAV Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Trusts Riley's prospect momentum and sharper hands, while respecting Kamaka's seasoning across UFC, Bellator and PFL. He expects Riley to win a hard-fought decision. “I think Luke Riley wins a hard-fought decision against him.” | |||||
| FAV Yañez · KO/TKO | Yañez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees this as a Yanez showcase against a fading Garbrandt. He thinks Yanez can force a big exchange and land the shot Garbrandt can no longer reliably absorb. | |||||
| FAV Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sides with Gandra's pressure, boxing background and power in both hands. He respects Reese's kicking game, but expects Gandra to bully him in close and make the knockout threat count. | |||||
| FAV Costa · Sub | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Thinks Costa's low center of gravity, physical grappling, forward pressure and calf kicks make this a difficult Durden matchup. He expects Durden to be in a striking deficit and sees Costa hurting him into a submission. “I think we're looking at a submission for Costa.” | |||||
| FAV Basharat · Sub | Basharat · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls the short-notice UFC debut a tall task for Garza. He likes Garza's pressure and right hand, but sees Basharat as the seasoned, well-rounded UFC fighter with enough grappling layers to take over and finish by submission. “I'll go Farid by submission finish.” | |||||
| FAV Pinas · KO/TKO | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Calls it close, but favours Pinas because of his length, power and finishing upside. He thinks Pinas has more live knockout paths than Almeida and is the stronger side despite the hard matchup. “I have to favor the side of Pinas.” | |||||
| DOG Pimblett · Sub | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Pimblett to weather Saint Denis' early chaos and punish mistakes once grappling scrambles open. He expects Pimblett's back-taking and submission game to decide it later. “I'm going Patty Pima by submission here.” | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner 4 3
-
Method
4 3
-
Round
1 3 3
of 7 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ expects Topuria's sharper close-range boxing, head movement and counters to make Gaethje look too hittable, ending in a violent knockout inside the first 10 minutes. | |||||
| FAV Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ backs Pereira's power and cage pressure to catch Gane after the early movement slows, calling for Pereira to trap him and win by knockout. | |||||
| FAV O'Malley · KO/TKO | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ sees O'Malley as the faster, superior boxer against a 38-year-old Zahabi whose boxing style and limited grappling threat leave him open to a vintage knockout. | |||||
| FAV Hokit · KO/TKO · R2 | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
AJ says the fan pick is Lewis by early bomb, but his analyst call is Hokit by second-round ground-and-pound after wrestling, wearing Lewis down and avoiding the pocket. | |||||
| FAV Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ frames Ruffy as the obvious side: too precise, rangy and dangerous for a 40-year-old Chandler, who might clinch early but eventually gets destroyed on the feet. | |||||
| DOG Daukaus · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
AJ does not trust Nickal after the de Ridder loss and thinks Daukaus is live enough with striking and MMA grappling resistance to turn the bout into a rough underdog upset. | |||||
| FAV Lopes · KO/TKO | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
AJ expects Lopes to survive Garcia's pressure behind the better chin, cleaner counters and grappling threat, then find a later-stage finish as Garcia walks into big shots. | |||||
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