Half The Battle is a UFC predictions show hosted by Daniel Levi. The show combines fight analysis and picks with discussions featuring fighters, MMA personalities and sports bettors.
Scorecard
Called 55 of 98 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 56.1% 55 43
- Method Accuracy 71.4% 10 4
- Round Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Underdog Accuracy 26.1% 6 17
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
55 of 98 — 56% now, from 25% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
71% 10 of 14 correct winners that named a method
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Round
1 of 2 correct winners that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
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Underdog
26% 6 of 23 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 2 hit · 9 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 6 hit · 6 miss
- Silva vs. Delgado 6 hit · 5 miss
- Nurmagomedov vs. Song 7 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 330 6 hit · 5 miss
- Gamrot vs. Salkilld 8 hit · 1 miss
- Medic vs. Rodriguez 6 hit · 2 miss
- Du Plessis vs. Usman 6 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 329 4 hit · 2 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 3 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 327 1 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 18.2% 2 9
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 16.7% 1 5
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · to win | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'mma actually come out here and pick the underdog CLD” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. * pick the underdog CLD; not that confident in it | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · to win | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'm going to slightly lean towards Camilo in this spot” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * slightly lean towards Camilo | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“Give me Felipe Franco to come out here and finish Brenen Hiro” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I think he comes out here knocks out Otari Tanzalovi and gets back on track Give me Malcolm Wellmaker for the W” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.4%. Kamaka III · to win | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“give me Kamaka to come out here upset Andre Phely and the fade Andre Feelely world tour rolls on” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · to win | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I've been a lot more impressed with R.J Harris and for that reason I'm going to pick him to win this fight” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.6%. Souza · to win | Godinez · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I'm gonna pick her to come out here get this upset and floor Lupy Godinez” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Gatto · to win | Draw | Gatto | Not called | Not called |
| Underdog call, market price 45.5%. Zhelezniakova · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“give me a Nicova to come out here and get this upset” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 45.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to win | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
“i'm gonna take Francisco Prao to get back on track and to do so in very impressive fashion I think he comes out here takes out all his pentup aggression on Islam and knocks him out in the first round” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Price · to win | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“I'm gonna pick Nico Price to come out here finish Leon Shebasian and retire on a win” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Meerschaert · Sub | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“my opinion is that Gerald Mirshar comes out here and taps out Julius Walker and gets this upset” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 26.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · to win | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Joanderson Brito (winner only). “Joe Anderson Breurto is going to come out here and get a finish.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Casey O’Neill (winner only). “I'm leaning a little bit towards Casey O'Neal to get it done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Ferreira · KO/TKO | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Brunno Ferreira by KO/TKO. “I actually come out here and pick the underdog Bruno Ferrer to knock out Edmond Shabbazian.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · KO/TKO · R1 | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Iwo Baraniewski (winner only). “I'm going to pick Barneski to come out here and extend that win streak and get another big step up in competition. And I think he's knocking out Menfield in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Daniel Levy transcript pick: Gable Steveson (winner only). “I think that Gable Stevenson is going to come out here and terrorize Shawn Teraf.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Silva vs. Delgado
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 28.5%. Aldrich · Dec | Tarin · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks JJ Aldrich by Decision. “Give me JJ Aldrich to win this controversial split decision.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 28.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Bahamondes · KO/TKO | Bahamondes · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Ignacio Bahamondes by KO. “I think Ignacio Bahamondes is going to come out here and knock Salikhov out.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Cortes Acosta · KO/TKO | Blaydes · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Waldo Cortes Acosta by KO. “Waldo Cortes Acosta is going to come out here and knock out Curtis Blaydes.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Chairez · to win | Elliott · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Edgar Chairez to win. “I'm going to pick Edgar Chairez to win.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Fiorot · Dec | Grasso · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Manon Fiorot by Decision. “As a pure pick, I'll take Manon Fiorot to come out here and win this decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Rongzhu · to win | Rongzhu · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Rongzhu to win. “I got Rongzhu to come out here and defeat Rafa Garcia.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Gantt · to win | Gantt · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Tommy Gantt to win. “Give me Tommy Gantt.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Martinez · Dec | Martinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks David Martinez by Decision. “David Martinez is most likely a unanimous decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. McMillen · to win | McMillen · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Tommy McMillen to win. “Give me Tommy McMillen to come out here and hand Marwan Rahiki his first loss.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Morales · to win | Moreno · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Joseph Morales to win. “I'm going to pick Joseph Morales to come out here and defeat Brandon Moreno.” | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.0%. Silva · to win | Silva · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Jean Silva to win. “I'll pick Jean Silva as a pure pick.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 82.5%. Nurmagomedov · Dec | Song · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Umar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. “I'll take Umar Nagamemed off to win a decision here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 82.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Yan · Dec | Gomes · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Yan Xiaonan to win by unanimous decision. “I'm going to pick her to come out here and win this unanimous decision in China.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Asakura · KO/TKO · R1 | Asakura · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
Picks Kai Asakura to stop Aori Qileng in the first round as the sharper striker. “I'm going to pick Kai Asakura to come out here in Shanghai, China, and knock out Iori in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 66.5%. Sumudaerji · KO/TKO | Sumudaerji · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Sumudaerji to stop Alex Perez, citing their prior meeting. “Sue is going to come out here and knock out Alex Perez.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 66.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO | Liu · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Levi Rodrigues Jr. to score an upset knockout in a standing brawl. “I'm gonna pick Lebby Rodriguez to come out here and get this upset and knock Lou out.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Hasan · KO/TKO | Hasan · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Bilal Hasan to exploit Nilson Rojas's striking openings for a knockout. “Balal Hassan's gonna come out here and knock out Nilson Rojos.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Lima · Dec | Lima · Sub R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Picks Andre Lima by decision for cleaner, quicker counter work. “I suspect and I predict Andre Lima comes out here and wins a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Nuzzi · to win | Nuzzi · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Francesco Nuzzi as an underdog on activity and cleaner striking. “I'm going to take an underdog shot on Newsie to come out here and upset Long Xiao in China.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Jenkins · to win | Woodson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Jack Jenkins for an upset through his leg kicks and game plan. “I'm going to pick Jack Jenkins to upset Shawn Woodson.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 23.5%. Santiago · to win | Santiago · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Hector Santiago as the live underdog in a standing fight. “I'll take Santiago to come out here and upset Lou in China.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 23.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Polastri · to win | Polastri · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Julia Polastri for her pressure, output, and possible takedowns. “I got Julia Pelri to come out here and beat the dog out of Jeang.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Ding · to win | Nelson · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Ding Meng for his first UFC win on experience. “I'm going to pick Ming Deng to come out here, get that first UFC win.” | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. Orolbai · to win | Wells · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Orolbai to put Wells through the grinder, without committing to a method. “I just think Oral comes out here and puts Jeremiah Wells through the grinder.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Brahimaj · to win | Magny · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Brahimaj and expects an early finish, but does not give a committed type or round. “I predict Ramse comes out here and finishes Neil Magny early.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Fernando · to win | Fernando · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Pure pick is Fernando without a method call. “My pure pick would be Lucas Fernando.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 49.5%. Gore · to win | Gore · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Gore winner-only. “I'm going to pick Tawn Gore to come out here and beat Vicente Luke.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 49.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Johnson · KO/TKO | Johnson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Predicts Johnson probably knocks McConico out; the hedge is retained and no round is assigned. “I think he probably comes out here and knocks out Eric Mcconico.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Fernandes · to win | Turner · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Fernandes winner-only. “upset. So, it's a tough pick. I may be way off, but I'm going to pick Kawi way off, but I'm going to pick Kawi Fernandez to come out here and upset Fernandez to come out here and upset Jaylen Turner. Next up in the middleweight division, we got a match up middleweight division, we got a match up between Dante Johnson. He's 8 and0” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Álvarez · to win | Njokuani · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Álvarez to break Njokuani down down the stretch, without a formal finish-method call. “I'm gonna go with Joel Alvarez to come out here and break Chitty down the stretch.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Ribovics · KO/TKO | Ribovics · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Ribovics by knockout without a round call. “I think that Rivix is going to come out here and knock out Edson Barbosa.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 85.5%. Abdul-Malik · to win | Stoltzfus · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Abdul-Malik winner-only. “But regardless, I'm going to pick Maner Abdul Malik to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 85.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.5%. Dern · to win | Dern · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Dern but is unsure whether she finishes by submission or another route. “Ultimately I will pick Durn to come out here and defend her belt.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Makhachev but does not commit to a finish method. “Makachev is gonna dominate Ian Garry largely on the mat and get his arm raised.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 88.9% 8 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Salkilld · to win | Salkilld · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks the favourite to take the biggest win of his career, having just quoted the line at Salkilld -135. “I got a lot of respect for Gameamrot, but I'm going actually pick the favorite Quill and Salo to come out here, get the biggest win of his career” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Ferreira · to win | Ferreira · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Ferreira to beat Quarantillo, without a method. “I'm going to pick CDF to come out here and beat Billy Q.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 87.5%. del Valle · KO/TKO | del Valle · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees del Valle's grappling and striking plus his youth overwhelming a 42-year-old Elkins. “I think Yair Delvie comes out here and knocks him out.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 87.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Miller · to win | Miller · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Sees Miller's technique as clearly superior here. “I think that Ty Miller is the guy with a lot more potential here. So, I respect Goff. He's a very, very tough guy. I see Tai Miller's technique being superior here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Thainara · Dec | Thainara · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Sees Thainara winning at least two rounds and taking the decision. “I see Alexi Tinaro winning at least two of these rounds. And for that reason, I'm going to pick her to come out here and win this decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.0%. Montanha · to win | Montanha · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Montanha to upset Sutherland. “I'll take the upset here. I'll take Montana to come out here and upset Louis Sutherland” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Lopes · to win | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes the upset, Lopes. “Give me Bruno Lopes to upset Diar Nergose.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.5%. Asplund · to win | Asplund · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Asplund, hedging between a stoppage and a decision. “I'm going to pick Steven Aspinal. He'll either get a TKO or win a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Miller · to win | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Miller without a method. “I think she gets past Ravena Oliveira.” | |||||
Medic vs. Rodriguez
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Medić · to win | Medić · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says both men will engage but D-Rod is the one who gets dropped; Medic is in his prime and has fought three times since Rodriguez last fought, coming into camp already in shape. “he's building off these last few performances, whereas D Rod had to get performances, whereas D Rod had to get in shape at the start of his camp. So, I in shape at the start of his camp. So, I just see a lot of positives on the side just see a lot of positives on the side of Medić here, and I think he gets the of Medić here, and I think he gets the biggest win of his career in his first biggest win of his career in his first UFC main event. Next up in the light UFC main event. Next up in the lig” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Has been fading Blachowicz for years and thinks Stirling's range, speed, timing and wrestling defence catch the 43-year-old at the perfect time. Explicitly refuses to call the method. “I've fallen and can't get up. So, don't be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in be surprised if Nabaho Sterling mixes in a takedown or two, but ultimately, I a takedown or two, but ultimately, I don't know if it's going to be a don't know if it's going to be a knockout or a decision, but I am going knockout or a decision, but I am going to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here to pick Nabaho Sterling to come out here and get the biggest win of his career and get the biggest win of his career an” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Rakić · to win | Rakić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Calls Rakic a fraud he has no long-term confidence in, but says the move to heavyweight is right and the speed and athleticism edge over a slow 40-year-old Tybura should get him back on track. “get back on track, have that speed advantage, be a little bit more athletic advantage, be a little bit more athletic than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy, be closer to your prime than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a than this guy. So, I think Rakić gets a win here, then they match him up with a win here, then they match him up with a a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan a Volkan Oezdemir. I think Volkan Oezdemir takes that leg home. They match Oezdemir takes that leg home. They m” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Valentin · to win | Valentin · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says Todorovic is trending downward after knee injuries and is phoning in his camps, while Valentin is now training with elite guys in Vegas and can find an opening off a Todorovic mistake. “I'm going to pick Robert Valentine to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Čepo · KO/TKO · R1 | Urbina · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Thinks Cepo is getting a deliberately favourable debut matchup, and that Urbina would need to weather a serious storm and drag Cepo into a fatigue state before the takedowns land. “to get back up, but I'm just not convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get convinced that Gilbert Urbina can get him to that point. So, for that reason, him to that point. So, for that reason, I think Chepo's going to come out here I think Chepo's going to come out here and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very and knock Gilbert Urbina out in the very first round. Next up in the lightweight first round. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between division, we got a match up between” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Oliveira · KO/TKO | Oliveira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Names Oliveira his fighter to watch and a future top-10 guy — cerebral, technical, good takedown defence — while Elliott has fallen off since the Hafez win. “main card for a numbered event because this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the this guy, Michael Oliveira, is the absolute goods and I think he's going to absolute goods and I think he's going to show that on Saturday when he comes out show that on Saturday when he comes out here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If here and knocks out Oban Elliott. If you're planning on betting on the fights you're planning on betting on the fights this weekend, I wanted to let y'all know this weekend, I wanted to let y'” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Klein · to win | Musayev · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls this his fight to watch and defends Musayev over the Bahamondes fence-grab, but sees Klein as faster, hungrier and five years younger with fantastic takedown defence. “going is going to be tough, it's going to be competitive, but I see Klein to be competitive, but I see Klein pulling away in the second and third pulling away in the second and third rounds of this fight, and I think he rounds of this fight, and I think he comes out here and defeats Tofiq Musaev. comes out here and defeats Tofiq Musaev. Next up in the welterweight division, we Next up in the welterweight division, we got a match up between Michael Oliveira. got a match up between Michael Oliveir” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 65.5%. Grad · to win | Grad · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Says Buzukja is coming off a bad knockout only three months ago with no real recovery time, while Grad took proper time off after his own KO loss and has the more functional, well-rounded game. “But, I just think that Bogdan's got a more functional and well-rounded game more functional and well-rounded game than Dennis Buzukja. And for that than Dennis Buzukja. And for that reason, I think Bogdan Grad's going to reason, I think Bogdan Grad's going to come out here and win this fight. Next come out here and win this fight. Next up in the lightweight division, we got a up in the lightweight division, we got a match up between Mateusz Rębecki, who's match up between Mateusz Rębecki, who's ” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 65.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 6 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 64.9%. Du Plessis · to win | Du Plessis · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Du Plessis to finish Usman after the late rounds, expecting his pressure to make Usman's wrestling harder to sustain. “and put him down for good. So, I got Dricus Du Plessis to come out here, get” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 74.8%. Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Duncan to knock Cannonier out, contrasting Duncan's durability with Cannonier's age and recent decline. “Holloway. I'm going to go CLD to come out here and” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 74.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 83.5%. Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Barbosa to finish Melisano, emphasizing Barbosa's experience and well-roundedness at the price. “dominantly. So, I'm going to pick Deonna Barbosa to come out here and finish Anna” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 83.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 88.5%. Coria · to win | Coria · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Coria to dominate Nicoll, citing Coria's clear standing in the matchup and Nicoll's lack of UFC success. “why Korea's minus 1,000 in this spot. I think Alden Korea's going to come out” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 88.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Rodrigues to knock out Franco, while noting the unanswered questions if the matchup stays on the mat. “caution in a match-up like this. But I'll pick Levi to come out here and” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 55.5%. Bashi · to win | Delgado · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Bashi as the underdog based on his takedown threat and a likely grappling advantage over Delgado. “but I got to go Austin Bassey here for this upset. If you're planning on” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 55.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Kline · to win | Kline · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Kline to make a statement, praising her hunger, physicality and potential against Ricci. “Ricci. I'm going Fatima Klein to make a statement Saturday night in Oklahoma” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 35.1%. Montes · to win | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Rates Montes as the more technical all-around fighter and picks him to take the upset. “MMA. And I think Montes is going to come out here and get this upset. Next up in” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 35.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.2%. Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Makes Hooper the pure pick because he has shown more than Ramirez, while calling the betting position dog-or-pass. “of the price, you know. If this is a pick'em, I'm going Chase Hooper all day.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.2% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 42.5%. Bautista · Dec | Bautista · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Picks Mario Bautista to upset Cory Sandhagen in a close rematch. He expects a one-round-apiece type fight decided by a single takedown, strike or late moment, and favors Bautista's current form and hunger coming off his career-best win. “that's my prediction before the fact. I could see it going either way, but I'm going to pick Mario Bautista to come out here and upset Cory Sanhagen and win the rematch.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 42.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. * Projects a close, split-decision-style fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to win | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Makes Gable Steveson the straightforward pick in his UFC debut. He treats the wrestling pedigree and matchup dynamics as too wide a gap to back Elisha Ellison, while not committing to a specific finish method. “that UFC debut is I ain't picking no grown man named Alicia to win a UFC fight. My pick is Gable Stevenson.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 44.5%. Reese · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Leans slightly toward Zachary Reese in a volatile fight because he trusts Reese more once the early danger settles. He says Gandra's power and physicality could be a problem, but thinks Reese can take over if he finds range and survives the opening exchanges. “going to lean a little bit towards Zach Reese.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 44.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. * Low-confidence lean; he says either man winning would not surprise him. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Durden · to win | Costa · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Cody Durden to outwork Alessandro Costa if he avoids the big power shots. He acknowledges Costa has the harder one-shot threat, but expects Durden's pace, wrestling and top control to carry enough of the fight. “Duran's got a chance to outwork Costa. I'm going to pick Duran to come out here and get his arm raised and start a new win streak.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. * Personal connection disclosed in the video; he says Durden is his friend and he would never pick against him. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Damian Pinas as the younger, more explosive prospect with the athleticism to outgrow Cesar Almeida quickly. He thinks Pinas can strike with Almeida and may even show wrestling wrinkles against an opponent with takedown-defense concerns. “how Damian Pinas wants to approach this fight, I'm gonna pick Damian Pinas to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Half The Battle gives a transcript-verified UFC 329 main-event pick for Max Holloway. “I got Max Holloway to come out here and finish Conor McGregor.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Levy favors Topuria as the much cleaner boxer and thinks Gaethje's tendency to get hurt makes him ripe for Topuria's combinations. He expects Topuria to knock Gaethje out and retain the lightweight belt. “I'm gonna pick Ilia Tapora to come out here on the White House lawn, knock out the always exciting Justin Gachi” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Levy thinks Ruffy can weather Chandler's early wrestling threat, punish Chandler's calf-kick vulnerability and eventually land upstairs. He calls for Ruffy to beat Chandler and knock him out. “I'm going Mauricio Huffy” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Hokit · to win | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Levy frames Lewis as live early for a knockout, but says that if Hokit survives the first round and a half, his pace, wrestling and pressure should break Lewis.
“the depths of the ocean and drown him. I'm going to go Josh Hokit to continue” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Levy sees Daukaus as a live opponent but thinks Nickal's RDR loss may sharpen him, and expects Nickal to get back on track against Daukaus.
“I'm going to pick Bo Nickal to win this fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 40.5%. Garcia · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Levy likes Garcia as an underdog because he believes Garcia has better MMA boxing fundamentals, footwork and minute-winning tools, while Lopes relies more on opportunistic finishing moments.
“department. So, for that reason, I'm going to pick Steve Garcia to come out” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 40.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
UFC 327
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Pico · to win | Pico · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Half The Battle's pure pick is Aaron Pico; no method is committed. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Brown · to win | Holland · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Half The Battle picks Randy Brown to win; no method is committed. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. Ribovics · to win | Gamrot · Sub R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Half The Battle picks Esteban Ribovics for the upset without committing to a method. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Gastelum · KO/TKO | Luque · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Half The Battle picks Kelvin Gastelum to knock out Vicente Luque. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Half The Battle's logged calls.










