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TheWeasle on YouTube ↗Track Record
Derived from every pick we've logged and verified — shown with its denominator, never a bare percentage. Draws and no-contests fall outside it.
Called 11 of 16 resolved picks
On the Card
TheWeasle's picks for UFC Freedom 250 — tap a row for the reasoning and the source clip.
Topuria vs Gaethje TheWeasle: picks Topuria · KO/TKO · R1 for Topuria vs Gaethje — upcoming.
Topuria's cage-cutting and one-punch power are too much — he works into the pocket, rips the body, and lands the overhand on top for a first-round finish.
Pereira vs Gane TheWeasle: picks Pereira · KO/TKO · R2 for Pereira vs Gane — upcoming.
Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ.
O'Malley vs Zahabi TheWeasle: picks O'Malley · Decision for O'Malley vs Zahabi — upcoming.
O'Malley's striking is on a far higher level and Zahabi has seen nothing he can't handle, but Zahabi's toughness keeps him alive to a decision.
Lewis vs Hokit TheWeasle: picks Hokit · KO/TKO · R1 for Lewis vs Hokit — upcoming.
Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists.
Ruffy vs Chandler TheWeasle: picks Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1 for Ruffy vs Chandler — upcoming.
Chandler's fight IQ won't let him wrestle on the White House card; he swings haymakers and gets flatlined by Ruffy's check left hook and right straight.
Nickal vs Daukaus TheWeasle: picks Nickal · Decision for Nickal vs Daukaus — upcoming.
Nickal out-wrestles and controls Daukaus, defending submissions to advance position and winning on composure and wrestling by decision.
Lopes vs Garcia TheWeasle: picks Lopes · KO/TKO · R2 for Lopes vs Garcia — upcoming.
Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second.
Resolved Calls
What was predicted, what actually happened, and whether it hit.
Brady vs Buckley TheWeasle: predicted Brady · Sub · R2 for Brady vs Buckley. Actual Brady · Dec. Result: Hit.
Brady takes Buckley down and submits him in the second.
Chimaev vs Strickland TheWeasle: predicted Chimaev · to win for Chimaev vs Strickland. Actual Strickland · Dec. Result: Miss.
Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on.
Green vs Stephens TheWeasle: predicted Green · KO/TKO · R2 for Green vs Stephens. Actual Green · Sub R1. Result: Hit.
Green's cleaner boxing counters Stephens' wild shots and finishes him.
Van vs Taira TheWeasle: predicted Taira · Sub · R4 for Van vs Taira. Actual Van · KO/TKO R5. Result: Miss.
The bigger man and far better grappler; Taira's control finds a fourth-round submission.
Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta TheWeasle: predicted Volkov · Decision for Volkov vs Cortes-Acosta. Actual Volkov · Dec. Result: Perfect call.
Volkov's technique, height and reach keep Waldo at range for a close 29-28 decision.
Blaydes vs Hokit TheWeasle: predicted Hokit · KO/TKO · R3 for Blaydes vs Hokit. Actual Hokit · Dec. Result: Hit.
Hokit's athleticism and speed cancel Blaydes's wrestling for a third-round TKO.
Costa vs Murzakanov TheWeasle: predicted Murzakanov · KO/TKO · R2 for Costa vs Murzakanov. Actual Costa · KO/TKO R3. Result: Miss.
Murzakanov's left hand finds Costa's poor defense for a second-round knockout.
Prochazka vs Ulberg TheWeasle: predicted Prochazka · KO/TKO · R3 for Prochazka vs Ulberg. Actual Ulberg · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Jiri overwhelms Ulberg with output against the cage and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third.
Reyes vs Walker TheWeasle: predicted Reyes · KO/TKO · R2 for Reyes vs Walker. Actual Reyes · Dec. Result: Hit.
The more technical, fundamentally sound fighter; Reyes lands a second-round knockout.
Swanson vs Landwehr TheWeasle: predicted Swanson · KO/TKO · R3 for Swanson vs Landwehr. Actual Swanson · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
Swanson's technique and footwork beat Landwehr's recklessness; a third-round knockout.
Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui TheWeasle: predicted Belgaroui · KO/TKO · R2 for Abdul-Malik vs Belgaroui. Actual Belgaroui · KO/TKO R3. Result: Hit.
Belgaroui's elite kickboxing is too much standing; a second-round knockout.
Adesanya vs Pyfer TheWeasle: predicted Pyfer · KO/TKO · R3 for Adesanya vs Pyfer. Actual Pyfer · KO/TKO R2. Result: Hit.
Adesanya is washed; Pyfer's power catches him in the third after losing the first two.
Chiesa vs Price TheWeasle: predicted Chiesa · Sub · R1 for Chiesa vs Price. Actual Chiesa · Sub R1. Result: Perfect call.
Chiesa uses his grappling to take Price down and submit him in the first.
Erosa vs Douglas TheWeasle: predicted Douglas · KO/TKO · R1 for Erosa vs Douglas. Actual Douglas · KO/TKO R1. Result: Perfect call.
Douglas's powerful, calculated punching finishes a defenseless Erosa in the first.
Grasso vs Barber TheWeasle: predicted Barber · Decision for Grasso vs Barber. Actual Grasso · KO/TKO R1. Result: Miss.
Barber's improved footwork edges a very close, possibly split, decision.
McKinney vs Nelson TheWeasle: predicted McKinney · KO/TKO · R2 for McKinney vs Nelson. Actual McKinney · KO/TKO R1. Result: Hit.
McKinney's size and power overwhelm Nelson with takedowns for a second-round TKO.