TheWeasle

MMA analyst & YouTuber

UFC breakdown channel known for still-image striking and grappling analysis.

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Scorecard

Called 34 of 48 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.

88.5%

FightCardIQ Score

Winner 34 14
Method
23 10 1 14
Round
11 16 7 14

Market lean Underdog Favourite

8 39

4 4 29 10

of 47 picks with a known pre-fight price

Hit Miss Never called Winner missed

Call History

Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.

underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price.

UFC Fight Night

Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Aug 8, 2026 · Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Event scorecard

Winner 9 2
Method
6 2 1 2
Round
3 3 3 2

Market lean Underdog Favourite

3 7

1 2 7

of 10 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	DOG Gamrot · Dec	Salkilld · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Thinks the cardio difference is the deciding factor over five rounds and takes Gamrot on the cards. Hear it — 23:27 View this fight →
	FAV Ferreira · Sub · R2	Ferreira · Dec	Hit	Miss	Miss
Sees Ferreira drop Quarantillo with an overhand and choke him out in the second. Hear it — 17:59 View this fight →
	FAV del Valle · Sub · R2	del Valle · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Miss	Miss
Points to the athleticism and footwork gap plus Elkins's long layoff, and expects a second-round submission. Hear it — 17:03 View this fight →
	FAV Miller · KO/TKO · R3	Miller · KO/TKO R3	Hit	Hit	Hit
Expects Miller to drop Goff with the right hand and finish him in the third. Hear it — 14:49 View this fight →
	FAV Thainara · Dec	Thainara · Dec	Hit	Hit	Not called
Has Thainara out-pointing Lemos over three rounds. Hear it — 16:11 View this fight →
	DOG Montanha · Sub · R1	Montanha · Sub R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Expects Sutherland to give up his back and get choked out inside the first round. Hear it — 10:51 View this fight →
	FAV Nurgozhay · KO/TKO · R2	Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Rates Nurgozhay more durable and expects a second-round ground-and-pound stoppage. Hear it — 12:03 View this fight →
	DOG Pat · KO/TKO · R2	Asplund · Dec	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Expects Pat to pick Asplund apart for a second-round TKO. Hear it — 13:35 View this fight →
	FAV Sousa · to win	Sousa · Dec	Hit	Not called	Not called
Takes Sousa without naming a method. Hear it — 9:52 View this fight →
	Miller · Sub · R2	Miller · Sub R2	Hit	Hit	Hit
Takes Miller by second-round submission. Hear it — 5:29 View this fight →
	FAV Foro · Dec	Foro · Dec	Hit	Hit	Not called
Takes Foro by decision. Hear it — 2:46 View this fight →

UFC Fight Night

Du Plessis vs. Usman

Jul 18, 2026 · Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Event scorecard

Winner 1
Method rightNo correct calls to break down yet
Round rightNo correct calls to break down yet

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	FAV Anderson · Sub · R3	Elliot · Dec	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Picks Anderson because he rates his ground game higher and sees him as more dangerous in the pocket, calling for a third-round submission. Hear it — 5:01 View this fight →

UFC 329

McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Jul 11, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada

Event scorecard

Winner 9 4
Method
7 2 4
Round
4 4 1 4

Market lean Underdog Favourite

1 12

1 9 3

of 13 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	FAV Costa · KO/TKO · R2	Costa · Sub R2	Hit	Miss	Hit
Sees Costa's power, strength and finishing upside as the difference against Durden's wrestling-first game. He expects Costa to threaten guillotines enough to make the takedowns costly, then track Durden's limited defensive reactions and finish with ground-and-pound in round two. “Ending the fight by TKO in the second round.” Hear it — 4:57 View this fight →
	DOG Reese · Sub · R3	Gandra · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Acknowledges Gandra's first-round power as the danger, but trusts Reese as the more skilled and technical fighter if he survives the early storm. He expects Reese to use body kicks and grappling as the fight extends, then submit Gandra with a rear-naked choke in round three. “I'm going to go with the more skilled fighter.” Hear it — 7:06 View this fight →
	FAV Basharat · Sub · R2	Basharat · Dec	Hit	Miss	Miss
Explicitly notes the opponent change from Ethan Ewing to John Garza and treats Garza as a short-notice UFC debutant with real striking but a clear skill gap. He expects Basharat to out-jab him, blend wrestling with the striking, then use the grappling edge for a second-round rear-naked choke. “Using his grappling to win the fight.” Hear it — 8:46 View this fight →
	FAV Pinas · KO/TKO · R2	Pinas · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Respects Almeida's kickboxing experience but thinks Pinas is explosive enough, long enough and straight enough with his entries to beat Almeida to the target. He expects some competitive striking exchanges before Pinas' speed and accuracy produce a second-round knockout. “Knocking out Caesar Almeida in the second round.” Hear it — 10:13 View this fight →
	FAV Wang · Dec	Wang · Dec	Hit	Hit	Not called
Calls Wang Cong the more technical, faster and more powerful striker, with more variety than Cortez on the feet. He thinks Cortez needs takedowns to change the fight, but trusts Wang's takedown defense and output enough to win a decision. Hear it — 12:03 View this fight →
	FAV Riley · KO/TKO · R2	Riley · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Gives Kamaka a chance to land early boxing, but sees Riley's offensive pressure and power as the deciding traits once exchanges open up. He expects Riley to keep throwing through Kamaka's offense and overpower him for a second-round knockout. Hear it — 13:37 View this fight →
	FAV Yañez · KO/TKO · R1	Yañez · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Does not trust Garbrandt's durability against Yanez's boxing. He expects Yanez to find Garbrandt early and finish him in the first round. Hear it — 15:29 View this fight →
	FAV Steveson · KO/TKO · R1	Steveson · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Treats the matchup as a showcase for Steveson's elite wrestling and athleticism against an opponent he thinks is badly overmatched. He expects Steveson to maul Ellison quickly and finish in round one. Hear it — 16:17 View this fight →
	FAV Whittaker · KO/TKO · R3	Whittaker · KO/TKO R3	Hit	Hit	Hit
Likes Whittaker's speed and timing at light heavyweight against Krylov's aggressive blitzes. He expects Krylov to overextend late, get countered, and be finished by ground-and-pound in round three. Hear it — 18:46 View this fight →
	FAV Kavanagh · KO/TKO · R3	Royval · Sub R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Rates Kavanagh as a future champion-level talent and thinks his speed, kicks and punching entries will make Royval miss too often. He expects Kavanagh to pick Royval apart and eventually knock him out in the third round. Hear it — 22:55 View this fight →
	FAV Sandhagen · Dec	Bautista · Dec	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Sees a high-level rematch where Bautista will land and test whether Sandhagen's chin has slipped, but still trusts Sandhagen's range tools. He expects Sandhagen's long-range work and jab to edge a 29-28 unanimous decision. Hear it — 26:47 View this fight →
	FAV Saint Denis · Dec	Pimblett · Sub R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Frames Saint Denis as the fighter more likely to force the pressure and damage in a wild, size-for-size lightweight clash. He gives Pimblett the cardio edge and a possible late rally, but expects Saint Denis to win the first two rounds and take a decision. Hear it — 30:14 View this fight →
	FAV Holloway · KO/TKO · R3	Holloway · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Gives McGregor a real early power-and-style path, especially at 170 pounds, but thinks five years away has made him too slow and rusty. He expects Holloway's speed, movement, body-head volume and activity to wear McGregor down for a third-round fence-side TKO. Hear it — 34:31 View this fight →

UFC Freedom 250

Topuria vs. Gaethje

Jun 14, 2026 · Washington, D.C.

Event scorecard

Winner 5 2
Method
3 2 2
Round
2 1 2 2

Market lean Underdog Favourite

0 7

5 2

of 7 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	FAV Topuria · KO/TKO · R1	Gaethje · KO/TKO R4	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Topuria's cage-cutting and one-punch power are too much. He works into the pocket, rips the body, and lands the overhand on top for a first-round finish. Hear it — 29:04 View this fight →
	FAV Pereira · KO/TKO · R2	Gane · KO/TKO R2	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Pereira's leg kicks limit Gane's footwork and force a mistake, then Pereira counters with the left hook and finishes with ground-and-pound to become the first three-division champ. Hear it — 23:20 View this fight →
	FAV O'Malley · Dec	O'Malley · KO/TKO R2	Hit	Miss	Not called
O'Malley's striking is on a far higher level and Zahabi has seen nothing he can't handle, but Zahabi's toughness keeps him alive to a decision. Hear it — 18:17 View this fight →
	FAV Hokit · KO/TKO · R1	Hokit · KO/TKO R2	Hit	Hit	Miss
Hokit's speed and feints freeze Lewis, he blitzes in, scores the takedown and finishes with elbows and hammer fists. Hear it — 15:48 View this fight →
	FAV Ruffy · KO/TKO · R1	Ruffy · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Chandler's fight IQ won't let him wrestle on the White House card; he swings haymakers and gets flatlined by Ruffy's check left hook and right straight. Hear it — 13:44 View this fight →
	FAV Nickal · Dec	Nickal · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Miss	Not called
Nickal out-wrestles and controls Daukaus, defending submissions to advance position and winning on composure and wrestling by decision. Hear it — 11:08 View this fight →
	FAV Lopes · KO/TKO · R2	Lopes · KO/TKO R2	Hit	Hit	Hit
Lopes is far more durable than Garcia, who is too open for his own good, so Lopes weathers a chaotic first and knocks him out in the second. Hear it — 7:34 View this fight →

UFC 328

May 9, 2026 · Newark, New Jersey

Event scorecard

Winner 3 2
Method
1 2 2
Round
2 1 2

Market lean Underdog Favourite

1 4

1 2 2

of 5 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	FAV Chimaev · to win	Strickland · Dec	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Goes with the heavy favourite — Strickland's upright stance invites the takedowns Chimaev lives on. Hear it — 31:47 View this fight →
	FAV Taira · Sub · R4	Van · KO/TKO R5	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
The bigger man and far better grappler; Taira's control finds a fourth-round submission. Hear it — 27:02
	FAV Volkov · Dec	Volkov · Dec	Hit	Hit	Not called
Volkov's technique, height and reach keep Waldo at range for a close 29-28 decision. Hear it — 24:50
	DOG Brady · Sub · R2	Brady · Dec	Hit	Miss	Miss
Brady takes Buckley down and submits him in the second. Hear it — 20:41
	FAV Green · KO/TKO · R2	Green · Sub R1	Hit	Miss	Miss
Green's cleaner boxing counters Stephens' wild shots and finishes him. Hear it — 17:57

UFC 327

Apr 11, 2026 · Miami, Florida

Event scorecard

Winner 3 2
Method
1 2 2
Round
3 2

Market lean Underdog Favourite

1 4

1 3 1

of 5 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	DOG Prochazka · KO/TKO · R3	Ulberg · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Jiri overwhelms Ulberg with output against the cage and finishes with ground-and-pound in the third. Hear it — 30:14 View this fight →
	FAV Murzakanov · KO/TKO · R2	Costa · KO/TKO R3	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Murzakanov's left hand finds Costa's poor defense for a second-round knockout. Hear it — 25:32
	FAV Hokit · KO/TKO · R3	Hokit · Dec	Hit	Miss	Miss
Hokit's athleticism and speed cancel Blaydes's wrestling for a third-round TKO. Hear it — 23:58 View this fight →
	FAV Reyes · KO/TKO · R2	Reyes · Dec	Hit	Miss	Miss
The more technical, fundamentally sound fighter; Reyes lands a second-round knockout. Hear it — 21:55
	FAV Swanson · KO/TKO · R3	Swanson · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
Swanson's technique and footwork beat Landwehr's recklessness; a third-round knockout. Hear it — 20:13

UFC Seattle

Mar 28, 2026 · Seattle, Washington

Event scorecard

Winner 5 1
Method
5 1
Round
2 3 1

Market lean Underdog Favourite

2 4

2 3 1

of 6 picks with a known pre-fight price

Fight	Pick	Actual	Winner	Method	Round
	DOG Pyfer · KO/TKO · R3	Pyfer · KO/TKO R2	Hit	Hit	Miss
Adesanya is washed; Pyfer's power catches him in the third after losing the first two. Hear it — 27:05 View this fight →
	FAV Barber · Dec	Grasso · KO/TKO R1	Miss	Not applicable — the winner call missed	Not applicable — the winner call missed
Barber's improved footwork edges a very close, possibly split, decision. Hear it — 22:49
	FAV Chiesa · Sub · R1	Chiesa · Sub R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Chiesa uses his grappling to take Price down and submit him in the first. Hear it — 20:47
	FAV Douglas · KO/TKO · R1	Douglas · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Hit
Douglas's powerful, calculated punching finishes a defenseless Erosa in the first. Hear it — 19:08
	DOG Belgaroui · KO/TKO · R2	Belgaroui · KO/TKO R3	Hit	Hit	Miss
Belgaroui's elite kickboxing is too much standing; a second-round knockout. Hear it — 17:59
	FAV McKinney · KO/TKO · R2	McKinney · KO/TKO R1	Hit	Hit	Miss
McKinney's size and power overwhelm Nelson with takedowns for a second-round TKO. Hear it — 15:54

Videos

Every source clip behind TheWeasle's logged calls.

Watch all of TheWeasle's video picks in the library