MMA Mathletes is a podcast by two MMA fans offering fight picks and Saturday watch parties.
Scorecard
Called 20 of 33 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 60.6% 20 13
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
20 of 33 — 61% now, from 58% at their first scored card.
-
Method
60% 3 of 5 correct winners that named a method
-
Round
1 of 1 correct winner that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
-
Underdog
1 of 3 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 5 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 332 8 hit · 3 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 7 hit · 5 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Buckley vs. Malott
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anheliger vs Koslow | Koslow · Sub | Upcoming | Koslow | Sub | Not called |
| Barriault vs Daukaus | Daukaus · to win | Upcoming | Daukaus | Not called | Not called |
| Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius | Blanchfield · Dec | Upcoming | Blanchfield | Dec | Not called |
| Boser vs Diniz | Diniz · to win | Upcoming | Diniz | Not called | Not called |
| Buckley vs Malott | Buckley · to win | Upcoming | Buckley | Not called | Not called |
| Cerminara vs Stiller * A co-host notes that Cerminara is 37 and returning after a long layoff, and is uncertain about the grappling matchup. | Cerminara · Dec | Upcoming | Cerminara | Dec | Not called |
| Chovancek vs You | Chovancek · Dec | Upcoming | Chovancek | Dec | Not called |
| Croden vs Chandler * The first host says the fight will probably go to a decision; the second does not state a method. Captions garble Croden's surname as “Scarecroen,” “Croin,” and “Cronin.” Both hosts select Melissa, and their surrounding bout discussion identifies Croden vs. Chandler. | Croden · Dec | Upcoming | Croden | Dec | Not called |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba * The hosts initially split; the speaker says it is more of a wish/lean before the other host accepts. | Jourdain · to win | Upcoming | Jourdain | Not called | Not called |
| Leblanc vs Galanti | Galanti · Sub | Upcoming | Galanti | Sub | Not called |
| Nallo vs Landwehr | Nallo · to win | Upcoming | Nallo | Not called | Not called |
| Nelson vs Perez | Perez · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Perez | KO/TKO | Not called |
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 5 5
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“I definitely think he gets the KO in this fight i have Matas to win this fight” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · Dec | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“i have Andre Phy for this i think it's going to decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“we're definitely taking Felipe Franco in this one we think Felipe Franco wins” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“this is actually my lock of the week i have RJ Harris by knockout first round” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · to win | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“i have Loopy in this one” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Gatto · to win | Draw | Gatto | Not called | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“i have Alice Pereira to win this” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“i have Malcolm Wmaker on this” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
“if we're thinking that this goes to decision cuz I believe we're both thinking about this fight going to decision i think we have to go with CLLD on it” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. * Sean initially picked CLD, Joe picked Brendan Allen, then they agreed to go with CLD on decision. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · Dec | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
“yeah let's just go Francisco on that one francisco by decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Consensus pick settled on Prado by decision despite earlier backing of Bonfim | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
“we're going to go with Jules Walker” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. * Agreed to go with Walker after initial split on Meerschaert | |||||
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 72.7% 8 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernandez · to win | Hernandez · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Alexander Hernandez. | |||||
| Talbott · to win | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Payton Talbott. | |||||
| Gautier · to win | Kopylov · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes selects Ateba Gautier. | |||||
| Green · to win | Ribovics · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes selects King Green. | |||||
| Nolan · to win | Nolan · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Eric Nolan. | |||||
| Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Damian Pinas. | |||||
| Coria · to win | Rodriguez · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes selects Alden Coria. | |||||
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Natalia Silva by decision. | |||||
| Naurdiev · Dec | Naurdiev · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Ismail Naurdiev by decision. | |||||
| Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes selects Johnny Walker. | |||||
| Wint · to win | Wint · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Hit | |
MMA Mathletes selects Anthony Wint in round 1. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 58.3% 7 5
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Aswell Jr. · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Michael Aswell Jr. in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 78.5%. Brito · to win | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Joanderson Brito in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 78.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes includes Gable Steveson in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Robelis Despaigne in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Shahbazyan · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Edmen Shahbazyan in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Casey O'Neill in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Ryan Gandra by KO/TKO in its UFC 331 Locks of the Week parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes includes Charles Jourdain in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes includes Iwo Baraniewski in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · KO/TKO | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes includes Doo Ho Choi by KO/TKO in its UFC 331 Locks of the Week parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
MMA Mathletes includes Arman Tsarukyan in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Pantoja · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
MMA Mathletes includes Alexandre Pantoja in its UFC 331 full-card parlay. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind MMA Mathletes's logged calls.