Matthew Petela is a Combat Press editor whose bylines include UFC previews, predictions and event results.
Scorecard
Called 11 of 23 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 47.8% 11 12
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 37.5% 3 5
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
11 of 23 — 48% now, from 50% at their first scored card.
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Underdog
38% 3 of 8 priced underdog calls
Method — No method calls scored yetRound — No round calls scored yet
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 5 hit · 6 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 6 hit · 6 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · KO/TKO · R1 | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Brendan Allen by round 1 knockout in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks Matheus Camilo over Jai Herbert by decision in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.4%. Kamaka III · to win | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks Kai Kamaka III over Andre Fili in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Ribeiro · to win | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Petela picks Brendson Ribeiro over Felipe Franco in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 22.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · to win | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks RJ Harris over Allen Frye Jr. in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · to win | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Petela picks Loopy Godinez over Ketlen Souza in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Gatto · to win | Draw | Gatto | Not called | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · to win | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Petela picks Alice Pereira over Daria Zhelezniakova in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · to win | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Petela picks Francisco Prado over Ismael Bonfim in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Shahbazyan · to win | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks Leon Shahbazyan over Niko Price in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Petela picks Julius Walker over Gerald Meerschaert in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · to win | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Petela picks Malcolm Wellmaker over Otari Tanzilovi in the Combat Press UFC Vegas 122 preview. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 38.5%. Aswell Jr. · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Michael Aswell Jr.. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 38.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 21.5%. Chikadze · to win | Brito · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Giga Chikadze. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 21.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 18.5%. Diaz · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Ozzy Diaz. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 18.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Iwo Baraniewski. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. O'Neill · to win | O'Neill · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Casey O'Neill. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Dooho Choi. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 37.5%. Ferreira · to win | Shahbazyan · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Brunno Ferreira. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 37.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 8.5%. Sharaf · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Sean Sharaf. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 8.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Arman Tsarukyan. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Robelis Despaigne. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Joshua Van. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Published UFC 331 fight-picks table selects Charles Jourdain. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.