MMA JAWN publishes UFC predictions and matchup analysis. The channel describes its approach as using film study and comparisons of fighters’ styles, strengths and weaknesses.
Scorecard
Called 10 of 21 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 47.6% 10 11
- Method Accuracy 66.7% 4 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
10 of 21 — 48% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
67% 4 of 6 correct winners that named a method
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Underdog
0 of 1 priced underdog call — too few to chart a trend.
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Round — No round calls scored yet
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 5 hit · 6 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 4 hit · 5 miss
- UFC 329 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Buckley vs. Malott
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anheliger vs Koslow * He frames this as a lean and cautions that both fighters have been inactive; he says not to bet it at even odds. | Koslow · Sub | Upcoming | Koslow | Sub | Not called |
| Barriault vs Daukaus | Daukaus · Sub | Upcoming | Daukaus | Sub | Not called |
| Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius * He acknowledges Jasudavicius’s physical tools and cautions about Blanchfield’s betting price. | Blanchfield · Dec | Upcoming | Blanchfield | Dec | Not called |
| Boser vs Diniz | Diniz · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Diniz | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Buckley vs Malott * He estimates round three or four rather than selecting a single round, so no finish round is recorded. | Buckley · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Buckley | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Cerminara vs Stiller * He acknowledges the long layoff and cautions against betting Cerminara at minus 250. | Cerminara · to win | Upcoming | Cerminara | Not called | Not called |
| Chovancek vs You | Chovancek · Dec | Upcoming | Chovancek | Dec | Not called |
| Croden vs Chandler | Croden · Dec | Upcoming | Croden | Dec | Not called |
| Jourdain vs Cuamba | Jourdain · Dec | Upcoming | Jourdain | Dec | Not called |
| Leblanc vs Galanti | Galanti · to win | Upcoming | Galanti | Not called | R1 |
| Mahjoub vs Faglier * The analyst explicitly labels Faglier a low-confidence pick and acknowledges Mahjoub’s takedown path. | Faglier · Dec | Upcoming | Faglier | Dec | Not called |
| Nallo vs Landwehr * He notes concerns about Nallo’s chin and recognizes Landwehr’s toughness. | Nallo · KO/TKO | Upcoming | Nallo | KO/TKO | Not called |
| Nelson vs Perez | Perez · Sub | Upcoming | Perez | Sub | Not called |
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 45.5% 5 6
- Method Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub | Allen · Sub R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Brendan Allen to beat Christian Leroy Duncan by submission. The speaker's round statement is "round four, round five", so no single round is recorded. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Matheus Camilo to beat Jai Herbert by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · Dec | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Andre Fili to beat Kai Kamaka III by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Felipe Franco to beat Brendson Ribeiro by knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · Sub | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks RJ Harris to beat Allen Frye Jr. by submission. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Kareckaitė · Dec | Draw | Kareckaitė | Dec | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Alice Pereira to beat Daria Zhelezniakova by decision. The speaker says "unanimous decision", recorded as Decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Bonfim · to win | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Ismael Bonfim to beat Francisco Prado. The speaker says he does not know exactly how it ends, so no method is recorded. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Shahbazyan · Sub | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Leon Shahbazyan to beat Niko Price by submission. The speaker gives a first-or-second-round range, so no single round is recorded. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · KO/TKO | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Julius Walker to beat Gerald Meerschaert by knockout. The speaker qualifies this one ("I guess"), so it is a lean rather than a certain call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · Dec | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
The MMA JAWN channel picks Malcolm Wellmaker to beat Otari Tanzilovi by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · Dec | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
“give me Ly Godz to get it done by unanimous decision” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 81.5%. Gandra · to win | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 61.5%. Yoo · to win | Aswell Jr. · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 61.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · to win | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · to win | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
MMA JAWN gives a transcript-verified UFC 329 main-event pick for Max Holloway by KO/TKO. “The pick is going to be Max Holloway to get it done via knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind MMA JAWN's logged calls.