Owen Liao authored The Stats Zone’s UFC 331 preview and predicted Joshua Van to win.
Scorecard
Called 4 of 7 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 57.1% 4 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
4 of 7 — 57% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
-
Method
1 of 1 correct winner that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
-
Round
0 of 1 correct winner that named a round — too few to chart a trend.
-
Underdog
1 of 1 priced underdog call — too few to chart a trend.
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 3 hit · 3 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 3 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · to win | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Liao expects Fili’s length, experience, and head-kick threat to overcome Kamaka’s pressure. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R2 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Liao sees Franco’s grappling as the route past Ribeiro’s weak takedown defense and predicts a second-round finish. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Liao expects Harris’s pace and volume to overwhelm Frye’s limited counters, with an early stoppage. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Price · KO/TKO | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Liao expects Price’s pressure and power to capitalize on Shahbazyan’s fragile defense inside the distance. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · to win | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Miss | |
Liao sees Walker’s wrestling and top control as a matchup advantage and expects an early finish. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · KO/TKO | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Liao expects Wellmaker to regain confidence and use his dangerous right hand against Tanzilovi’s single-shot style. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owen Liao's Stats Zone preview predicts Joshua Van to win the rematch. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.