Fight analyst and host of The Mike Finch Show, also appearing on MMA EXPERTS' The Moneyline for UFC betting breakdowns.
Scorecard
Called 23 of 36 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner 23 13
-
Method
9 5 9 13
-
Round
1 22 13
of 35 picks with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss Never called Winner missed
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price.
UFC Fight Night
Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Event scorecard
- Winner 3 1
-
Method
1 1 1 1
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Nurgozhay · KO/TKO | Nurgozhay · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Takes Nurgozhay by knockout. | |||||
| DOG Pat · Dec | Asplund · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes Pat in a close decision. | |||||
| FAV Sousa · KO/TKO | Sousa · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Sousa by knockout. | |||||
| Miller · to win | Miller · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Miller without naming a method. | |||||
UFC Fight Night
Du Plessis vs. Usman
Event scorecard
- Winner 7 5
-
Method
3 4 5
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
of 12 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOG Usman · to win | Du Plessis · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Usman's chain wrestling and control after questioning Du Plessis' defensive wrestling against a disciplined opponent. | |||||
| FAV Duncan · KO/TKO | Duncan · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls Duncan by knockout, rating the younger fighter's finishing tools and momentum above Cannonier's current form. | |||||
| FAV Barbosa · to win | Barbosa · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Expects Barbosa's UFC experience and grappling to overwhelm the debuting Melisano on the mat. | |||||
| DOG Harris · to win | Harris · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Joins the Harris side, believing the taller prospect has the faster and harder-hitting tools against Hines. | |||||
| FAV Coria · KO/TKO | Coria · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects Coria's well-rounded edge to become a stoppage against the outmatched Nicoll. | |||||
| FAV Rodrigues Jr. · KO/TKO | Franco · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Rodrigues by knockout, seeing his speed and danger as the better side in a volatile matchup. | |||||
| FAV Bashi · Sub | Delgado · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Bashi to secure a rear-naked choke after stressing Delgado's unresolved grappling defense. | |||||
| FAV Kline · to win | Kline · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Kline to win, agreeing she is the more reliable side while declining to call a method. | |||||
| DOG Montes · Sub | McMillen · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls Montes by submission, leaning on the quality of his front-headlock game. | |||||
| FAV Hooper · to win | Hooper · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Hooper as the pure pick because of his grappling edge, while acknowledging the recent knockout losses make the price unappealing. | |||||
| DOG Lebosnoyani · Sub | Lebosnoyani · Dec | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Calls the underdog Lebosnoyani by submission, pointing to the local prospect's high-level grappling and triangle/armbar threats. | |||||
| FAV Anderson · Sub | Elliot · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Anderson by submission, arguing that Elliot repeatedly shoots and is likely to run into Anderson's more advanced jiu-jitsu. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner 9 4
-
Method
6 3 4
-
Round
1 8 4
of 13 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Holloway · KO/TKO | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Gives McGregor the power edge, but thinks the five-year layoff, timing gap and Holloway's cardio and mobility are too much. He expects Holloway to turn volume into a later-round stoppage. “I'm going Max Blessed Holloway.” | |||||
| FAV Sandhagen · Dec | Bautista · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Says Bautista lacks the clear wrestling advantage needed to blunt Sandhagen. He trusts Sandhagen's schedule, submission grappling and ability to win two of three rounds in the big cage. | |||||
| FAV Kavanagh · Dec | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Trusts Kavanagh's cardio, energy management and cleaner striking after the Moreno fight. He thinks Royval is durable enough to avoid the finish, but not sharp enough to win the minutes. “I got Kavanagh decision.” | |||||
| FAV Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Hit | |
Tried to find an Ellison upset angle, but could not get there. He trusts Steveson's wrestling base, camp, confidence and ground-and-pound to overwhelm Ellison early. “Gable Stevenson gets him out of there in the first round.” | |||||
| FAV Whittaker · KO/TKO | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Questions Whittaker's size at 205, but still thinks his mobility, jab, technique and speed are a league above Krylov. He does not see Krylov's grappling offsetting that edge. “I'm gonna say Rob Whitaker knockout.” | |||||
| DOG Cortez · Dec | Wang · Dec | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Cortez's grappling route. He expects her to force clinches and takedowns often enough to blunt Wang Cong's striking and grind out a decision. “Give me Tracy Cortez and I think a decision is likely.” | |||||
| FAV Riley · to win | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Likes Riley as the more consequential striker. He respects Kamaka's technical layers and cardio, but thinks Riley's power, damage and late-round push make him a bad matchup. “Give me Luke Riley.” | |||||
| FAV Yañez · KO/TKO | Yañez · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Backs Yanez's speed, activity and pressure against Garbrandt's recent body of work. He expects Yanez to stay on him until the damage piles up into a stoppage. | |||||
| FAV Gandra · KO/TKO | Gandra · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Trusts Gandra's power and forward pressure despite defensive holes. He sees Reese as dangerous with kicks and submissions, but not the opponent to punish those openings before Gandra's heavier offense lands. “Gandra KO.” | |||||
| FAV Costa · to win | Costa · Sub R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Costa as the more dangerous flyweight striker and thinks Durden's return to 125 will be difficult. He sees Costa's speed and striking volume leading to a finish, but leaves the exact finish type open between club-and-sub and TKO. “Give me Costa.” | |||||
| FAV Basharat · to win | Basharat · Dec | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Frames Basharat as close to the safest side on the card because Garza is stepping up on short notice against a proven UFC bantamweight. He expects Basharat to be better anywhere, with inside-the-distance and back-take choke paths live, but does not lock a single method. “Basharat all day.” | |||||
| DOG Almeida · Dec | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Takes the underdog Almeida in a split-pick fight. He acknowledges Pinas as a tall task, but settles on Almeida to survive the danger and win on the cards. “Caesar Almeida via a decision.” | |||||
| DOG Pimblett · Sub | Pimblett · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Also backs Pimblett as the live underdog. He thinks Saint Denis' pressure can create the exact scrambles where Pimblett's dangerous guard and back attacks become decisive. “Patty Pimblet via submission.” | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner 4 3
-
Method
2 1 1 3
- Round rightCalls the winner, not the round
of 7 picks with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAV Topuria · KO/TKO | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mike calls Topuria over Gaethje a major mismatch, expecting Topuria's boxing and counters to produce a knockout rather than a long fight. | |||||
| FAV Pereira · KO/TKO | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mike thinks Pereira's pressure and power are a tough stylistic problem for Gane, calling Pereira live to knock him out and later agreeing both hosts are riding with Pereira. | |||||
| FAV O'Malley · Dec | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Mike agrees on O'Malley but leans away from AJ's knockout call, expecting O'Malley to touch Zahabi, move, avoid the return fire and pitch a shutout-style win. | |||||
| FAV Hokit · KO/TKO | Hokit · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mike backs Hokit as a fast-handed wrestler against an aging Lewis, expecting Hokit to wrestle, dictate where the fight happens and eventually finish with ground-and-pound. | |||||
| FAV Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mike acknowledges Chandler's wrestling path but says Ruffy is the obvious side, expecting a highlight-reel knockout once Chandler has to cross range. | |||||
| DOG Daukaus · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mike calls Daukaus the dog he would pick on this card, arguing his striking, southpaw looks and submission danger make him a bad matchup for a Nickal who has not proven enough in MMA yet. | |||||
| FAV Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Mike gives a slight lean to Lopes despite Garcia's dangerous southpaw boxing, because Lopes has the durability and grappling edge to punish Garcia if the pressure gets wild. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Mike Finch's logged calls.