Mate Bersenadze founded and edits UFCalendar, where he writes MMA previews, recaps, and data investigations.
Scorecard
Called 8 of 12 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 66.7% 8 4
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 4 4
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
8 of 12 — 67% now, from 100% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
50% 4 of 8 correct winners that named a method
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Underdog
1 of 1 priced underdog call — too few to chart a trend.
The opening point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Round — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Allen vs. Duncan 7 hit · 4 miss
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 1 hit · 0 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 7 4
- Method Accuracy 42.9% 3 4
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 51.1%. Allen · Sub | Allen · Sub R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Brendan Allen as his personal pick by submission. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 51.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · Dec | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Matheus Camilo as his personal pick by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.6%. Fili · Dec | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Andre Fili as his personal pick by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.6% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Felipe Franco as his personal pick by ko/tko. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · KO/TKO | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names RJ Harris as his personal pick by ko/tko. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · Dec | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Loopy Godinez as his personal pick by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Gatto · Dec | Draw | Gatto | Dec | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Alice Pereira as his personal pick by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · Dec | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Francisco Prado as his personal pick by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Shahbazyan · KO/TKO | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Leon Shahbazyan as his personal pick by ko/tko. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · KO/TKO | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Julius Walker as his personal pick by ko/tko. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 36.1%. Tanzilovi · Dec | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze’s UFC Vegas 122 article names Otari Tanzilovi as his personal pick by decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 36.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 67.5%. Hernandez · Sub | Hernandez · Sub R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Mate Bersenadze picks Luis Hernandez by submission over Sedriques Dumas. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.