FightStudy publishes MMA fight breakdowns and picks on Substack.
Scorecard
Called 4 of 11 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Hit Miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Allen vs. Duncan
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
- Method Accuracy 75.0% 3 1
- Round Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareckaitė vs Gatto | Kareckaitė · Dec | Draw | Kareckaitė | Dec | Not called |
| Favourite call, market price 54.5%. Pereira · Dec | Pereira · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
FightStudy predicts Alice Pereira by decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 54.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Shahbazyan · Sub · R1 | Price · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy predicts Leon Shahbazyan by first-round submission. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 48.9%. Duncan · Dec | Allen · Sub R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy calls Allen the safer choice but selects Duncan to win by decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 48.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.1%. Camilo · KO/TKO · R2 | Herbert · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy expects Herbert to start well but Camilo to land big and finish. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.1% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.4%. Kamaka III · Dec | Fili · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy calls this the closest fight on the card and picks Kamaka III to win by decision. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Franco · KO/TKO · R1 | Ribeiro · Sub R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy cites Franco’s recent knockout and Ribeiro’s four-fight losing streak, then predicts a quick win. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 76.5%. Harris · KO/TKO · R1 | Frye Jr. · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy cites Harris’s power and predicts another fast knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 76.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 67.4%. Godinez · Dec | Godinez · Dec R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
FightStudy expects Godinez to withstand Souza’s early pressure and take over in the later rounds for a decision. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 67.4% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Prado · KO/TKO · R2 | Prado · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
FightStudy expects Prado’s hands to catch and finish Bonfim. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Walker · KO/TKO · R1 | Walker · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Hit | Miss | |
FightStudy expects Walker to catch Meerschaert. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 63.9%. Wellmaker · KO/TKO · R1 | Tanzilovi · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
FightStudy expects Wellmaker to return to the win column with a knockout. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 63.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.