Michael Bisping won the UFC middleweight title and entered the UFC Hall of Fame in 2019. He co-hosts Believe You Me with Paul Felder, discussing MMA news and subjects beyond fighting.
Scorecard
Called 19 of 33 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 57.6% 19 14
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
19 of 33 — 58% now, from 40% at their first scored card.
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Method
40% 2 of 5 correct winners that named a method
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Underdog
20% 1 of 5 priced underdog calls
The opening points are drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
Round — No round calls scored yet
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 332 3 hit · 0 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 2 hit · 3 miss
- UFC 330 1 hit · 0 miss
- UFC 329 5 hit · 3 miss
- UFC Freedom 250 5 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 328 1 hit · 4 miss
- UFC 326 2 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 3
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talbott · to win | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Bisping expects Talbott to stop Figueiredo, emphasizing Talbott's skills and improvement after the Barcelos loss. He considers Figueiredo's age and accumulated high-level fights a factor in the matchup.
“I think he gets a stoppage against Deiveson Figueiredo.” | |||||
| Silva · to win | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Bisping picks Silva because her speed and striking are complemented by wrestling. He views the grappling option as an advantage against Wang, while recognizing that both women are strong strikers. “I'm going with Natália Silva.” | |||||
| Soldić · to win | Soldić · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Bisping picks Soldic because he considers his approach more well-rounded. He still sees a knockout threat from Williams and notes Soldic's previous knockout defeats. “anyway, I do have Soldic winning that fight.” | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Michael Bisping transcript pick: Gable Steveson by KO/TKO in round 1. “I'm picking Gable Steveson to win this fight in probably a stoppage late in the first round.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Baraniewski · to win | Menifield · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · to win | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 58.5%. Van · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Owner-authorized PredictionsTracker screenshot records this analyst's UFC 331 winner selection; the source records no method or round. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 58.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 330
Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Dec R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Explicitly favours Makhachev, saying he probably wins; no method is recorded. “I do favor Islam Makhachev, of course I do. I would be a fool to sit here and say that Islam Makhachev doesn't probably win that fight.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 5 3
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 2
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Pinas · to win | Pinas · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Pinas because he sees the matchup playing into the younger knockout puncher's hands. He respects Almeida's Glory kickboxing background, but thinks Pinas' first-round UFC knockout form and upside make him the side. “I don't think Almeida gets the job done here.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 70.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Wang · to win | Wang · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Takes Wang Cong because he expects her striking to be too much for Cortez if the fight plays out on the feet. He notes Cortez is experienced, but frames Wang's kickboxing pedigree, rebound form and Team Alpha Male work as enough to get it done. “Wang Cong is just going to be too much.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.5%. Riley · Dec | Riley · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Expects a mostly striking fight and sides with Riley's boxing, Thai boxing, footwork, rhythm and youth. He respects Kamaka's experience and UFC return, but thinks Riley has the cleaner tools to win rounds. “Luke Riley gets the job done, but it will be via a decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 22.5%. Garbrandt · to win | Yanez · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Starts by acknowledging Yanez's boxing could fit the matchup, then talks himself into Garbrandt because of the level he has fought at, his wrestling, power and will. He also reads Yanez's recent rough stretch as a possible confidence issue. “I'm going with Cody Garbrandt.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 22.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 89.5%. Steveson · to win | Steveson · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Makes Steveson a clear pick because of his Olympic wrestling base, heavyweight athleticism, speed, power and elite coaching setup. He sees Ellison's limited UFC sample as a bad setup against a prospect he believes could be fast-tracked. “that is the potential that he has. Of course, he wins.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 89.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · Dec | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Takes Whittaker to win his light-heavyweight move, citing his speed, footwork, well-rounded game and power at 205. He warns Krylov is experienced, dangerous and versatile, so he expects a tough fight rather than a walkover. “Robert Whittaker gets the job done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · Dec | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Backs Kavanagh's speed, hand speed and kick entries as special enough to beat an experienced contender. He respects Royval's toughness and warns Kavanagh must keep his hands up, but still sees the promoted prospect winning on points. “Lone'er Kavanagh gets the job done via decision.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · Dec | Bautista · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls it a tough matchup, but sides with Sandhagen's reach, range, footwork and fight IQ. He thinks Bautista is underappreciated and well-rounded, yet expects Sandhagen to solve enough of the puzzle to win a decision. “I'm going with Cory Sandhagen for a decision victory.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC Freedom 250
Topuria vs. Gaethje
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 83.3% 5 1
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Topuria · to win | Gaethje · KO/TKO R4 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Michael Bisping picks Ilia Topuria to win the UFC Freedom 250 main event. “I've got Ilia Topuria.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 47.5%. Gane · Dec | Gane · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Bisping favoured Gane on points the moment the fight was made — a Pereira win would be an upset. Gane's speed, lateral movement, angles and natural heavyweight size are a problematic stylistic matchup for a Pereira who walks straight forward, and the mass that lets Pereira hit hard also slows him down.
“The minute this fight was made, I favoured Ciryl on points. If Alex Pereira pulls it off, in my opinion, it's an upset.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 47.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 77.5%. O'Malley · to win | O'Malley · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
O'Malley is taller with better boxing and a longer reach, and Bisping leans on the Chito Vera common opponent — what O'Malley did to Vera versus how close Zahabi's own fight with Vera was — while admitting MMA math doesn't really stack up.
“Sugar Sean O'Malley is probably going to beat Aiemann Zahabi.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 77.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 81.0%. Ruffy · KO/TKO | Ruffy · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
All signs point toward Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout. He's precise, taller and longer with spinning kicks and flying knees and now trains with Volkanovski, while Chandler has lost five of his last six and taken a lot of damage.
“All signs pointing towards Mauricio Ruffy getting a spectacular knockout.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 81.0% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Nickal · to win | Nickal · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Nickal but with real hesitation — the spot on the card where he can most see an upset. Daukaus has surged with two first-round finishes since returning, while Nickal is still proving he's a complete mixed martial artist.
“Bo Nickal probably… but I think that could be the one where the upset is.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 75.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Lopes · to win | Lopes · KO/TKO R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Lopes is probably going to beat Garcia despite Bisping loving Garcia. He expects Lopes — who did much of his camp at Oklahoma State — to shoot takedowns and use his jiu-jitsu rather than bang with Garcia, whose finishing power is most dangerous on the feet.
“Diego Lopes is probably going to beat Steve Garcia. I love Steve Garcia.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 20.0% 1 4
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bisping has leaned Chimaev all week and, despite growing respect for Strickland's elite cardio, strength and ability to get back up, his gut still says Chimaev gets it done. He concedes he could be wrong and that the longer it goes the more it favours Strickland.
“I think Khamzat Chimaev gets the job done.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 60.5%. Taira · to win | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Even with a closer personal relationship with Van, Bisping's honest pick is Taira as the more technical, more well-rounded fighter with less mileage. He sees a real submission threat if it hits the ground and believes Taira ends up the champion.
“But who wins the fight? I got to go with Tatsuro Taira.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 60.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 43.5%. Cortes Acosta · KO/TKO | Volkov · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Asked directly whether Volkov beats Cortes-Acosta, Bisping says no. He frames Waldo as a surging knockout artist on a three-fight streak who keeps getting better, while arguing Volkov hasn't been the same beast since the Aspinall knockout.
“The question is, will he beat Waldo Cortes-Acosta? I say no.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 43.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Buckley · to win | Brady · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Although he loves Sean Brady, Bisping goes with Buckley — confident, always coming forward, swinging for the fences — and thinks he catches Brady this time. He cautions that if Brady drags it to the mat it's a Brady submission.
“I love Sean Brady. I've got to go with Joaquin Buckley.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Green · to win | Green · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Bisping expects Green to fight his usual style — hands low, slipping and ripping, talking trash, pot-shotting — and to get it done at 39, while acknowledging Stephens needs only one punch to flip it.
“I'm going with the King.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 326
Holloway vs Oliveira 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 33.5%. de Ridder · to win | Borralho · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bisping picks Reinier de Ridder to win the co-main event. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 33.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 32.5%. Johnson · to win | Dober · KO/TKO R2 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bisping picks Michael Johnson, citing his reach, speed and straighter punches. Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 32.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Holloway · KO/TKO · R4 | Oliveira · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Bisping expects Holloway’s boxing and movement to take over and produce a stoppage around round four. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 59.5%. Rodrigues · to win | Rodrigues · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Bisping picks Gregory Rodrigues to get revenge over Bruno Ferreira. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 59.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Rosas Jr. · Dec | Rosas Jr. · Decision - Unanimous R3 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Bisping expects Rosas to use his wrestling and win a decision over Font. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 73.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Michael Bisping's logged calls.