UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Charles Johnson defeats Eduardo Chapolin by Submission
Round 3 · 1:36
Johnson vs Chapolin · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Chapolin made his UFC debut on short notice in a 130-pound catchweight bout. Johnson's early takedown attempts were stuffed, and a point was deducted from Chapolin in round one after he landed an illegal strike on the grounded Johnson.
In round two Chapolin dropped Johnson and kept pressing, but Johnson survived the round.
In round three Johnson hurt Chapolin, took his back and locked up the Scottish Twister, which ended the fight by submission.
Fight details
The verified result and matchup record are available above. Analysis and a fight narrative have not been published for this bout.
Records & career stats
- 19-9-0
- Record
- 15-2-0
- 2-3 last 5
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- United States
- Nationality
- Brazil
- 35
- Age
- 30
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Not published
- Source pending
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 73%
- —
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 4
- 12:41
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 13:18
- Fusion X-Cel
- Team
- The Academy Fight Club / AntDawg’s Mixed Martial Arts
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Charles Johnson
Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission
MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Charles Johnson.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
- Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
Current pick evidence
Picked: Eduardo Chapolin · Dec
Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission
Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Eduardo Chapolin by split decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
- Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
- Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Analyst picks: Chris Schweppe Miss; Alexander K. Lee Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Schweppe
Chris Schweppe
Current pick evidencePicked: Eduardo Chapolin · Dec Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Eduardo Chapolin by split decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Chapolin · Dec | Johnson · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Eduardo Chapolin by split decision. Track record: winner called in 36 of 72 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Alexander K. Lee
Alexander K. Lee
Current pick evidencePicked: Charles Johnson Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Charles Johnson. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Johnson · to win | Johnson · Sub R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Charles Johnson. Track record: winner called in 10 of 23 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
1 of 2 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.


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