UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry  15 Aug 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, US

Charles Johnson defeats Eduardo Chapolin by Submission

Submission · Scottish Twister

Round 3 · 1:36

Johnson vs Chapolin · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Chapolin made his UFC debut on short notice in a 130-pound catchweight bout. Johnson's early takedown attempts were stuffed, and a point was deducted from Chapolin in round one after he landed an illegal strike on the grounded Johnson.

In round two Chapolin dropped Johnson and kept pressing, but Johnson survived the round.

In round three Johnson hurt Chapolin, took his back and locked up the Scottish Twister, which ended the fight by submission.

Fight details

The verified result and matchup record are available above. Analysis and a fight narrative have not been published for this bout.

Records & career stats
19-9-0
Record
15-2-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5-0 last 5
United States
Nationality
Brazil
35
Age
30
1.75 m
Height — Johnson leads
1.71 m
178 cm
Reach — Johnson leads
170 cm
—
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Not published
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
73%
8
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Johnson leads
7
—
Wins by submissionSub wins
4
4.60
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Johnson leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.46
3.93
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Chapolin leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.38
56%
Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
57%
67%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Chapolin leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
85%
12:41
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
13:18
Fusion X-Cel
Team
The Academy Fight Club / AntDawg’s Mixed Martial Arts

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Johnson

Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Charles Johnson.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduardo Chapolin · Dec

Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Eduardo Chapolin by split decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)

Analyst picks: Chris Schweppe Miss; Alexander K. Lee Hit.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Chris Schweppe72 resolved calls
Chris Schweppe

Current pick evidence

Picked: Eduardo Chapolin · Dec

Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission

Chris Schweppe's UFC 330 fight-picks article has him picking Eduardo Chapolin by split decision.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 36 36
  • Method Accuracy 52.8% 19 17
  • Round Accuracy 33.3% 8 16
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (72 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 48.5%. Chapolin · DecJohnson · Sub R3MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Alexander K. Lee23 resolved calls
Alexander K. Lee

Current pick evidence

Picked: Charles Johnson

Fight result: Charles Johnson · Submission

MMA Fighting's UFC 330 predictions article has Alexander K. Lee picking Charles Johnson.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 43.5% 10 13
  • Method Accuracy 100.0% 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 28.6% 2 5
View full track record (23 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 51.5%. Johnson · to winJohnson · Sub R3HitNot calledNot called

1 of 2 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.