UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Pavel Andrusca defeats Nathaniel Wood by unanimous decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Wood vs Andrusca · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
A double-leg takedown, clinch work and right hands over the top took round one against a feinting Wood.
A Wood right hand briefly dropped Andrusca in round two; Andrusca recovered with a takedown and an arm-triangle frame to buy time, then closed the round with a jumping knee, an elbow and a late takedown.
In round three Andrusca stayed glued to Wood, opened a cut near his hairline, and finished with a single-leg and top control for the last ninety seconds.
- Ludovic Dandine30–27
- Clemens Werner30–27
- Ben Cartlidge29–28
- Official UFC resultsUFC Paris: Hooker vs Parnasse — Results
- Round-by-round play-by-playUFC Paris 'Hooker vs. Parnasse' play-by-play, results & round scoring
- Official UFC scorecardsUFC Paris — official judges' scorecards
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Wood
Wood is 23-6-0 across 29 professional fights and has taken his last 10 to the scorecards, winning 8 of them. He lands 5.64 significant strikes a minute and holds 6 cm of reach on the night, 175 cm to 169. Three of the men he has shared a cage with are on this same card: he outpointed Losene Keita and Morgan Charrière, and lost a decision to Muhammad Naimov.
Case for Andrusca
Andrusca arrives 8-0-0 with 7 of those eight wins ending inside the distance and 5 of them inside a single round. His last four finishes came at 2:09, 3:53, 2:39 and 1:38, and at 24 he is 9 years the younger man. He has been past the second round exactly once in his career.
What We Were Watching For
- Neither man has been stopped recently for opposite reasons: 10 straight Wood fights have gone the full distance, and 5 of Andrusca's last eight never left the first round.
- Andrusca has never fought in the UFC, so there is no Octagon tape on him; his eight wins come from UAE Warriors, Vendetta Fight Nights, Khan Fight and Eagles FC.
- Reach favours Wood by 6 cm (175 to 169), height favours Andrusca by 2 cm.
- If it reaches round three it is Wood's fight to lose; every one of Andrusca's finishes has come before it.
Records & career stats
- 23-6-0
- Record
- 8-0-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
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- England
- Nationality
- Moldova
- 33
- Age
- 24
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- —
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 78%
- 75%
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- —
- 13:38
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 15:00
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Nathaniel Wood · Dec
Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision
Rates Wood's technical striking far above a short-notice regional debutant.
“I'm going Nathaniel Wood to win this one by decision.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 63.6% 77 44
- Method Accuracy 64.6% 42 23
- Round Accuracy 47.2% 17 19
- Underdog Accuracy 26.3% 5 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Pavel Andrusca · KO/TKO
Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision
Expects Andrusca's accurate boxing to catch Wood on the way out of an exchange; states it as a gut read off the tape.
“I'm thinking Andruschka flukes a KO here in the second or third.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 70.8% 121 50
- Method Accuracy 62.9% 56 33
- Round Accuracy 38.5% 10 16
- Underdog Accuracy 48.5% 16 17
Analyst picks: Bedtime MMA Hit; HopperMMA Miss.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bedtime MMA
Bedtime MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Pavel Andrusca · KO/TKO Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision Expects Andrusca's accurate boxing to catch Wood on the way out of an exchange; states it as a gut read off the tape. “I'm thinking Andruschka flukes a KO here in the second or third.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 29.5%. Andrusca · KO/TKO | Andrusca · Dec R3 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Expects Andrusca's accurate boxing to catch Wood on the way out of an exchange; states it as a gut read off the tape. “I'm thinking Andruschka flukes a KO here in the second or third.” Track record: winner called in 121 of 171 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
HopperMMA
HopperMMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Nathaniel Wood · Dec Fight result: Pavel Andrusca · Decision Rates Wood's technical striking far above a short-notice regional debutant. “I'm going Nathaniel Wood to win this one by decision.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 70.5%. Wood · Dec | Andrusca · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| Rates Wood's technical striking far above a short-notice regional debutant. “I'm going Nathaniel Wood to win this one by decision.” Track record: winner called in 77 of 121 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
1 of 2 called the winner.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.
No market odds are available for this fight yet.




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