Demetrious Johnson won flyweight titles in the UFC and ONE Championship. He hosts MightyCast, interviewing athletes and other figures from across combat sports.
Scorecard
Called 6 of 11 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 54.5% 6 5
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
6 of 11 — 55% now, from 60% at their first scored card.
-
Underdog
1 of 2 priced underdog calls — too few to chart a trend.
Method — No method callsRound — No round calls
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- Crypto.com UFC 331 1 hit · 1 miss
- UFC 329 2 hit · 2 miss
- UFC 328 3 hit · 2 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Underdog call, market price 41.5%. Pantoja · to win | Van · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Demetrious Johnson picks Alexandre Pantoja after contrasting the veteran's grappling experience with Joshua Van's striking and explaining that Pantoja can win if he gets the champion down and makes adjustments. “I'm going to go with the veteran on this one. I'm going to go with Alex Manto. I think Alex Pento is going to get it done.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 41.5% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 72.8%. Tsarukyan · to win | Tsarukyan · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Demetrious Johnson picks Arman Tsarukyan after emphasizing his ability to close distance, wrestle, and control Mauricio Ruffy; he also says Tsarukyan is fighting for a title opportunity. “I'm going to go my boy Armen Sukidon.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 72.8% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 329
McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Whittaker · to win | Whittaker · KO/TKO R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Backs Whittaker's light-heavyweight move, expecting the extra weight to preserve his speed and cardio rather than drain him. He notes Krylov's finish-or-be-finished volatility, but still sees Whittaker's cleaner overall game as the better side. “I'm going to have to go with Robert Whitaker.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 53.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 68.5%. Kavanagh · to win | Royval · Sub R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Picks Kavanagh after weighing Royval's pressure and scramble chaos. He has trained with Kavanagh, likes the striking movement he saw in the gym, and thinks the young flyweight's rebound from the Charles Johnson loss points toward another step forward. “I'm going to go with Lone Kavanagh.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 68.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 57.5%. Sandhagen · to win | Bautista · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Calls the rematch close and gives Bautista real credit, but sides with Sandhagen's well-roundedness and elite schedule. He frames it as a near coin flip before choosing Sandhagen as the fighter who has fought and understood the highest-level problems. “I'm going to have to go with Cory Sanhagen.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 57.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 71.5%. Holloway · to win | Holloway · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Picks Holloway because activity and volume outweigh McGregor's early precision and power after the long layoff. He wants Holloway to push into boxing range, make McGregor work, and trust that McGregor's power fades if Max survives the early shots. “I'm going to have to go with the blessed one, Max Holloway.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 71.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
UFC 328
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 60.0% 3 2
- Method AccuracyCalls the winner, not the method
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog Accuracy 100.0% 1
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 80.5%. Chimaev · to win | Strickland · Dec R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DJ predicts a dominant Chimaev finish: Chimaev takes everybody down, and while Strickland has never been manhandled or out-grappled, DJ believes Chimaev can be the one to do it — via the submission game from dominant position rather than ground-and-pound.
“I am going to predict a finish for Khamzat Chimaev, and he's going to be dominant.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 80.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Underdog call, market price 39.5%. Van · to win | Van · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
DJ calls this the hardest fight on the card and is torn, favouring Taira's grappling on the ground, but goes with Van as the champion who can get it done and defend the takedown. He warns that if Van can't defend and Taira takes his back, it could be curtains.
“I'm going to go with Joshua Van. He's a champion.” Underdog call. The market gave this fighter 39.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 56.5%. Volkov · to win | Volkov · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
DJ feels torn but thinks Volkov has the more well-rounded skill set and can grapple. He expects Volkov to negate Cortes-Acosta's power shot, get him down, and out-grapple him rather than trade with a man on a three-fight KO streak.
“I think Volkov is going to be able to negate that power shot, get him down, and then out-grapple him.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 62.5%. Buckley · to win | Brady · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
DJ goes with Buckley, noting Brady has always been finished in his losses (Morales, Belal) while Buckley was on a six-fight win streak with four finishes before losing to Usman. He frames Buckley as a finisher but commits to no method.
“Joaquin Buckley is a finisher. I'm going to go with my man Joaquin Buckley.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 62.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Green · to win | Green · Sub R1 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
DJ picks Green for being more active against more well-rounded competition, while Stephens has been away from the sport. He stresses it's still a fight and Stephens can win, but if forced to pick he takes Green.
“If I had to make a pick, I'm going to go with Bobby Green.” Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
Every source clip behind Demetrious Johnson's logged calls.
Watch all of Demetrious Johnson's video picks in the library