Analyst video · Lucas Tracy · UFC 329

Lucas Tracy — UFC 329 full-card predictions

Lucas Tracy previews UFC 329 with a full-card predictions and breakdown video. FightCardIQ indexes this source so readers can jump from each fight page to the corresponding analyst segment.

Picks scorecard

3 of 6 decided picks correct

  1. Pick Alessandro Costa · Decision

    Result Alessandro Costa by Sub, R2 Hit

    All analysts: 16 picks — 12 Costa · 4 Durden

    Picks against Durden because he views Costa as the better-rounded flyweight with enough grappling, heavier hands and more strength to win the fight across areas. He explicitly takes Costa by decision.

    “I'm picking Alessandro Costa by decision.”
  2. Pick Ryan Gandra · KO/TKO

    Result Ryan Gandra by KO/TKO, R1 Perfect call

    All analysts: 14 picks — 9 Gandra · 5 Reese

    Backs Gandra over Reese because he trusts the Contender Series-style Brazilian finishing upside more than Reese's volatile highlight-reel profile. He expects Gandra to turn that edge into a heavy TKO finish.

    “So, I'm going with Ryan Gondra and I'm picking him to get this one done by a filthy TK Olad.”
  3. Pick Cesar Almeida · Decision

    Result Damian Pinas by KO/TKO, R1 Miss

    All analysts: 15 picks — 10 Pinas · 5 Almeida

    Respects Pinas' knockout hype but sides with Almeida's experience, power, body work, and proven takedown defense. He expects Almeida to survive the early danger and win a crafty striking decision.

    “I'm going to go with Caesar Almeida to get this one done.”
  4. Pick Tracy Cortez · Decision

    Result Wang Cong by Dec, R3 Miss

    All analysts: 15 picks — 4 Cortez · 11 Wang

    Takes Cortez as the upset side because her double-leg threat can interrupt Wang Cong's striking answers. He expects Cortez to mix calf kicks, range touches, and wrestling into a grappling-led decision.

    “I'm going to go with Tracy Cortez getting the upset by a grappling decision.”
  5. Pick Luke Riley · to win

    Result Luke Riley by KO/TKO, R1 Hit

    All analysts: 16 picks — 15 Riley · 1 Kamaka III

    Makes Riley the clear side, pointing to his speed and team context while openly treating Kamaka as the much less convincing form read. He says Riley can get it done quickly and however he wants, but does not lock a specific method.

    “Um I'm going with Luke Riley”
  6. Pick Benoît Saint Denis · KO/TKO

    Result Paddy Pimblett by Sub, R1 Miss

    All analysts: 16 picks — 10 Pimblett · 6 Saint Denis

    After weighing Pimblett's range work and submission danger, he lands on Saint Denis' clinch pace, judo, and finishing style. He expects the fight to stay in high-pressure exchanges and end with Saint Denis doing damage from the clinch.

    “I'm going to pick him to win this fight. I'm going to go with a finish.”