UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi
Navajo Stirling defeats Ion Cutelaba by TKO (punches)
Cutelaba vs Stirling · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi
Predictions summary
Fight details
The verified result and matchup record are available above. Analysis and a fight narrative have not been published for this bout.
Records & career stats
- 20-11-1
- Record
- 9-0-0
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- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 5-0 last 5
- Moldova
- Nationality
- New Zealand
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- Age
- 28
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- Height
- 1.93 m
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- Reach
- 201 cm
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- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
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- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- Source pending
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- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
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- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 0
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- Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 6.47
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- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2.56
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- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 58%
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- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 71%
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- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 10:24
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
Picks Navajo Stirling by decision.
“I'm going to go with Navajo Sterling to get this one done, most likely by decision victory.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 71.4% 20 8
- Method Accuracy 84.6% 11 2
- Round Accuracy 100.0% 2
- Underdog Accuracy 66.7% 2 1
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
Picks Navajo Stirling to technically outwork Ion Cutelaba.
“The pick Sterling for the W in the co-main event.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 69.6% 165 72
- Method Accuracy 58.4% 59 42
- Round Accuracy 75.0% 6 2
- Underdog Accuracy 46.2% 12 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
Picks Navajo Stirling to keep the fight technical with footwork and long strikes against Ion Cutelaba.
“I'm going to pick Navaha.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 64.1% 93 52
- Method Accuracy 40.0% 2 3
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 34.5% 10 19
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by knockout.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 58.6% 34 24
- Method Accuracy 70.6% 24 10
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
Picks Navajo Stirling to win.
“So, I'm going to take Sterling to get it done in the co-main.”
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 7 7
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 0.0% 2
Current pick evidence
Picked: Navajo Stirling · Dec
Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches)
MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 preview has Jesse Holland picking Navajo Stirling by decision.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
- Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
Analyst picks: Livid Larry MMA Hit; AJ Devito Hit; We Want Picks Hit; Andrew Richardson Hit; Hayjive Picks Hit; Jesse Holland Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Livid Larry MMA
Livid Larry MMA
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) Picks Navajo Stirling by decision. “I'm going to go with Navajo Sterling to get this one done, most likely by decision victory.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| Picks Navajo Stirling by decision. “I'm going to go with Navajo Sterling to get this one done, most likely by decision victory.” Track record: winner called in 20 of 28 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
AJ Devito
AJ Devito
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) Picks Navajo Stirling to technically outwork Ion Cutelaba. “The pick Sterling for the W in the co-main event.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Navajo Stirling to technically outwork Ion Cutelaba. “The pick Sterling for the W in the co-main event.” Track record: winner called in 165 of 237 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
We Want Picks
We Want Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) Picks Navajo Stirling to keep the fight technical with footwork and long strikes against Ion Cutelaba. “I'm going to pick Navaha.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Navajo Stirling to keep the fight technical with footwork and long strikes against Ion Cutelaba. “I'm going to pick Navaha.” Track record: winner called in 93 of 145 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Andrew Richardson
Andrew Richardson
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · KO/TKO Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by knockout. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · KO/TKO | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 X-Factor preview has Andrew Richardson picking Navajo Stirling by knockout. Track record: winner called in 34 of 58 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Hayjive Picks
Hayjive Picks
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) Picks Navajo Stirling to win. “So, I'm going to take Sterling to get it done in the co-main.” Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · to win | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| Picks Navajo Stirling to win. “So, I'm going to take Sterling to get it done in the co-main.” Track record: winner called in 7 of 14 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jesse Holland
Jesse Holland
Current pick evidencePicked: Navajo Stirling · Dec Fight result: Navajo Stirling · TKO (punches) MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 preview has Jesse Holland picking Navajo Stirling by decision. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 75.5%. Stirling · Dec | Stirling · TKO (punches) R2 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
| MMA Mania's UFC Vegas 119 preview has Jesse Holland picking Navajo Stirling by decision. Track record: winner called in 27 of 55 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
6 of 6 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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No market odds are available for this fight yet.
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