UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2  6 Dec 2025 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, United States, US

Petr Yan defeats Merab Dvalishvili by Decision - Unanimous

Loss Merab Dvalishvili 20-5-0
Win Petr Yan 20-5-0
Decision - Unanimous

Round 5 · 5:00

Dvalishvili vs Yan — Bantamweight Title · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2

Predictions summary

What happened

The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.

Yan made the rematch look different from the opening exchange, coming forward behind his jab and right hand instead of conceding the centre. Dvalishvili still found his familiar entries, but Yan's first defensive reactions made the champion work for every extended sequence.

As the fight reached the championship rounds, Yan's boxing and body attacks became the clearest damage in the contest. Dvalishvili kept pressing and stayed dangerous, yet Yan's timing repeatedly interrupted the takedowns and a late body kick visibly hurt the champion.

The judges — Mike Bell, Derek Cleary and Eric Colon — awarded Yan the unanimous decision on scores of 49-46, 49-46 and 48-47. The result returned Yan to the top of the division as a two-time bantamweight champion.

Judges' scorecards
  • Mike Bell49-46 Yan
  • Derek Cleary48-47 Yan
  • Eric Colon49-46 Yan
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in

Case for Dvalishvili

Yan's case was cleaner boxing, better timing and a much sharper answer to the wrestling. He needed to stay first with the jab and right hand, punish the body and keep Dvalishvili from turning every exchange into a long fence sequence.

Case for Yan

Dvalishvili still had the champion's familiar route: pressure forward, change levels repeatedly and force Yan to defend for twenty-five minutes. The rematch question was whether that pace could overcome Yan's improved takedown defense and countering.

What We Were Watching For

  • Yan's jab and right hand when Dvalishvili enters from range.
  • Whether Dvalishvili can chain takedowns after Yan's first defensive reaction.
  • The body work and championship-round adjustments that separate the rematch from their first fight.
Records & career stats
Dvalishvili vs Yan
Dvalishvili Yan
  1. OutputSig. strikes landed / min 4.42 5.16
  2. Striking def.Striking defense 54% 60%
  3. DurabilitySig. strikes absorbed / min 2.8 4.24
  4. Takedown def.Takedown defense 76% 86%
  5. FinishingFinish rate 24% 40%
20-4-0
Record
19-5-0
Source pending
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
Source pending
Source pending
Nationality
Source pending
34
Age
32
66 in
Height — Yan leads
67.5 in
68 in
Reach — Dvalishvili leads
67 in
Source pending
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Source pending
24%
Finish rateFinish % — Yan leadsFinish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
40%
3
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins — Yan leads
7
2
Wins by submissionSub wins — Dvalishvili leads
1
4.42
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Yan leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
5.16
2.8
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Dvalishvili leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4.24
54%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Yan leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
60%
76%
Takedown defenseTD def. — Yan leadsTakedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
86%
17:36
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
17:38

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

Videos

Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

After the fight
Before the fight (2)

Comments

Comments are currently closed while we finish moderation and privacy controls.

Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Jake Letarski
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Joe SunTszu
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)

Analyst picks: Drake Burden Miss; Jake Letarski Miss; Jon Litterine Miss; Joe SunTszu Miss; Cole Shelton Miss; Chris Olson Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jake Letarski64 resolved calls
Jake Letarski
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Joe SunTszu64 resolved calls
Joe SunTszu
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Merab Dvalishvili

Fight result: Petr Yan · Decision - Unanimous

RotoWire's UFC 323 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Merab Dvalishvili.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 77.5%. Dvalishvili · to winYan · Decision - Unanimous R5MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

Only 0 of 6 called the upset.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

▶ Watch the full fight →

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.