Timothy Wheaton is a combat-sports writer covering MMA, kickboxing, and Muay Thai, with event coverage for UFC, GLORY, PFL, and Bellator.
Scorecard
Called 4 of 9 resolved picks — every call traced to its source, no bare percentage. How Track Record works.
- Winner Accuracy 44.4% 4 5
- Method Accuracy 33.3% 1 2
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Hit Miss
The running record
Every figure below is cumulative — computed over all resolved calls up to and including each card, never one card on its own. A cumulative rate settles as the denominator grows: read where a line sits alongside its denominator. Winner covers every resolved call; method, round and underdog each have a different and much smaller base, printed beside each one.
Hit Miss
4 of 9 — 44% now, from 25% at their first scored card. The first 1 point is drawn dashed and hollow: below 5 scored calls this rate is not yet a reliable figure.
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Method
1 of 3 correct winners that named a method — too few to chart a trend.
Round — No round calls scored yetUnderdog — No underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
Card by card
Newest card first. One mark per resolved call, hits above the line and misses below. Every call is listed in Call History, below.
- UFC 332 2 hit · 2 miss
- Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos 1 hit · 0 miss
- Crypto.com UFC 331 1 hit · 3 miss
Call History
Every logged call, grouped by event, scored on Winner, Method, and Round — nothing about a result ever sits behind a click.
underdog pick favourite pick — shown only for picks with a known pre-fight price. The percentage is the chance the market gave the fighter this analyst picked. Open a row for the price’s source and the credit it earned.
UFC 332
Silva vs. Wang
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 50.0% 2 2
- Method Accuracy 50.0% 1 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Williams · to win | Soldić · Dec R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Timothy Wheaton leans Khaos Williams, describing a decision or late-stoppage path while leaving the exact method open. | |||||
| Silva · Dec | Silva · Dec R5 | Hit | Hit | Not called | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Natalia Silva to win, identifying a decision as the most logical method based on her recent UFC form and ability to manage elite opponents over 15 minutes. | |||||
| Talbott · Dec | Talbott · KO/TKO R1 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Payton Talbott to win by decision, citing Talbott's momentum, age advantage, and range game. | |||||
| Parkin · Dec | Walker · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Mick Parkin to win by decision, describing his measured heavyweight style and wrestling control as the path against Johnny Walker. | |||||
Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 100.0% 1
- Method Accuracy 0.0% 1
- Round AccuracyCalls the winner, not the round
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 56.7%. Rosas Jr. · Sub | Rosas Jr. · KO/TKO R5 | Hit | Miss | Not called | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Raul Rosas Jr. by submission, with the article identifying the second or third round as the natural window without making a single round call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 56.7% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Crypto.com UFC 331
Van vs. Pantoja 2
Event scorecard
- Winner Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
- Method AccuracyNamed methods — none on a correct call yet
- Round AccuracyNamed rounds — none on a correct call yet
- Underdog AccuracyNo underdog calls with a known pre-fight price
| Fight | Pick | Actual | Winner | Method | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Favourite call, market price 91.5%. Steveson · KO/TKO · R1 | Sharaf · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Gable Steveson by KO/TKO, with a first-round finish as the most logical method call. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 91.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 64.5%. Jourdain · Dec | Vera · KO/TKO R3 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Charles Jourdain by decision, describing it as the better pre-fight angle against Marlon Vera. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 64.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 79.5%. Despaigne · to win | Despaigne · Dec R3 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Robelis Despaigne to win, citing his physical advantages, fresher finishing form, and cleaner path to victory while leaving the method unspecified. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 79.5% before the fight, from a price reconstructed after the fact from Polymarket’s public trading history. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
| Favourite call, market price 69.9%. Choi · Dec | Pitbull · KO/TKO R1 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
Timothy Wheaton picks Doo Ho Choi by decision, calling it the matchup's better betting angle while noting Choi straight up as the safer parlay side. Favourite call. The market gave this fighter 69.9% before the fight, from the pre-event sportsbook consensus frozen before the fight. Favourite calls earn no underdog credit. | |||||
Videos
No sourced clips are linked to this analyst's calls yet.