UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Islam Makhachev defeats Jack Della Maddalena by Decision - Unanimous
Round 5 · 5:00
Della Maddalena vs Makhachev — Welterweight Title · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev
Predictions summary
What happened
The result, the defining moments, and what the verdict means.
Makhachev and Della Maddalena contested the welterweight title over five rounds at UFC 322.
The fight reached the judges rather than ending inside the distance.
The official result awarded Makhachev the unanimous decision and the championship.
- Official UFC scorecardsUFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev — Official Scorecards
Pre-fight analysis — how we saw it going in
Case for Della Maddalena
Della Maddalena needed to keep the title fight in open space, use his boxing and stance switches to punish entries, and force Makhachev to pay for every level change. His best rounds would come from making the champion strike instead of allowing prolonged fence control.
Case for Makhachev
Makhachev's route was to make the size and weight-class move work through pressure rather than a firefight. Repeated takedowns, mat returns and top control could remove Della Maddalena's range and turn the champion's positional game into a five-round advantage.
What We Were Watching For
- Della Maddalena's first response to Makhachev's level changes.
- Whether Makhachev could keep the challenger grounded after the first escape.
- How Della Maddalena's striking held up after repeated grappling exchanges.
Records & career stats
- 18-2-0
- Record
- 27-1-0
- —
- Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 8-0 last 8
- Australia
- Nationality
- Russia
- —
- Age
- 34
- —
- Height
- 1.78 m
- —
- Reach
- 179 cm
- —
- StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
- Southpaw
- —
- Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
- 67%
- —
- Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
- 5
- —
- Wins by submissionSub wins
- 13
- —
- Sig. strikes landed / minStr / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 2.27
- —
- Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
- 1.42
- —
- Striking defenseStrike def.Striking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 61%
- —
- Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 91%
- —
- Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
- 11:45
- Welterweight
- Weight classWeight
- Lightweight (moving up)
Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.
Videos
Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.
Before the fight (1)
Comments
Who Called It?
How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.
Performance filters use calls resolved before this event.
Current pick evidence
Picked: Jack Della Maddalena
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Jack Della Maddalena.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
- Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
- Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
- Method AccuracyNo method picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
Current pick evidence
Picked: Islam Makhachev
Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous
RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Islam Makhachev.
Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
- Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
- Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
- Round AccuracyNo round picks
- Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
Analyst picks: Drake Burden Hit; Jake Letarski Hit; Jon Litterine Hit; Joe SunTszu Hit; Cole Shelton Miss; Chris Olson Hit.
| Expand row | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drake Burden
Drake Burden
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 56 of 85 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jake Letarski
Jake Letarski
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 40 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Jon Litterine
Jon Litterine
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 54 of 97 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Joe SunTszu
Joe SunTszu
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 34 of 64 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Cole Shelton
Cole Shelton
Current pick evidencePicked: Jack Della Maddalena Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Jack Della Maddalena. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Underdog call, market price 26.5%. Della Maddalena · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Miss | Not applicable — the winner call missed | Not applicable — the winner call missed | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Jack Della Maddalena. Track record: winner called in 52 of 99 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
Chris Olson
Chris Olson
Current pick evidencePicked: Islam Makhachev Fight result: Islam Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Islam Makhachev. Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology
| Historic market Favourite call, market price 73.5%. Makhachev · to win | Makhachev · Decision - Unanimous R5 | Hit | Not called | Not called | |
| RotoWire's UFC 322 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Islam Makhachev. Track record: winner called in 31 of 70 resolved picks. How winner calls are counted | ||||||
5 of 6 nailed it.
The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.
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