UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2  31 Jan 2026 · Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park, NSW, Australia, AU

Mauricio Ruffy defeats Rafael Fiziev by KO/TKO

Loss Rafael Fiziev 13-5-0
Win Mauricio Ruffy 13-2-0
Watch the fight
KO/TKO

Round 2 · 4:30

Fiziev vs Ruffy · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2

Predictions summary

Fight details

The verified result and matchup record are available above. Analysis and a fight narrative have not been published for this bout.

Records & career stats
Fiziev vs Ruffy
13-4-0
Record
12-2-0
2-3 last 5
Recent formRecent formWin–loss record over the fighter’s last five bouts, newest first, as carried in their UFC/FightMetric career stats.
4-1 last 5
Azerbaijan
Nationality
Brazil
33
Age
29
1.73 m
Height — Ruffy leads
1.80 m
180 cm
Reach — Ruffy leads
191 cm
Switch
StanceStanceWhich side a fighter leads from — a striking term, not a religious one. Orthodox: right-handed, left foot and hand forward (the common default). Southpaw: the mirror image, right side forward (usually a left-hander). Switch: changes between the two during a fight.
Orthodox
Source pending
Finish rateFinish %Finish rateThe share of a fighter’s wins that ended inside the distance — by KO/TKO or submission — rather than going to the judges’ scorecards. Higher means more finishes.
92%
—
Wins by KO/TKOKO wins
13
1
Wins by submissionSub wins — Fiziev leads
0
4.71
Sig. strikes landed / minStr / min — Fiziev leadsSignificant strikes landed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter lands for every minute of fight time — a read on striking output and pace. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.93
4.81
Sig. strikes absorbed / minAbs / min — Ruffy leadsSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteAverage number of significant strikes a fighter takes for every minute of fight time. Lower is better — it means they get hit less often. From UFC/FightMetric career stats.
3.66
50%
Striking defenseStrike def. — Ruffy leadsStriking defenseThe percentage of opponents’ significant strikes that do not land — strikes slipped, blocked or evaded. Higher is better. Not the same as striking accuracy, which counts your own strikes that land. From UFC/FightMetric.
59%
90%
Takedown defenseTD def.Takedown defenseThe percentage of opponents’ takedown attempts that are stuffed. Higher means harder to put on the mat. From UFC/FightMetric.
88%
11:32
Avg. fight timeAvg. timeAverage fight timeThe mean length of the fighter’s bouts (minutes:seconds) — a rough read on whether they tend to finish early or go the distance. From UFC/FightMetric.
07:56
Tiger Muay Thai - Phuket, Thailand
Team
Fighting Nerds · São Paulo

Career stats per UFC.com; recent form is each fighter's last five bouts. Record is as of fight night; career stats, recent form and win totals are the latest on file and may include this fight. Bars compare each stat on a fixed scale; the “Edge” marker flags the leading corner where the gap is meaningful. The snapshot plots five career rates — output, striking defense, durability (strikes absorbed, inverted), takedown defense and finish rate — each normalised on its own scale.

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Outcome footage, post-fight coverage, and the pre-fight lead-up.

Before the fight (1)

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Who Called It?

How the analysts' picks held up once the cage door closed.

Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Brent Brookhouse
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brent Brookhouse on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Shakiel Mahjouri
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Shakiel Mahjouri on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Michael Mormile
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Michael Mormile on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Brandon Wise
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brandon Wise on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Jake Letarski
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Brian Campbell
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brian Campbell on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Joe SunTszu
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC 325 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mauricio Ruffy by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)

Analyst picks: Drake Burden Miss; Brent Brookhouse Miss; Jake Letarski Hit; Brian Campbell Hit; Jon Litterine Miss; Joe SunTszu Hit; Cole Shelton Hit; Shakiel Mahjouri Miss; Michael Mormile Miss; Brandon Wise Miss; Jesse Holland Hit; Chris Olson Miss.

Analyst prediction scorecards
Expand row
Drake Burden85 resolved calls
Drake Burden
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Drake Burden on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 65.9% 56 29
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 50.0% 6 6
View full track record (85 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brent Brookhouse38 resolved calls
Brent Brookhouse
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brent Brookhouse on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 63.2% 24 14
  • Method Accuracy 33.3% 6 12
  • Round Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
  • Underdog Accuracy 33.3% 2 4
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jake Letarski64 resolved calls
Jake Letarski
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Jake Letarski on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 62.5% 40 24
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 36.4% 4 7
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Brian Campbell38 resolved calls
Brian Campbell
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brian Campbell on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 57.9% 22 16
  • Method Accuracy 66.7% 12 6
  • Round Accuracy 7.7% 1 12
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 3 7
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Jon Litterine97 resolved calls
Jon Litterine
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Jon Litterine on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 55.7% 54 43
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 5 15
View full track record (97 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Joe SunTszu64 resolved calls
Joe SunTszu
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Joe SunTszu on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 53.1% 34 30
  • Method AccuracyNo method picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 25.0% 4 12
View full track record (64 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Cole Shelton99 resolved calls
Cole Shelton
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Cole Shelton on Mauricio Ruffy.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 52 47
  • Method Accuracy 80.0% 4 1
  • Round AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 17.6% 3 14
View full track record (99 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ruffy · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2HitNot calledNot called
Shakiel Mahjouri40 resolved calls
Shakiel Mahjouri
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Shakiel Mahjouri on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 52.5% 21 19
  • Method Accuracy 56.3% 9 7
  • Round Accuracy 0.0% 9
  • Underdog Accuracy 20.0% 2 8
View full track record (40 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Michael Mormile33 resolved calls
Michael Mormile
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Michael Mormile on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 51.5% 17 16
  • Method Accuracy 60.0% 6 4
  • Round Accuracy 25.0% 1 3
  • Underdog Accuracy 22.2% 2 7
View full track record (33 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Brandon Wise38 resolved calls
Brandon Wise
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

CBS Sports' expert-picks table lists Brandon Wise on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 50.0% 19 19
  • Method Accuracy 38.5% 5 8
  • Round Accuracy 14.3% 1 6
  • Underdog Accuracy 10.0% 1 9
View full track record (38 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed
Jesse Holland55 resolved calls
Jesse Holland
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

MMA Mania's UFC 325 preview has Jesse Holland picking Mauricio Ruffy by technical knockout.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 49.1% 27 28
  • Method Accuracy 55.6% 15 12
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 27.8% 5 13
View full track record (55 calls)
Historic market Underdog call, market price 46.5%. Ruffy · KO/TKORuffy · KO/TKO R2HitHitNot called
Chris Olson70 resolved calls
Chris Olson
Read source

Current pick evidence

Picked: Rafael Fiziev

Fight result: Mauricio Ruffy · KO/TKO

RotoWire's UFC 325 expert-picks table lists Chris Olson on Rafael Fiziev.

Analyst track record Track record countsWinner counts resolved calls. Method and Round count only after a correct winner call. Underdog counts picks for a strict underdog in frozen pre-fight odds.Methodology

  • Winner Accuracy 44.3% 31 39
  • Method AccuracyNo qualifying picks
  • Round AccuracyNo round picks
  • Underdog Accuracy 30.0% 6 14
View full track record (70 calls)
Historic market Favourite call, market price 53.5%. Fiziev · to winRuffy · KO/TKO R2MissNot applicable — the winner call missedNot applicable — the winner call missed

5 of 12 called the winner.

The experts above are a lens, not credentials we conferred — analyst, fighter or betting desk.

No AI predictions are available for this fight yet.

No market odds are available for this fight yet.

Independent fan-made fight recap. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the UFC or any other MMA promotion. Analysis is editorial opinion, not betting advice. Fighter names and records are used for commentary. Image credits · Methodology · Privacy · Terms.